NFBC ADP Rankings Analysis: Shortstop

Brian Kersey

Ray takes a look at the recent average draft position (ADP) data from NFBC for shortstops. Let's see how the rankings from the Fake Teams writers fared vs the NFBC ADP rankings.

Today we take a look at the average draft position data for shortstops to see how our consensus rankings fared against the NFBC (National Fantasy Baseball Championship) ADP rankings courtesy of NESN.com.

Along with the NFBC ADP rankings, the NESN site also provides the Max Pick and Min Pick data, which tells readers where the player was drafted the highest and the lowest thus far in the NFBC drafts.

In addition, I thought it would be helpful to include the Fake Teams consensus shortstop rankings in the table below to see how close the collective rankings of eight independent writers fared vs the NFBC ADP rankings. The NFBC rankings are collected from all the NFBC drafts that have completed to date. Each of the NBC drafts consist of 15 teams and 30 rounds, so the data is a good barometer for where players are being drafted.

Quick Thoughts

There is a consensus amongst the top 8-10 shortstop rankings, but the NFBC ADP data does not rank Rays infielder/outfielder in their shortstop rankings, even though he is eligible there. We are a few spots lower on Brewers shortstop Jean Segura vs the NFBC data, while they are lower on Nationals shortstop Ian Desmond.

If you want one of the top five shortstops in a 15 team league, you will have to draft one in the first three rounds, as Hanley, Tulo, Ian Desmond, Jose Reyes and Jean Segura all are dropping off the draft board early. Rangers shortstop Elvis Andrus is the next shortstop taken, and there is a large gap after Everth Cabrera, who is being drafted in the sixth round.

The next two shortstops off the NFBC draft boards, Starlin Castro and J.J. Hardy, represent the most value in drafts this year. Both play every day, don't come with injury risk....yet, and Hardy provide excellent power from the shortstop position, while I see a nice bounce back from Castro this season. I see him flourishing playing for new manager Rich Renteria.

Others who I see as great values are Xander Bogaerts, going in the 11th round, while Mariners shortstop Brad Miller is going in the 13th round, on average. Going much deeper in drafts, Diamondbacks shortstop Chris Owings owns an ADP of 361, and Zack Cozart with an ADP of 285.

The NFBC drafters like Cubs prospect Javier Baez enough to draft him in the 24th round on average, and he could come up and play second or third base for the Cubs this season, assuming Castro has a bounce back season,

NFBC ADP Rankings-Shortstop

Fake Teams Rank

NFBC Rank

Player

Pos

Pick

Min Pick

Max Pick

1

1

Hanley Ramirez

LAD

10.36

4

22

2

2

Troy Tulowitzki

Col

14.4

4

23

5

3

Jean Segura

Mil

29.27

16

45

4

4

Jose Reyes

Tor

34.85

18

59

3

5

Ian Desmond

Was

36.15

26

57

6

6

Elvis Andrus

Tex

52.4

36

75

10

7

Everth Cabrera

SD

83.15

54

109

8

8

Starlin Castro

ChC

119.73

86

178

7

9

J.J. Hardy

Bal

138.73

81

188

13

10

Andrelton Simmons

Atl

144

106

193

11

11

Jed Lowrie

Oak

146.18

98

200

15

12

Alexei Ramirez

CWS

149.6

97

194

12

13

Xander Bogaerts

Bos

163.87

111

216

14

14

Asdrubal Cabrera

Cle

173

137

208

19

15

Brad Miller

Sea

188.05

150

243

17

16

Jimmy Rollins

Phi

192.76

140

257

16

17

Jhonny Peralta

StL

201.84

148

263

23

18

Jonathan Villar

Hou

212.62

148

270

18

19

Erick Aybar

LAA

216.31

171

261

22

20

Alcides Escobar

KC

241.96

178

314

21

21

Zack Cozart

Cin

285.82

221

358

25

22

Derek Jeter

NYY

299.65

234

364

20

23

Stephen Drew

Bos

317.29

206

384

27

24

Jose Iglesias

Det

346.95

218

434

25

Javier Baez

ChC

353.75

263

479

26

26

Chris Owings

Ari

361.31

227

506

27

Jordy Mercer

Pit

365.29

307

461

24

28

Yunel Escobar

TB

368.11

272

444

29

29

Pedro Florimon

Min

425.13

315

503

30

Dee Gordon

LAD

430.82

272

504

31

Marcus Semien

CWS

434.4

332

584

28

32

Brandon Crawford

SF

441.07

315

574

33

Mike Aviles

Cle

444.69

374

551

34

Eduardo Nunez

NYY

451.22

339

611

30

35

Didi Gregorius

Ari

453.67

347

558

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