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Corey Hart

Brewers' outfielder, and lead-off hitter, Corey Hart is having a season that looks exactly like the ones he had as a minorleaguer. There has been no drop-off in production due to the better competition in the majors versus that in the minors. There has been no increase in strikouts or decrease in walks. Nothing. If you simply took his AAA numbers and projected those on to his 2007 season, you be almost exactly right.

Given his minor league contact rates were never attention-grabbing nor have his walk totals been good or that his strikeouts been low, one would not have expected this. Just the opposite. One would expect those peripherals to result in less production as the lack of plate discipline and an ordinary ability to put the bat on the ball would be exposed by the much better pitchers and their ability to prepare via endless reams of videotape.

Will this continue? Component analysis says, "No." Could he be an exception? The answer has to be "Yes."

Year Team Level Pos G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI XBH SB CS BB SO AVG OBP SLG CR
2000 Ogden Rk 1b 57 216 32 62 9 1 2 30 12 6 0 13 27 0.287 0.332 0.366 87.5%
2001 Ogden Rk 1b 69 262 53 89 18 1 11 62 30 14 1 26 47 0.340 0.395 0.542 82.1%
2002 High Dsert A+ 3b-1b 100 393 76 113 26 10 22 84 58 24 11 37 101 0.288 0.356 0.573 74.3%
2002 Huntsville AA 3b-1b 28 94 16 25 3 0 2 15 5 3 2 7 16 0.266 0.340 0.362 83.0%
2003 Huntsville AA 3b 130 493 70 149 40 1 13 94 54 25 8 28 101 0.302 0.340 0.467 79.5%
2004 Indy AAA of-dh 121 441 68 124 29 8 15 67 52 17 7 41 92 0.281 0.342 0.485 79.1%
2005 Nashville AAA of 113 429 85 132 29 9 17 69 55 31 7 48 88 0.308 0.377 0.536 79.5%
2006 Nashville AAA of 26 100 19 32 10 1 4 21 15 11 2 12 25 0.320 0.391 0.560 75.0%
Year Team Level Pos G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI XBH SB CS BB SO AVG OBP SLG CR
2004 Milwaukee MLB 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.0%
2005 Milwaukee MLB cf 21 57 9 11 2 1 2 7 5 2 0 6 11 0.193 0.270 0.368 80.7%
2006 Milwaukee MLB rf-lf 87 237 32 67 13 2 9 33 24 5 8 17 58 0.283 0.328 0.468 75.5%
2007 Milwaukee MLB rf-lf 60 194 34 61 10 1 10 31 21 15 2 21 35 0.314 0.391 0.531 82.0%