Consensus Position Rankings/Projections: Top 75 Outfielders for 2014, Part 3

Benny Sieu-USA TODAY Sports

It's Outfielder Week at Fake Teams, where we publish part 3 of our consensus Top 75 fantasy outfielder rankings for 2014. Check out where the Fake Teams writers rank Khris Davis, George Springer, Kole Calhoun and others.

On Monday, we brought you part 1 of our consensus Top 75 Outfielder Rankings, and on Wednesday we brought your part 2 of our rankings. Today, we bring you part 3 of our consensus fantasy outfielder rankings for 2014.

Below you will find links to all of our position rankings and projections that we have published to date:

CatcherPart 1Part 2

First BasePart 1Part 2

Second BasePart 1Part 2

ShortstopPart 1Part 2

Third Base: Part 1Part 2

Outfielders: Part 1Part 2

The outfielder rankings will be split into three parts, rankings, player profiles and projections for outfielders ranked 1 - 25 in part 1, and rankings, player profiles and projections for outfielders ranked 26 - 50 in part 2 to be published on Wednesday morning, and outfielders ranked 51-75 on Friday morning. I probaby won't write about each of the outfielders ranked, but will provide comments on players that I like/dislike for 2014. Consensus rankings should bring about discussion amongst you, our readers, and the Fake Teams writers who participated in this series.

In addition to the rankings, we are now offering your 2014 projections for each player ranked, courtesy of Dan Schwartz from Fake Teams and Rotobanter. He has spent all offseason on his projections, and to learn more about how he calculates his projections, you can read his explanations here: Part 1| Part 2| Part 3. Part 1 details his projection approach, Part 2 details how he calculates his hitter projections and part 3 details how he calculates his pitcher projections.

We didn't stop at just providing you rankings and projections, as we are also providing you with auction values, courtesy of Dan, along with the Equivalent Fantasy Average for each player ranked, courtesy of Daniel Kelley. The equivalent fantasy average can be used to compare players at the same position.

Here is a brief explanation of Equivalent Fantasy Average, from Daniel's Fantasy Average Positional Breakdownpiece a few weeks ago:

Those who have been around the last week or two probably saw my Fantasy Average piece, in which I attempted to use standard deviations to present every offensive players' fantasy contributions in terms of a batting average-like number. That presentation is a useful ranking tool and, since it's on a scale we're all familiar with, is a heck of a shorthand for overall strength. If your guy hit ".300" by Fantasy Average, he's a heck of a player.

And all of this is consolidated, with player photos, into statistical tables thanks to the work of Jason Hunt.

2014 Outfielder Rankings - Part 3

Now let's take a look at part 3 of our Top 75 Fantasy Outfielder Rankings for 2014:

Rank Player Team Ranking Points Ray Matt Brian Alex Daniel Joe Jason Zack
51 Khris Davis MIL 202 55 37 57 46 72 42 71 42
52 B.J. Upton ATL 200 33 55 59 59 51 70 49 48
53 Nick Markakis BAL 193 75 59 39 55 54 38 53 58
54 Dexter Fowler HOU 192 53 67 55 57 60 55 57 28
55 Michael Brantley CLE 183 59 52 54 45 36 60 57
56 George Springer HOU 175 51 34 53 65 58 58 52
57 Alejandro De Aza CHW 173 56 54 52 39 72 61 39
58 Chris Carter HOU 169 54 65 51 75 49 41 55 65
59 Ben Revere PHI 166 47 42 62 61 74 47 63 62
60 Colby Rasmus TOR 162 49 63 63 53 56 56 62 60
61 Josh Reddick OAK 159 58 56 65 56 61 57 59 53
62 Carl Crawford LAD 149 60 51 60 64 55 61 58 66
63 Kole Calhoun LAA 146 48 54 64 70 62 34 74 72
64 Oswaldo Arcia MIN 130 67 61 58 69 49 69 43
65 Eric Young NYM 126 65 74 58 66 59 53 54 69
66 Denard Span WSN 83 66 67 64 66 68 54
67 Marlon Byrd PHI 78 61 69 74 63 74 56 71
67 Avisail Garcia CHW 78 50 68 72 68 54
69 Oscar Taveras STL 70 36 73 69 64
70 Andre Ethier LAD 66 70 58 75 72 49
71 Evan Gattis ATL 60 67 60 66 59
72 Daniel Nava BOS 59 73 57 63 75 63
73 Jackie Bradley BOS 48 73 57 69 65
74 Peter Bourjos STL 46 72 70 66 71 73 70
75 Lorenzo Cain KCR 35 67 65 67

