ESPN's Keith Law held a chat on Friday to discuss some prospects who should be drafted in the 2012 MLB First Year player draft, along with established prospects. Here are some excerpts:
Hey Keith. Will you get a chance to see Buxton in person this year? was wondering how you think he'll compare to some of the more recent high profile 5-tool high school OF's such as starling, tate, etc. Thanks.
Yes, I'll go see anyone likely to go in the top 20 picks, plus some others as I can squeeze them in. Also waiting for the doctor to tell me when I can fly again, which is holding things up a little. But all I keep hearing on Buxton from guys who've seen him is that he's very similar to the Uptons in body, fast-twitch actions, and upside with the bat.
Law ranked Byron Buxton as his #1 prospect heading into the 2012 MLB draft. Buxton is a high school kid who Law says has 5 above average tools. Someone to watch come the June draft.
What is your take on the Molina deal? I know scouts and statheads alike love his glove, but as a Reds fan, I am quietly happy about this deal...
I don't get the ire over the deal. I worry that he won't catch in the last year or maybe two of the deal, but I think there's a better than even chance that he catches all the way through, and he adds a significant (and, increasingly, quantifiable) amount of value on defense at an extremely difficult position to fill. Plus St. Louis' MRP/win has to be at an all-time high right now.
KLaw chimes in on the Yadier Molina signing. I imagine the value of defensive minded catchers is going to go up as a result of this contract. I just hope the Dodgers have one of them in their farm system. Tim Federowicz maybe?
More excerpts after the jump:
Obviously a bit speculative here, but Jose Bautista gets moved to 1B within 2 years, right? He's already a bit of a statue and two of Colby/Gose/Marisnick take CF/RF, no?
I think that's a reasonable assumption. Talked to a pretty senior evaluator yesterday who'd seen Marisnick last year and said he'd be "shocked if that guy wasn't an impact player" in the majors.
I have been high on Blue Jays outfield prospect Jake Marisnick for a few months now, and after reading this, my like for him is confirmed. Marisnick should go high in my the minor league portion of my AL-Only league draft in April.
Robert (Madison, WI)
Do you see more of a premium being put on the value of prospects as compared to several years ago? If so, what do you attribute this to?
I do - it's the growing gap between the minimum salary and the typical free agent salary for an average player. Teams have finally (as a whole) figured out that it's better to try to get 80-90% of the production for 5% of the cost and spend your money on stars or players you can't replace with internal options.
I thought this after Tampa made it to the World Series a few years ago. And they have the talent to get there again.
Alex (Scottsdale, AZ)
Skaggs and Bauer what upside do they have?
Assuming Skaggs' shoulder pain isn't serious, I could see him as an ace or a great 2, with Bauer roughly the same but with less confidence.
Maybe I missed the memo, but Skaggs an ace or great 2? He went 9-6 with a 2.96 ERA and 1.105 WHIP in 27 starts in High A and AA. His K/9 was an impressive 11.3 as was his K/BB of 4.04. Sucks that he is a DBack though.