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What Is Wrong With Jose Reyes

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Jose Reyes hits the half way point (or nearly so) on pace to replicate every stat he produced last season. His AVG is up as are his SBs. He walks are way up, too. An almost identical OPS hints at the exception, though.

If his walks and AVG are up, then the "O" part of "OPS" (On-base-percentage) is higher. That leads to the conclusion that the "S" portion is down (Slugging percentage). Reyes' doubles are the same as are his triples and that leaves the one extra-base category that is the most sexy - home runs. Jose Reyes has three going into today's doubleheader. Last year, he hit 19.

All prognostications for 2008 depended on Reyes duplicating that power while continuing to hold steady or improve on his 2006 production. There is just one stat that hints at the difference in HR production. His percentage of fly balls that are hit for HRs is down nearly 70% from the 2006 levels (10.6% versus 3.2%). Is this a fluke? I do not know, but he is hitting more flyballs relative to groundballs this season. However, his 2006 G/F and 2005 one were nearly the same. What is scary (for those hoping for more HRs) is his 2005 HR/F% was very similar to his 2007 one.

SEASON G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG OPS CR GB FB G/F LD% IF/F HR/F
2003 69 274 47 84 12 4 5 32 13 36 13 3 0.307 0.334 0.434 0.768 86.9% 115 73 1.58 na na
2004 53 220 33 56 16 2 2 14 5 31 19 2 0.255 0.271 0.373 0.644 85.9% 76 69 1.10 19.4% na 3.1%
2005 161 696 99 190 24 17 7 58 27 78 60 15 0.273 0.300 0.386 0.686 88.8% 284 209 1.36 19.9% 8.1% 3.8%
2006 153 647 122 194 30 17 19 81 53 81 64 17 0.300 0.354 0.487 0.841 87.5% 253 183 1.38 20.9% 11.4% 10.6%
2007 76 309 53 97 16 8 3 33 42 39 38 10 0.314 0.395 0.447 0.842 87.4% 113 101 1.12 20.3% 13.4% 3.2%