Others Receiving Votes: Josh Willingham (35), Cameron Maybin (34), Matt Joyce (29), Angel Pagan (26), Michael Saunders (26), Carlos Quentin (26), Mike Morse (26), Melky Cabrera (22) Nate Schierholtz (21), Lucas Duda (13), Rajai Davis (11), Marcell Ozuna (11), Gerardo Parra (10), Junior Lake (9), Ryan Ludwick (7), A.J. Pollock (7), Justin Ruggiano (7), Chris Young (5), Aaron Hicks (4), Gregory Polanco (3), Raul Ibanez (3)

Player Profiles

There are several outfielders listed in the 51-75 rankings that could break out in 2014, including Khris Davis, Kole Calhoun, George Springer and Oscar Taveras. Springer and Taveras just need a phone call to start making an impact on fantasy rosters, while Davis and Calhoun have to show that their cup of coffee in 2013 was no fluke.

20130217_jla_ar5_389.0.

# 51 Khris Davis (MIL)

Photo Credit: Jake Roth - USA Today Sports
2013 FANTASY STATISTICS
AVG R HR RBI SB
0.279 27 11 27 3
2013 SECONDARY STATISTICS
PA OBP% SLG% BB% K%
153 0.353 0.596 7.19% 22.22%
2014 ROTOBANTER PROJECTIONS
AVG R HR RBI SB
0.258 64 21 74 7
Auction Value: $ 6 Equivalent Fantasy Average: 0.265

If it wasn't for Billy Hamilton getting all the offseason hype, Davis might be the next guy in line. Davis is getting some hype due to his terrific performance in his big league debut last season, where he hit .279-.353-.596 with 11 home runs, 27 runs, 27 RBI and 3 stolen bases in 153 plate appearances.

His batted ball profile shows that he hits enough line drives (20%) to hit for a decent average, but his 28.9% home run per fly ball percentage is not something he will repeat in 2014. In fact, his HR/FB% ranked right up there with the other Chris Davis among hitters with 150 or more plate appearances last season. I want to see him do this for a full season before I believe in this kind of power.

One thing he has going for him is he has tremendous plate discipline, as he walked more than 10% of his plate appearances at three different levels over the last two years, and doesn't strike out a ton.

20130220_jla_sv7_328.0.

# 52 B.J. Upton (ATL)

Photo Credit: Kim Klement - USA Today Sports
2013 FANTASY STATISTICS
AVG R HR RBI SB
0.184 30 9 26 12
2013 SECONDARY STATISTICS
PA OBP% SLG% BB% K%
446 0.268 0.289 9.87% 33.86%
2014 ROTOBANTER PROJECTIONS
AVG R HR RBI SB
0.218 59 15 57 20
Auction Value: $ -2.51 Equivalent Fantasy Average: 0.254

I wrote about Upton in my players to target which published yesterday. Here is an excerpt:

He already owns two 20-30 seasons and three 20-20 seasons, and you can draft him in the 14th round of the 15 team NFBC leagues. Not many 20-30 hitters are found that late in drafts. Does he come with some risk? Sure, but drafting him that late in drafts, you are buying all upside.

I am willing to take on the batting average risk that comes with Upton, as I think he returns to being a 20 home run, 30 stolen base hitter in 2014.

Name AVG R HR RBI SB Auc $ EFA
# 53 Nick Markakis (BAL) 0.282 85 11 68 1 7.42 0.266
# 54 Dexter Fowler (HOU) 0.264 75 13 51 13 3.96 0.262
# 55 Michael Brantley (CLE) 0.285 66 10 71 15 8.03 0.268

20140221_mse_gb3_837.0.

