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Prospect Rankings Discussion: John Sickels' Top 120 Prospect List

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For the first time this year, John Sickels of SBNation's Minor League Ball has released a top overall prospect list. He went to 120 for this year's list, and you can find the whole list here. John mentions that he leans a bit towards proximity to the bigs when ranking, and also that the grades he gives may not necessarily finish in the order you would anticipate.

It reflects what I write in the book every year, that a letter grade is merely a shorthand notation, and that grades for pitchers do not always directly correspond with grades for hitters.

With that in mind, here's John's top 10, as well as my own thoughts after the jump:

1) Bryce Harper, OF, Washington Nationals
2) Matt Moore, LHP, Tampa Bay Rays
3) Mike Trout, OF, Los Angeles Angels
4) Yu Darvish, RHP, Texas Rangers
5) Jurickson Profar, SS, Texas Rangers

6) Shelby Miller, RHP, St. Louis Cardinals
7) Trevor Bauer, RHP, Arizona Diamondbacks
8) Manny Machado, SS, Baltimore Orioles
9) Jesus Montero, C, Seattle Mariners
10) Julio Teheran, RHP, Atlanta Braves

Star-divide

  • I liked the aggressive rankings of Xander Bogaerts and Brett Jackson. It sounds more and moer like Bogaerts could be in the top 10 next year for a lot of people, and Jackson seems like he won't need more than a half season in AAA before being ready to roam CF on the North Side.
  • Sickels was also one of the lowest on Bubba Starling. He remains extremely raw, but a lot of upside there.
  • Ranking Justin Nicolino at #68 was extremely aggresive, but the more I have been reading about Nicolino, the more this may turn out to be a great ranking in retrospect.
  • John is also the lowest thus far on Martin Perez, and in the comments John said he struggled with him due to the inconsistency of performance from Perez thus far.
  • John is the first top 100 I've seen thus far that had either Brandon Nimmo (NYM) or Trevor Story (COL) on the list. Both were 2011 draftees, and I'll be interested to see what they do this year.

See someone specifically you think was ranked too highly or too lowly on the list? Think someone else should have broken into the top 10? Start the discussion below.

The best lineup available based on his prospect rankings:

C - Jesus Montero, SEA

1B - Yonder Alonso, SD

2B - Kolten Wong, STL

3B - Nolan Arenado, COL

SS - Jurickson Profar, TEX

COF - Wil Myers, KCR

CF - Mike Trout, LAA

COF - Bryce Harper, WAS

DH - Manny Machado, BAL (Best hitter left)

SP1 - Matt Moore, TAM

SP2 - Yu Darvish, TEX

SP3 - Shelby Miller, STL

SP4 - Trevor Bauer, ARI

SP5 - Julio Teheran, ATL

RP - Addison Reed, CHW

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Mike Montgomery at 101?

Wow. That’s far and away the lowest I’ve seen him ranked. John was a big Montgomery fan the past couple of years, I guess this past season really soured him.

by pooptallica on Feb 24, 2012 4:08 PM EST reply actions  

Montgomery

I may be wrong, but I don’t think KG even ranked him this year. I still like him though, and think this is too low.

Follow me on Twitter: @tfw_bret

by bretsayre on Feb 24, 2012 7:35 PM EST via iPhone app up reply actions  

You're right

KG didn’t rank him in the top 101. He seems to be a bit polarizing. BA ranks him as the Royals’ top prospect, Sickels has him at 101, KG has him lower. I’ve seen him ranked in the top 30 of several lists.

It seems he’ll be given a chance with the club at some point this season, so we won’t have to wait too long to see who’s right, I guess.

by pooptallica on Feb 24, 2012 7:43 PM EST up reply actions  

KG's thoughts

If I recall, are that Montgomery hasn’t been good since the first half of 2010. I’m assuming others thoughts are that he hasn’t lost stuff, and if he can revert back to his previous form then he’s an extremely rare commodity as a top of the rotation lefty. Hard to hedge there. I think you either think he reverts or he doesn’t and that there’s not much inbetween.

by Craig Goldstein on Feb 24, 2012 7:45 PM EST up reply actions  

FWIW

Sickels has seen him in person several times, and his issue is with inconsistency – of delivery, accuracy, stuff, everything. Says he seems like a different pitcher every time.

by pooptallica on Feb 24, 2012 7:44 PM EST up reply actions  

Bogaerts Ranking

Was a little aggressive for my taste, though I can understand it. I’m glad you pointed out Story, as that caught my eye as well. Potential 5-tool guy there, though the hit tool is the biggest question and that’s always a concern. I think the May and Reed rankings are too aggressive as well. Not sure I’d ever have a pure reliever in a top 50.

by Craig Goldstein on Feb 24, 2012 4:15 PM EST via Android app reply actions  

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