Consensus Position Rankings/Projections: Top 75 Outfielders for 2014, Part 2

Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports

It's Outfielder Week at Fake Teams, where we publish part 2 of our consensus Top 75 fantasy outfielder rankings for 2014. Check out where the Fake Teams writers rank Billy Hamilton, Mark Trumbo and others.

On Monday, we brought you part 1 of our consensus Top 75 Outfielder Rankings. Today, we bring you part 2 of our consensus fantasy outfielder rankings for 2014.

Below you will find links to all of our position rankings and projections that we have published to date:

Catcher: Part 1| Part 2

First Base: Part 1| Part 2

Second Base: Part 1| Part 2

Shortstop: Part 1| Part 2

Third Base: Part 1| Part 2

The outfielder rankings will be split into three parts, rankings, player profiles and projections for outfielders ranked 1 - 25 in part 1, and rankings, player profiles and projections for outfielders ranked 26 - 50 in part 2 to be published on Wednesday morning, and outfielders ranked 51-75 on Friday morning. I probaby won't write about each of the outfielders ranked, but will provide comments on players that I like/dislike for 2014. Consensus rankings should bring about discussion amongst you, our readers, and the Fake Teams writers who participated in this series.

In addition to the rankings, we are now offering your 2014 projections for each player ranked, courtesy of Dan Schwartz from Fake Teams and Rotobanter. He has spent all offseason on his projections, and to learn more about how he calculates his projections, you can read his explanations here: Part 1| Part 2| Part 3. Part 1 details his projection approach, Part 2 details how he calculates his hitter projections and part 3 details how he calculates his pitcher projections.

We didn't stop at just providing you rankings and projections, as we are also providing you with auction values, courtesy of Dan, along with the Equivalent Fantasy Average for each player ranked, courtesy of Daniel Kelley. The equivalent fantasy average can be used to compare players at the same position.

Here is a brief explanation of Equivalent Fantasy Average, from Daniel's Fantasy Average Positional Breakdownpiece a few weeks ago:

Those who have been around the last week or two probably saw my Fantasy Average piece, in which I attempted to use standard deviations to present every offensive players' fantasy contributions in terms of a batting average-like number. That presentation is a useful ranking tool and, since it's on a scale we're all familiar with, is a heck of a shorthand for overall strength. If your guy hit ".300" by Fantasy Average, he's a heck of a player.

And all of this is consolidated, with player photos, into statistical tables thanks to the work of Jason Hunt.

2014 Outfielder Rankings

Now let's take a look at part 2 of our Top 75 Fantasy Outfielder Rankings for 2014:

Rank Player Team Ranking Points Ray Matt Brian Alex Daniel Joe Jason Zack
26 Mark Trumbo ARI 414 28 25 21 25 27 25 27 32
27 Domonic Brown PHI 404 29 27 28 27 34 27 28 20
28 Josh Hamilton LAA 390 25 24 29 38 23 23 26 46
29 Desmond Jennings TBR 386 30 20 34 33 29 32 30 30
30 Carlos Beltran NYY 382 26 46 35 30 31 26 25 23
31 Ben Zobrist TBR 376 34 33 25 35 30 35 29 27
32 Nelson Cruz FA 359 38 28 26 36 37 30 35 35
33 Michael Cuddyer COL 354 27 39 36 31 35 37 32 33
34 Austin Jackson DET 353 45 32 31 32 26 21 33 51
35 Shane Victorino BOS 352 40 31 32 26 42 31 36 34
36 Curtis Granderson NYM 313 37 35 33 44 38 59 34 31
37 Brandon Moss OAK 295 36 45 41 38 47 44 42 36
38 Leonys Martin TEX 293 39 43 37 34 41 46 39 52
39 Alfonso Soriano NYY 290 32 47 48 42 43 27 50 45
40 Billy Hamilton CIN 289 41 75 50 28 28 29 37 47
41 Coco Crisp OAK 270 35 53 42 40 48 52 40 44
42 Torii Hunter DET 268 46 52 47 49 50 33 38 41
43 Will Venable SDP 261 44 40 44 37 44 67 47 40
44 Norichika Aoki KCR 258 62 60 38 41 46 39 43 37
45 Martin Prado ARI 242 50 38 56 45 33 44 38
46 Brett Gardner NYY 240 64 48 43 43 40 51 45 50
47 Michael Bourn CLE 234 52 44 40 48 36 60 46 64
48 Christian Yelich MIA 223 42 41 49 51 73 48 41 56
49 Adam Eaton CHW 212 43 49 46 50 52 43 51
50 Nick Swisher CLE 208 57 66 45 47 53 45 48 55