# 56 George Springer (HOU)

Photo Credit: Tommy Gilligan - USA Today Sports
2013 FANTASY STATISTICS
AVG R HR RBI SB
0 0 0 0 0
2013 SECONDARY STATISTICS
PA OBP% SLG% BB% K%
0 0 0 0.00% 0.00%
2014 ROTOBANTER PROJECTIONS
AVG R HR RBI SB
0.24 59 16 55 23
Auction Value: $ 2.22 Equivalent Fantasy Average: 0.26

Springer is one of the prospects that you will want to target late in drafts this season. If he doesn't make the 25 man roster on Opening Day, it shouldn't be long before he gets a call up in 2014. The Astros spent some money this season, so it appears they want to improve upon their 111 losses last season, so there is a slight chance he moves west with the team in late March.

If so, he would move up my outfielder rankings, probably into my top 40, as he has the tools and talent to put up a 20-20 season in 2014.

Matt Mattingly wrote about him yesterday here.

Name AVG R HR RBI SB Auc $ EFA
# 57 Alejandro De Aza (CHW) 0.262 55 7 38 13 -4.24 0.251

20130221_mje_ah6_1130.

# 58 Chris Carter (HOU)

Photo Credit: Derick E. Hingle - USA Today Sports
2013 FANTASY STATISTICS
AVG R HR RBI SB
0.223 64 29 82 2
2013 SECONDARY STATISTICS
PA OBP% SLG% BB% K%
585 0.32 0.451 11.97% 36.24%
2014 ROTOBANTER PROJECTIONS
AVG R HR RBI SB
0.235 66 29 83 1
Auction Value: $ 5.27 Equivalent Fantasy Average: 0.265

Carter is one guy you should target later in drafts if you are in need of some power, but he will be a hindrance on your team batting average. Last season, he hit  .223-.320-.451 with 29 home runs, 64 runs and 82 RBI in 148 games, but with the power you got a 36% strikeout rate. Luckily, he walks a good deal, so he provides some value in OBP leagues.

20140215_mje_sv7_1320.0

# 59 Ben Revere (PHI)

Photo Credit: Kim Klement - USA Today Sports
2013 FANTASY STATISTICS
AVG R HR RBI SB
0.305 37 0 17 22
2013 SECONDARY STATISTICS
PA OBP% SLG% BB% K%
336 0.338 0.352 4.76% 10.71%
2014 ROTOBANTER PROJECTIONS
AVG R HR RBI SB
0.292 69 0 30 38
Auction Value: $ 4.98 Equivalent Fantasy Average: 0.265

Revere missed almost half of the season due to a fractured foot in 2013, and he will be looking to bounce back as a result. When he did play, he hit well, hitting .305-.338-.352 with 22 stolen bases in 88 games, and he still has the skills to steal 40+ bases, so don't sleep on him on draft day.

Name AVG R HR RBI SB Auc $ EFA
# 60 Colby Rasmus (TOR) 0.247 62 25 72 1 3.68 0.262
# 61 Josh Reddick (OAK) 0.241 63 20 66 10 2.56 0.26
# 62 Carl Crawford (LAD) 0.277 70 8 38 16 1.36 0.259

20130221_mjr_su5_016.0.

# 63 Kole Calhoun (LAA)

Photo Credit: Mark J. Rebilas - USA Today Sports
2013 FANTASY STATISTICS
AVG R HR RBI SB
0.282 29 8 32 2
2013 SECONDARY STATISTICS
PA OBP% SLG% BB% K%
222 0.347 0.462 9.46% 18.47%
2014 ROTOBANTER PROJECTIONS
AVG R HR RBI SB
0.275 70 18 70 10
Auction Value: $ 8.46 Equivalent Fantasy Average: 0.269

Like Khris Davis, Calhoun is getting plenty of sleeper love this offseason. Calhoun made the most of his cup of coffee last season, hitting .282-.347-.462 with 8 home runs, 29 runs, 32 RBI and 2 stolen bases in just 222 plate appearances.

Calhoun will play every day in Los Angeles and could hit at the top of the Angels lineup as well.

20130219_jla_ah6_087.0.

