To complete the fantasy baseball analogies, picking defenses/special teamsis like chasing Wins.
You should be able to guess who will get them, but you never know. You know starting pitchers have a better chance to get a Wins and you know decent ERa and WHIPs should translate into Wins and you know pitcher's parks should tip that in your favor.
Then Jason Marquis gets 14 Wins with a 5.86 ERA and 1.47 WHIP, and Pedro Martinez gets 9 Wins with a 3.84 and 1.02.
Defense/Special Teams work the same way. A bad team gets 3 punt returns for TDs and you lose. A good one allows 16 points without a TD and you lose.
Who picked the Colts and Bears to turn into DEF/ST monsters?
My DEF rankings are even fuzzier than my TE ones. I have a good idea which teams will be bad and which will be good and tried to place their DEF in the proper areas, but why CHI at the top when I think they will struggle with a first place schedule?
Why have CIN in the middle of the pack? Why MIN ahead of them?
The DEF I do like is the NYG because their DEs are going to wreck havoc and could, I emphasis could, lead to more turnovers and more chances for defensive TDs.
I'm just not convinced that Jason Marquis isn't going to Win over my Pedro Martinez.