Player Profiles

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# 26 Mark Trumbo (ARI)

Photo Credit: Mark J. Rebilas - USA Today Sports
2013 FANTASY STATISTICS
AVG R HR RBI SB
0.234 85 34 100 5
2013 SECONDARY STATISTICS
PA OBP% SLG% BB% K%
678 0.294 0.453 7.96% 27.14%
2014 ROTOBANTER PROJECTIONS
AVG R HR RBI SB
0.249 75 31 91 4
Auction Value: $ 11.99 Equivalent Fantasy Average: 0.274

Trumbo moves from from the pitcher-friendly Angels Stadium to the hitter-friendly Chase Field in 2014, so one should surmise that he should be able to hit 30+ home runs once again. I think he will, but don't go crazy thinking he will hit 40 home runs this season, as there was only two hitters to reach that mark last season, Chris Davis and Miguel Cabrera.

Only four hitters have hit more home runs than Trumbo since he came into the league three seasons ago, Miguel Cabrera, Adrian Beltre, Jose Bautista and Jay Bruce, and now he is moving to a better hitters park, Chase Field. He could approach 40 home runs in 2014, but he will have to quickly adjust to all of the excellent pitching in the National League, especially the NL West.

20140215_mje_sv7_1299.0

# 27 Domonic Brown (PHI)

Photo Credit: Kim Klement - USA Today Sports
2013 FANTASY STATISTICS
AVG R HR RBI SB
0.272 65 27 83 8
2013 SECONDARY STATISTICS
PA OBP% SLG% BB% K%
540 0.324 0.494 7.22% 17.96%
2014 ROTOBANTER PROJECTIONS
AVG R HR RBI SB
0.27 68 24 85 9
Auction Value: $ 11.85 Equivalent Fantasy Average: 0.273

Brown had a breakout season in 2013 after making adjustments to his swing, hitting ,272-.324-.494 with 27 home runs, 65 runs, 83 RBI and 8 stolen bases. Brown had a scorching first half last season, hitting .273 with 23 of his 27 home runs and 67 of his 83 RBI, so one has to wonder what happened to him in the second half to cause the huge drop off. Injuries limited him to just 44 games and 156 plate appearances, so that explains some of it. But, there are reasons to be concerned about Brown heading into 2014, as he was rumored to be on the trade block, and at one point was close to being traded to the Blue Jays for Jose Bautista.

His batted ball profile indicates that he can sustain the .270ish batting average, but he will have to repeat the 20% home run per fly ball rate for the power to show up again this season. He plays in what was the best home run ballpark in the majors last season, so he has a good shot at hitting 20-25 home runs at least, and has the potential for a 30 home run, 15-20 stolen base season in 2014.

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# 28 Josh Hamilton (LAA)

Photo Credit: Mark J. Rebilas - USA Today Sports
2013 FANTASY STATISTICS
AVG R HR RBI SB
0.25 73 21 79 4
2013 SECONDARY STATISTICS
PA OBP% SLG% BB% K%
636 0.307 0.432 7.39% 24.84%
2014 ROTOBANTER PROJECTIONS
AVG R HR RBI SB
0.265 78 22 91 5
Auction Value: $ 12.05 Equivalent Fantasy Average: 0.273

Hamilton struggled in 2013, hitting .250-.307-.432 with 21 home runs, 73 runs and 79 RBI in 151 games, his most games played since 2008. His season stats were greatly influenced by his horrible first half split which saw him hit .224 with 14 home runs and 39 RBI, but he found his stroke in the second half, hitting .287 with 7 home runs and 40 RBI.

I see a nice bounce back year from Hamilton in 2014, and he is one outfielder I am targeting this season. The move to a new ball park and the pressure of the new contract may have impacted him somewhat, but people shouldn't forget the amazing first two months of the 2012 season where he hit 21 home runs, drove in 57 runs and hit over .350. He still has that power and hit tool and could have a very nice bounce back season, with a chance for 30 home runs and 90 RBI.

