Who is Your Number 1 Overall Pick in 2013: Ryan Braun or Mike Trout?

Sept 16, 2012; Milwaukee, WI, USA; Milwaukee Brewers left fielder Ryan Braun (8) hits a home run in the sixth inning against the New York Mets at Miller Park. Mandatory Credit: Benny Sieu-US PRESSWIRE

I posted my Top 20 Outfielder Rankings about a week and half ago, where I ranked Mike Trout as my No. 1 outfielder for 2013. Many Fake Teams readers opined that Ryan Braun should be ranked ahead of Trout since he has more productive seasons under his belt. I don't have a problem picking either of them and arguments could be made for either Trout or Braun.

Let's take a look at their 2012 stats, courtesy of Baseball-Reference:

Mike Trout, LAA

Year Age G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS OPS+
2011 19 40 123 20 27 6 0 5 16 4 0 9 30 .220 .281 .390 .672 89
2012 20 123 501 116 166 24 6 27 77 45 4 54 119 .331 .397 .565 .962 170
2 Yrs 163 624 136 193 30 6 32 93 49 4 63 149 .309 .375 .530 .905 154
162 Game Avg. 162 620 135 192 30 6 32 92 49 4 63 148 .309 .375 .530 .905 154
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 9/16/2012.

Trout is having a truly unbelievable age 20 season in the majors, and production like this, at such a young age, portends of a very good career ahead of him. He leads the majors in runs scored, stolen bases, wRC+ and OPS+.

The real question for fantasy owners is what will he do in 2013? Can he improve upon his 2012 rookie season? I doubt it. But, let's say he does. Also, consider that he missed the first month of the season and still has 27 HRs, 116 runs, 77 RBI and 45 stolen bases this season. If you prorate his stats over a full season, he would hit 30+ HRs, steal 50+ bases an score 130+ runs.

Sounds like a No.1 overall pick to me. But, what if he doesn't duplicate his 2012 season? What happens if he pulls a Jason Heyward in 2013? That is the risk of drafting Trout No.1 overall next season. He has a track record of just one season. A might good one at the age of 20.

The other obvious choice for the No.1 outfielder spot in 2013 is Brewers outfielder Ryan Braun. Fresh off his 2011 MVP season, and an offseason that had him escaping a 50 game suspension for testing positive for PEDs on a technicality, Braun has had an even better 2012 season.

Here are Braun's 2012 stats, courtesy of Baseball - Reference:

Ryan Braun, MIL

Year Age G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI SB BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS OPS+
2007 23 113 451 91 146 26 6 34 97 15 29 112 .324 .370 .634 1.004 154
2008 24 151 611 92 174 39 7 37 106 14 42 129 .285 .335 .553 .888 130
2009 25 158 635 113 203 39 6 32 114 20 57 121 .320 .386 .551 .937 146
2010 26 157 619 101 188 45 1 25 103 14 56 105 .304 .365 .501 .866 131
2011 27 150 563 109 187 38 6 33 111 33 58 93 .332 .397 .597 .994 166
2012 28 137 534 93 166 30 3 38 101 24 58 117 .311 .386 .592 .978 157
6 Yrs 866 3413 599 1064 217 29 199 632 120 300 677 .312 .373 .567 .940 147
162 Game Avg. 162 638 112 199 41 5 37 118 22 56 127 .312 .373 .567 .940 147
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 9/16/2012.

Braun put up a 33 HR - 33 stolen base season in 2011, good enough to win the NL MVP award. This season has been even better for him, as he now has 40 HRs after hitting 2 on Sunday ( not reflected in the BR chart above), 100+ RBI and 24 stolen bases. He leads the NL in home runs, SLG and OPS, is second in runs and RBI, and 5th in batting average.

It will be interesting to see how many MVP votes he will receive from the baseball writers, but many seem to think he won't get too many due to failing the drug test last season. Even though he failed and got off, I think he is the NL MVP this season.

If we stop for a moment and agree that either could be the Number 1 outfielder in 2013, let's take this a step further. Who is your choice for No.1 overall pick in 2013? Trout or Braun?

Latest News

In This Article

Teams
Players

Trending Discussions

X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

By becoming a registered user, you are also agreeing to our Terms and confirming that you have read our Privacy Policy.

Join Fake Teams

You must be a member of Fake Teams to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Fake Teams. You should read them.

Join Fake Teams

You must be a member of Fake Teams to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Fake Teams. You should read them.

Spinner.vc97ec6e

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.

tracking_pixel_9351_tracker