baseball prospectus thoughts on Dice-k
Baseball prospectus taking into account the team and park he pitches for has predicted a 4.01 era,15 wins,19 hr's given up,for 33 million a year thats pretty dissapointing if i was a sox fan or the sox owner who's paying him.sounds like a poor mans Mike Mussina,or maybe a tad better then a andy pettitte.
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Yankees Hate Warms My Heart.
The one that says "There seems to be a disconnect between my contention that PECOTA has a very good forecast for Daisuke Matsuzaka and the 4.01 ERA that forecast entailed."
"Here is how PECOTA compares Matsuzaka's projected ERA to a handful of other star pitchers, projected as members of the 2007 Red Sox."
Chris Carpenter, 3.95
Daisuke Matsuzaka, 4.01
Carlos Zambrano, 4.08
Roy Oswalt, 4.20
Barry Zito, 4.96
"Matsuzaka is almost certainly an All-Star caliber pitcher, and he might be a HOF-caliber pitcher. He's going to live up to the hype."
PECOTA
I wonder if a rotation with Zito as the 5th starter would have a certain unaccounted intimidation factor that PECOTA wouldn't be able to pick-up.
yankee fans?
by cookedricebrown on Dec 13, 2006 10:03 PM EST reply actions
Agree
But if Dice-K pitches to a 4.00 wouldn't a Red Sox fan be happier knowing the yanks are stuck with another albatross contract?
I like ESPN's Eric Karabell's take:
Karabell is a retard.....
C'mon, this is just dumb analysis. You can insert his favorite pitcher's name in Dice-K's slot in that article, and the same thing holds true....they're all abused at some point!
Hmmmm
Here is his basbeallcube.com page.
Yankee Fans Are Good At Math.
Hardball Times Agrees it's a good deal, so it must be true.
by stillredsoxfan on Dec 13, 2006 11:19 PM EST reply actions
Dice K
Ill take that.

by cookedricebrown on 






























