A Look Back at our 2013 Consensus Starting Pitcher Rankings - Part 3

Otto Greule Jr

Ray reviews the Part 3 of the Fake Teams 2013 Consensus Starting Pitcher rankings and profiles three starting pitchers whose value increased this season and three whose value dropped this season.

I continue with my review of the Fake Teams 2013 Consensus Position Rankings by looking at our fantasy starting pitcher rankings from last November-December timeframe. Below are links to the positions that have been reviewed to date:

Catcher

First Base

Second Base

Shortstop

Third Base

Outfielders - Part 1

Outfielders - Part 2

Starting Pitchers - Part 1

Starting Pitchers - Part 2

The list of pitchers we ranked from 51 - 100 is full of guys who performed terribly, but there are also a number of pitchers who performed above expectations and will see their 2014 draft day values increase as a result. Among the pitchers who pitched above expectations are: Pirates starter Francisco Liriano, Cardinals starter Shelby Miller, Rays starter Alex Cobb and Mariners starters Hisashi Iwakuma. All four of these guys are proof that you can wait on pitching and do well in fantasy leagues. Who saw Liriano pitching like he did this season? I ceratainly didn't, but you have to hand it to the Pirates for taking a chance on him and thank their pitching coaches for transforming him into the dominant pitcher we saw several years ago.

Now let's take a look at the starting pitchers we ranked 51 - 100:

Rank

Player

Ray

Bret

Jason

Craig

Score

51

Jeremy Hellickson

53

49

52

55

211

52

Tim Hudson

48

48

57

61

206

53

Kyle Lohse

39

67

72

41

201

54

Homer Bailey

58

38

45

80

199

55

Phil Hughes

57

52

36

83

192

56

Matt Harrison

61

40

39

92

188

57

Marco Estrada

65

61

63

44

187

58

Edwin Jackson

68

50

68

49

185

59

Josh Beckett

51

68

58

65

178

60

Trevor Cahill

81

71

37

56

175

61

Clay Buchholz

78

43

81

43

175

62

Wade Miley

63

60

53

74

170

63

Brandon McCarthy

54

66

79

59

162

64

Jason Hammel

71

73

77

58

141

65

Tommy Hanson

70

87

46

79

138

66

Casey Kelly

62

79

91

57

131

67

Derek Holland

NR

53

51

86

125

68

Shaun Marcum

72

74

83

66

125

69

Wandy Rodriguez

64

76

84

72

124

70

Edinson Volquez

75

56

70

96

123

71

Mark Buehrle

67

90

80

76

107

72

Shelby Miller

55

91

NR

63

106

73

Andy Pettitte

56

58

96

NR

105

74

Colby Lewis

34

NR

76

NR

100

75

James McDonald

66

85

86

84

99

76

Johan Santana

NR

84

60

73

98

77

Chris Capuano

73

70

NR

75

97

78

Tyler Skaggs

92

78

75

81

94

79

Chad Billingsley

60

65

NR

NR

85

80

Wily Peralta

89

80

NR

62

84

81

Michael Fiers

69

94

69

NR

83

82

Cory Luebke

77

NR

98

60

80

83

Trevor Bauer

96

83

73

89

79

84

Dan Straily

86

88

92

77

77

85

Jason Vargas

NR

69

67

NR

74

86

A.J. Griffin

79

72

90

NR

74

87

Wei-Yin Chen

83

NR

88

71

73

88

Alex Cobb

82

59

NR

NR

69

89

Ricky Nolasco

95

NR

62

93

65

90

Chris Tillman

NR

77

NR

68

65

91

Tommy Milone

80

NR

71

NR

59

92

Ervin Santana

NR

82

NR

69

59

93

Francisco Liriano

NR

NR

66

87

57

94

Scott Baker

NR

75

NR

78

57

95

Bud Norris

NR

89

65

NR

56

96

Paul Maholm

NR

NR

74

82

54

97

Hisashi Iwakuma

NR

NR

93

70

47

98

Clayton Richard

NR

97

NR

67

46

99

Ricky Romero

NR

63

NR

NR

42

100

Felix Doubront

NR

NR

64

NR

41


Three Up

Ervin Santana, KC

The Royals took on his salary in an effort to bolster their rotation this season, and the move turned out very well for them. Even though he won just nine games this season, he lowered his ERA from 5.16 to 3.24 and his walk rate by almost a walk every nine innings. We ranked him at #92 in our top 100 and he will probably move up at least 40-45 spots heading into 2014.

Francisco Liriano,. PIT

Now here's a pitcher who will move up at least 60 spots from where we ranked him last year (#93). Liriano had a terrific season in Pittsburgh, going 16-8 with a 3.02 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and a 163-63 strikeout to walk rate in 161 innings this season. If he can continue striking out a batter per inning and inducing ground balls at a 50% clip, he could duplicate his 2013 performance next season.

Hisashi Iwakuma, SEA

We whiffed on Iwakuma huh? Iwakuma had a terrific season in the Mariners rotation, winning 14 games with a 2.66 ERA, 1.01 WHIP and a 185-42 strikeout to walk rate in 219.2 innings this season. Iwakuma is the starter who won't dominate with a high strikeout rate, but his 7.58 K/9 isn't shabby. Combine that with a sub - 2.00 walk rate and a 49% ground ball rate, and you have a top 25-30 starting pitcher on your hands.

Three Down

Edwin Jackson, CHC

Pitching for a bad Cubs team, Jackson had his worst season as a big leaguer, going 8-18 with a 4.98 ERA, a 1.46 WHIP, and a 135-59 strikeout to walk rate in 175.1 innings. His strikeout rate dropped, his walk rate bumped up a bit, but one positive to take away from his season is the increase in his ground ball rate to 51%. He has the talent to turn things around, and he is still just 30 years old.

Josh Beckett, LAD

I was high on Beckett coming into the season, as we saw his strikeout rate increase once he returned to the National League last season. He got knocked around this season, before landing on the disabled list with a right shoulder injury. I am not sure where he fits in the Dodgers rotation next season, especially with Chad Billingsley returning from Tommy John surgery, and the rumors that the team has interest in trading for Rays ace David Price.

Tommy Hanson, LAA

Hanson is not the starter we saw at the top of the Braves rotation just two to three seasons ago. He battled a forearm injury this season, and struggled when he was healthy, winning just four games with an ERA over 5.00. He is not draftable in 2014.

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