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# 29 Desmond Jennings (TBR)

Photo Credit: Kim Klement - USA Today Sports
2013 FANTASY STATISTICS
AVG R HR RBI SB
0.252 82 14 54 20
2013 SECONDARY STATISTICS
PA OBP% SLG% BB% K%
602 0.334 0.414 10.63% 19.10%
2014 ROTOBANTER PROJECTIONS
AVG R HR RBI SB
0.257 90 15 51 25
Auction Value: $ 9.52 Equivalent Fantasy Average: 0.27

Jennings has never lived up to his prospect hype in the big leagues, but still hold plenty of fantasy value if you can overlook the low batting average. Last season, Jennings hit .252-.334-.414 with 14 home runs, 82 runs, 54 RBI and 20 stolen bases in 28 attempts. He improved his walk rate to just under 11%, and lowered his strikeout rate from 21% to 19%, so he is making slow improvements at the plate, yet they haven't shown up in his stats.

Early spring reports indicate he has bulked up a bit in the offseason, adding 10-15 pounds of muscle, we could see a bit of a power breakout from him in 2014. It is still to be determined where he hits in the Rays lineup, as he has gone from leading off to batting lower in the order last season.

i could see him hitting 15-20 home runs with 25+ stolen bases in an injury free season in 2014.

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# 30 Carlos Beltran (NYY)

Photo Credit: Kim Klement - USA Today Sports
2013 FANTASY STATISTICS
AVG R HR RBI SB
0.296 79 24 84 2
2013 SECONDARY STATISTICS
PA OBP% SLG% BB% K%
600 0.339 0.491 6.33% 15.00%
2014 ROTOBANTER PROJECTIONS
AVG R HR RBI SB
0.282 75 23 79 2
Auction Value: $ 11.87 Equivalent Fantasy Average: 0.273

I loved the Beltran signing for the Yankees this offseason, as Beltran offers them an excellent bat in the middle of a lineup decimated by injury last season. He is someone who can play in the outfield and DH when needed, offering fantasy owners 20-25 home run power (maybe a few more with that right field porch in Yankee Stadium) along with a solid batting average and RBI total in 2014.

Here is what I wrote about Beltran earlier this offseason:

Beltran has been known as an injury risk, and he is, but he has played in 142 games or more in each of the last three seasons. That is more games played thanMatt Kemp, Ryan Braun, Carl Crawford, Jacoby Ellsbury and Shin-Soo Chooover the last three seasons. Moving to the Yankees allows him to DH on occasion, allowing him to rest his balky knees a few times per week.

Name AVG R HR RBI SB Auc $ EFA
# 31 Ben Zobrist (TBR) 0.267 81 15 74 11 11.71 0.269

20130220_mjr_su5_029.0.

# 32 Nelson Cruz (BAL)

Photo Credit: Mark J. Rebilas - USA Today Sports
2013 FANTASY STATISTICS
AVG R HR RBI SB
0.266 49 27 76 5
2013 SECONDARY STATISTICS
PA OBP% SLG% BB% K%
456 0.327 0.506 7.68% 23.90%
2014 ROTOBANTER PROJECTIONS
AVG R HR RBI SB
0.259 64 27 88 6
Auction Value: $ 10.35 Equivalent Fantasy Average: 0.271

Cruz could be a value pick in fantasy drafts this season, as there are going to be several owners in your draft room who are skeptical of him after his PED suspension last season. But, he has signed with the Orioles who play in a hitters park, and he could shine once again. Believe it or not, Cruz has hit 22 or more home runs in five straight seasons, and was well on his way to a 30 home run, 100 RBI season last year before the suspension.

He will be hitting fifth in the Baltimore lineup this season, behind fellow power hitters Adam Jones and Chris Davis, ahead of catcher Matt Wieters, and I expect yet another 20 home run, 80 RBI season from him, assuming he can stay healthy. Don't let the PED suspension affect your ranking of him in 2014.

20130221_mje_sz6_843.0.

# 33 Michael Cuddyer (COL)

Photo Credit: Rick Scuteri - USA Today Sports
2013 FANTASY STATISTICS
AVG R HR RBI SB
0.331 74 20 84 10
2013 SECONDARY STATISTICS
PA OBP% SLG% BB% K%
540 0.389 0.53 8.52% 18.52%
2014 ROTOBANTER PROJECTIONS
AVG R HR RBI SB
0.28 65 15 72 9
Auction Value: $ 7.27 Equivalent Fantasy Average: 0.267

Rockies manager Walt Weiss indicated recently that he is considering batting Cuddyer in the two spot in the Rockies lineup this season. I don't mind the move up in the lineup, as he will be hitting ahead of Carlos Gonzalez and Troy Tulowtizki. The move will lower his RBI totals, but should increase his run total, as a result.

