Last week Ray asked me to take a look at Dexter Fowler considering the start he's gotten off to. What I did was take his current stats and make a 162 game average out of them, and then start reducing from there. Obviously the home run pace is more than one can expect out of Fowler, but there's also the chance that he can pick up some value with extra stolen bases. Hopefully this look at what he can provide even with a reduction in his current onpace numbers can help you decide if you want to sell high on him. Again, I'd guess he underperform even the 60% home run numbers, but the other stats could be more at the 80% level.
|Baseline: 2013 (162 game pace)||687||594||.286||.382||.623||116||54||93||23|