Has anyone been able to get Brewers' pitcher David Bush at a discount due to his slow start? How about getting $25/3rd round value for Tom Gorzelanny? No? Why not? Haven't you listening to all the expert fantasy advise to buy low and sell high?
Oh, yeah. You need a counterparty to sell low and buy high in order to execute that advice. That means the team that followed all the expert advice to draft David Bush has to believe Bush won't turn it around. How likely is that if his owner hears those same experts advising others to get Bush because he is a good buy low player?.
The case of a $1/20+ round flyer on a Pittsburgh starting pitcher is slightly different. Hearing fantasy experts answer that Gorzelanny is a good sell high candidate also prevents a counterparty from dealing for him. After all, who wants to be the sucker who bought Gorzelanny right before he stops winning games and pitches to a league average ERA and WHIP?
However, this is where the sell/buy high player has a complicating factor - the owner who took the flyer is more likely to want to keep Gorzelanny as some sort of validation of his own expertise. This may make is impossible for the counterparty who wants to buy high because he believes the new high represents a new level of performance that the player will maintain.
How does the counterparty improve an offer of Austin Kearns when the other party wants Jason Bay?
Update [2007-5-12 7:4:6 by Eric Hz]: