Update [2007-3-11 9:43:41 by Eric Hz]: I have the 11th pick. The Pre-ranker results are in the Comment section. I would be pleased with the results - with the exception of Bob Wickman in the 11th.
I have a 16-team draft at 11 o'clock this morning. I will attempt to comment as it occurs. Given the number of teams involved, I used my FT Autodraft/ADP Pre-Ranker tool to get a general idea, based on Yahoo! rankings, what my selections would look like given my draft spot. Here is a link that will open it in Excel.
Here is an example of what I look at to see what could happen with my pre-ranked list if I got the 14th pick.
| # Teams | 16 | |
|---|---|---|
| Draft Spot | 14 | |
| Rd | OA | Player |
| 1 | 14 | Manny Ramírez |
| 2 | 19 | Chris Carpenter |
| 3 | 46 | Brandon Webb |
| 4 | 51 | Brian Roberts |
| 5 | 78 | Julio Lugo |
| 6 | 83 | JJ Putz |
| 7 | 110 | Randy Johnson |
| 8 | 115 | Mike Mussina |
| 9 | 142 | Adam LaRoche |
| 10 | 147 | Jeff Francoeur |
| 11 | 174 | Jorge Cantú |
| 12 | 179 | Jason Varitek |
| 13 | 206 | Kevin Millwood |
| 14 | 211 | AJ Burnett |
| 15 | 238 | Carlos Quentin |
| 16 | 243 | Troy Tulowitzki |
| 17 | 270 | Vicente Padilla |
| 18 | 275 | Clay Hensley |
| 19 | 302 | Jesse Crain |
| 20 | 307 | Boof Bonser |
| 21 | 334 | Miguel Montero |
I don't use this the get the exact roster I want. I use it to see when I would begin getting players I did not. Specifically, i would look at the players ranked around the 51st selection (Brian Roberts) abd the 78th (Julio Lugo). Also, the players available in the 83rd to 115th area. Randy Johnson seems too high, and I am not inclined to grab a closer that early. An adjustment to the pre-rankings would have me dropping closers another 30 or so spots and dropping Randy johnson further.
By doing this, I can have the autodraft I want to see minutes after it is completed. there is no perfect way to predict an autodraft. you can only be aware of some different possibilities.