Cuddyer enjoyed his second season in Colorado, hitting .331-.389-.530 with 20 home runs, 74 runs, 84 RBI and 10 stolen bases. His slash line was buoyed by a .382 batting average of balls in play, and he isn't repeating that. He will get time at first base this season, platooning with Justin Morneau vs lefties, so he should be able to repeat his counting stats in 2014.

Name AVG R HR RBI SB Auc $ EFA
# 34 Austin Jackson (DET) 0.276 110 15 52 10 12.51 0.273
# 35 Shane Victorino (BOS) 0.279 79 14 62 18 9.99 0.271

20130220_jla_ah6_110.0.

# 36 Curtis Granderson (NYM)

Photo Credit: Derick E. Hingle - USA Today Sports
2013 FANTASY STATISTICS
AVG R HR RBI SB
0.229 31 7 15 8
2013 SECONDARY STATISTICS
PA OBP% SLG% BB% K%
245 0.317 0.407 11.02% 28.16%
2014 ROTOBANTER PROJECTIONS
AVG R HR RBI SB
0.228 64 18 69 9
Auction Value: $ 1 Equivalent Fantasy Average: 0.257

I was not a fan of Granderson last season, as I am not in the camp that says his power will play in Citi Field this season. He is coming off an injury-plagued 2013 season, where he was limited to 61 games, hitting .229-.317-.407 with 7 home runs, 31 runs, 15 RBI and 8 stolen bases. Prior to 2013, he hit 40+ home runs in two consecutive seasons, and some think he still has that power in him. I see more of a 20-25 home run season for Granderson in 2014, but that will come with a low batting average once again.

20130218_kkt_st3_060.0

# 37 Brandon Moss (OAK)

Photo Credit: Kyle Terada - USA Today Sports
2013 FANTASY STATISTICS
AVG R HR RBI SB
0.256 73 30 87 4
2013 SECONDARY STATISTICS
PA OBP% SLG% BB% K%
505 0.337 0.522 9.90% 27.72%
2014 ROTOBANTER PROJECTIONS
AVG R HR RBI SB
0.253 70 26 80 2
Auction Value: $ 7.04 Equivalent Fantasy Average: 0.268

Moss showed us that his power is for real in 2013, hitting 30 home runs and driving in 87 runs in 505 plate appearances, after hitting 21 home runs with 48 runs and 52 RBI in just 296 plate appearances in 2012. Moss strikes out about once per game, but knows how to take a walk as well, so he has more value in OBP leagues. He is a solid mid-round power option after most of the top 100 players are off the board.

20130221_mjr_su5_135.0.

# 38 Leonys Martin (TEX)

Photo Credit: Mark J. Rebilas - USA Today Sports
2013 FANTASY STATISTICS
AVG R HR RBI SB
0.26 66 8 49 36
2013 SECONDARY STATISTICS
PA OBP% SLG% BB% K%
508 0.313 0.385 5.51% 20.47%
2014 ROTOBANTER PROJECTIONS
AVG R HR RBI SB
0.265 73 10 47 30
Auction Value: $ 6.13 Equivalent Fantasy Average: 0.266

New Fake Teams writer Jasper Scherer wrote about Martin in this player profile on Monday.

Name AVG R HR RBI SB Auc $ EFA
# 39 Alfonso Soriano (NYY) 0.248 69 28 94 11 11.91 0.274

20140220_mje_aa9_535.0.

# 40 Billy Hamilton (CIN)

Photo Credit: Joe Camporeale - USA Today Sports
2013 FANTASY STATISTICS
AVG R HR RBI SB
0.368 9 0 1 13
2013 SECONDARY STATISTICS
PA OBP% SLG% BB% K%
22 0.429 0.474 9.09% 18.18%
2014 ROTOBANTER PROJECTIONS
AVG R HR RBI SB
0.251 83 3 36 71
Auction Value: $ 12.32 Equivalent Fantasy Average: 0.275

Hamilton is the one outfielder receiving plenty of hype this offseason, as he will be the Reds Opening Day center fielder and could bat leadoff as well. Looking at the Reds roster reveals that he is probably their best option at the moment, and that raises his fantasy value a bit.