# 64 Oswaldo Arcia (MIN)

Photo Credit: Derick E. Hingle - USA Today Sports
2013 FANTASY STATISTICS
AVG R HR RBI SB
0.251 34 14 43 1
2013 SECONDARY STATISTICS
PA OBP% SLG% BB% K%
378 0.304 0.43 6.08% 30.95%
2014 ROTOBANTER PROJECTIONS
AVG R HR RBI SB
0.262 59 23 70 2
Auction Value: $ 4.37 Equivalent Fantasy Average: 0.263

Arcia offers excellent power later in drafts, but plays in the pitchers park that is Target Field. He hit .251 with 14 home runs, 34 runs and 43 RBI in 378 plate appearances, but he struck out 31% of the time. I wouldn't put too much into that as he never struck out that much in the minors, and see him improving in 2014.

20130221_mje_sz6_800.0.

# 65 Eric Young (NYM)

Photo Credit: Rick Scuteri - USA Today Sports
2013 FANTASY STATISTICS
AVG R HR RBI SB
0.249 70 2 32 46
2013 SECONDARY STATISTICS
PA OBP% SLG% BB% K%
598 0.31 0.336 7.69% 16.72%
2014 ROTOBANTER PROJECTIONS
AVG R HR RBI SB
0.256 77 3 37 42
Auction Value: $ 4.34 Equivalent Fantasy Average: 0.264

EYJr led the National League in stolen bases last season, if you can believe it. It looks like the Mets will play him every day in the outfield to start the season, so he has plenty of value due to his stolen base potential this season. Could he steal more bases than Billy Hamilton this season? He could if he plays 145-150 games.

Name AVG R HR RBI SB Auc $ EFA
# 66 Denard Span (WSN) 0.272 68 4 42 17 -0.09 0.257
# 67 Avisail Garcia (CHW) 0.275 62 14 63 9 4.03 0.263
# 68 Marlon Byrd (PHI) 0.255 46 13 50 2 -5.69 0.249

20130219_jla_su8_030.0.

# 69 Oscar Taveras (STL)

Photo Credit: Steve Mitchell - USA Today Sports
2013 FANTASY STATISTICS
AVG R HR RBI SB
0 0 0 0 0
2013 SECONDARY STATISTICS
PA OBP% SLG% BB% K%
0 0 0 0.00% 0.00%
2014 ROTOBANTER PROJECTIONS
AVG R HR RBI SB
0.284 15 3 17 2
Auction Value: $ -18.82 Equivalent Fantasy Average: N/A

Taveras will probably start the season in AAA, but is an injury or long slump from Matt Adams from a call up. He has the potential to hit .300 and hit 25 or more home runs at his peak, but could hit .275 with 15-17 home runs if he gets 500 at bats this season.

Jason Hunt profiled Taveras on Wednesday here.

20140220_mjr_su5_066.0.

# 70 Andre Ethier (LAD)

Photo Credit: Mark J. Rebilas - USA Today Sports
2013 FANTASY STATISTICS
AVG R HR RBI SB
0.272 54 12 52 4
2013 SECONDARY STATISTICS
PA OBP% SLG% BB% K%
553 0.36 0.423 11.03% 17.18%
2014 ROTOBANTER PROJECTIONS
AVG R HR RBI SB
0.272 38 7 37 2
Auction Value: $ -9.69 Equivalent Fantasy Average: 0.245

Ethier has an ADP per NFBC of 331.84, so he is being drafted around the 20th round in 15 team leagues right now. I see his ADP rising from here, as Matt Kemp will probably start the season on the disabled list, even if his MRI comes back fine later today. As a result, Ethier should be playing every day in a very good Dodgers lineup. Should Kemp come back 100% healthy, Ethier could end up traded, and that could be to a team in a better hitters park, so there are a few reasons to draft Ethier late in drafts this season.

Name AVG R HR RBI SB Auc $ EFA
# 71 Evan Gattis (ATL) 0.253 44 19 53 0 -0.21 0.251
# 72 Daniel Nava (BOS) 0.281 67 10 59 0 1.23 0.259
# 73 Jackie Bradley (BOS) 0.252 61 8 54 11 -2.18 0.254
# 74 Peter Bourjos (STL) 0.257 55 8 50 13 -2.99 0.253
# 75 Lorenzo Cain (KCR) 0.263 60 8 52 16 -0.02 0.257

Fantasy Rundown

If you are looking for more position rankings, or plain old fantasy baseball goodness, make sure you check out Fantasy Rundown, your one place to get all things fantasy.

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