You don't need me to tell you that he could be a fantasy stud if he can get on base enough to stay in the lineup. For me, that is a real concern, as he struggled to hit AAA pitching last season, hitting just .256-.308-.343 with 75 runs scored and 75 stolen bases in 90 attempts. I like him this season, but not where he is being drafted.

He could be the next Dee Gordon. Or Vince Coleman.

Name AVG R HR RBI SB Auc $ EFA
# 41 Coco Crisp (OAK) 0.261 75 12 49 18 4.15 0.262
# 42 Torii Hunter (DET) 0.279 81 15 75 3 9.31 0.269
# 43 Will Venable (SDP) 0.251 59 10 49 20 -0.44 0.256
# 44 Norichika Aoki (KCR) 0.291 74 6 52 18 6.92 0.266

Crisp went from a 40 base stealer year in and year out to a 20 home run, 20 stolen base guy in 2013, but I don't see him repeating the power, as he won't repeat the 12% HR/FB rate. Venable had a great 2013 season, hitting .268 with 22 home runs and 22 stolen bases, but like Crisp, I don't see him repeating his 20% HR/FB rate in 2014. Aoki has scored 80 runs and stolen 20 or more bases in each of his two seasons in the big leagues, so he has value late in drafts.

Name AVG R HR RBI SB Auc $ EFA
# 45 Martin Prado (ARI) 0.284 72 12 79 3 10.34 0.267
# 46 Brett Gardner (NYY) 0.263 68 7 55 26 4.19 0.263
# 47 Michael Bourn (CLE) 0.262 70 5 45 25 1.83 0.26

Prado is one of the more underrated hitters in fantasy, as he will always help you in the batting average category, and chip in with double digit home runs and 70-80 runs and RBI. All that and he plays multiple positions, increasing his value on draft day. The two guys ranked below Prado are guys who will help you in the stolen base department…..errrr…..they should help you, that is. Last season, Bourn attempted just 35 stolen bases, down from 55 in 2012 and 65 in 2011. See the trend? Gardner just signed a deal to remain a Yankee for the next four years. Like Bourn, he offers owners 25-35 stolen bases, but with a solid .350 on base percentage.

20130222_mje_ss9_010.0.

# 48 Christian Yelich (MIA)

Photo Credit: Steve Mitchell - USA Today Sports
2013 FANTASY STATISTICS
AVG R HR RBI SB
0.288 34 4 16 10
2013 SECONDARY STATISTICS
PA OBP% SLG% BB% K%
273 0.37 0.396 11.36% 24.18%
2014 ROTOBANTER PROJECTIONS
AVG R HR RBI SB
0.268 78 12 46 19
Auction Value: $ 5.25 Equivalent Fantasy Average: 0.264

Yelich was called up to the majors in late July and proceeded to hit .288-.370-.396 with 4 home runs, 34 runs, 16 RBI and 10 stolen bases without getting caught in 273 plate appearances. Not bad for a rookie outfielder hitting in the spacious Marlins Park.

Yelich's batted ball profile shows that he is an excellent line drive hitter, but hits way too many ground balls. After his call up, Yelich hit 63% of his batted balls on the ground, and only 13% in the air. He will have to change that ratio if he is going to hit for any power down the road.

His batting average stands to regress in 2014, as his batting average of balls in play was an extremely high .380, but if he can maintain the line drive percentage, his batting average should stick in the .270 range. He offers middling power, but has the speed and youth to steal 20+ bases in a full season.

Name AVG R HR RBI SB Auc $ EFA
# 49 Adam Eaton (CHW) 0.278 79 10 43 21 6.15 0.266
# 50 Nick Swisher (CLE) 0.253 72 20 62 1 1.92 0.261

Eaton went from being the favorite to win the National League Rookie of the Year award to being traded out of the National League. Eaton lands with the White Sox, where he will play everyday with a chance for double digit home runs and 25+ stolen bases in 2014. I see Swisher returning to the .270 batting average with 20+ home runs and 80 RBI in 2014, as he was a bit unlucky in 2013. His line drive rate was 23%, so if he can repeat that this season, the average should rise. He's a solid mid-round option in the outfield.

Fantasy Rundown

If you are looking for more position rankings, or plain old fantasy baseball goodness, make sure you check out Fantasy Rundown, your one place to get all things fantasy.

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