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Fantasy Baseball 2012: Early Hold Rankings

ST LOUIS, MO - OCTOBER 20:  Mike Adams #37 of the Texas Rangers pitches in the eighth inning during Game Two of the MLB World Series against the St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium on October 20, 2011 in St Louis, Missouri.  (Photo by Jamie Squire/Getty Images)


Some hate it, some swear by it and I personally love it. I love the value of a great middle reliever. They add such great peripherals to your counting stats that they are often overlooked in leagues that don't count the Hold stat. So as we look to this year's top ranked hold candidates, keep this in mind. The first quality you are looking for is position in the bullpen. Second you're looking for previous success in the situations they were previously pitching in. Next you're looking for the quality of bullpen arms that surround these guys. Lastly you're looking for teams that have the ability to accumulate saves or save opportunities, as these stats are closely related because you need to be ahead late in the game to have both stats. Managerial tendencies also play a factor, but since the season hasn't started yet your going to have to take my word for this. So without further fanfare I will give you a tiered system for you to use on draft day. Enjoy

TIER 1

1. Mike Adams TEX

2. Jonny Venters ATL

3. Tyler Clippard WAS

4. David Robertson NYY

5. Sean Marshall CIN

6. Sergio Romo SF

7. Vinnie Pestano CLE

8. Eric O'Flaherty ATL

Continue reading after the jump.

Star-divide

  • My draft strategy for Tier 1 is you need one of these guys, period. These are the elite of the elite bullpen arms that won't be drafted for saves. They all contribute to great ERA and WHIP lines, and all will give you a K/IN.
  • Two Atlanta Braves are in the top tier. Why you ask? Simple because Freddi Gonzalez has a system and he would rather use his top quality arms at pressure times than suffer with the futility in relying on an unproven commodity. It's a great system that makes you look better when you have the talent to back it up.

TIER 2

9. Scott Downs ANA

10. Greg Holland KC

11. Francisco Rodriguez MIL

12. Matt Thornton CHW

13. Glen Perkins MIN

14. Mark Rzepczynski STL

15. David Hernandez ARI

16. Luke Gregerson SD

17. Rafael Soriano NYY

18. Jesse Crain CHW

19. Koji Uehara TEX

20. Kenley Jensen LAD

  • Lots of sleeper type guys in this tier. Some for sneaky saves some are just on bad teams. Results are what matters to me.
  • Love the RZE and Crain this year, both are unheralded in the positions they pitch in. Neither will ever close for their teams and they will be easy gets late in drafts.
  • Hernandez and Holland have future closer written all over them so take more notice in deep Keeper leagues.

TIER 3

21. Joaquin Benoit Det

22. Antonio Bastardo PHI

23. Rex Brothers COL

24. Mark Melancon BOS

25. Joel Peralta TB

26. Octavio Dotel DET

27. Jose Veras MIL

28. Jeff Samardzija CHC

29. Brad Lidge WAS

30. Francisco Cordero TOR

31. Lance Lynn STL

32. Grant Balfour OAK

33. Andrew Cashner SD

34. Ernesto Frieri SD

35. LaTroy Hawkins ANA

36. Jonathon Broxton KC

  • Lots of recycled closers and older type relievers that have had previous success in either setting up or finishing a game out.
  • This tier proves the fact that SD is a relief pitching factory. If we are going to stream the SP in Petco than why not roster their deep quality relievers.
TIER 4

37. Chad Qualls PHI

38. Matt Guerrier LAD

39. Shawn Kelley SEA



42. Randy Choate MIA

43. Bryan Shaw ARI


45. Tom Wilhelmsen SEA

46. Kerry Wood CHC

47. Chris Resop PIT

48. Wilton Lopez Hou

49. Tony Sipp ClE

50. Nick Massett CIN


  • No list of Holds candidates is ever complete with out the Godfather, Arthur Rhodes. He is the all time leader in this stat and I hope he pitches forever.
  • Lots of really good deep sleepers here, Frieri, Janssen and Shawn Kelly are three personal favorites this year for deeper leagues.

I will be giving updates throughout the season on not only middle relief but closers. So if you feel like I missed someone or someone should be moved up or down the list feel free to critique as I am always open to outside opinions. Thanks and happy drafting.


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Joaquin Benoit says hi

He’s signed to a hefty deal on a team w/ an entrenched closer and he’s splitting 8th inning duties with Octavio Dotel. 29 and 25 holds the past two seasons is nothing to sneeze at and his K/9, whip, and era are all serviceable. low Tier 2 or Tier 3 material I would think….

by Scott Clarkson on Feb 1, 2012 11:20 AM EST reply actions  

Benoit

Fixed with all teh adds and changes he got Joaquined

by smokeymcpots on Feb 1, 2012 11:40 AM EST up reply actions  

Venters number one for me...

If we’re strictly talking about Holds potential.

It seems to me like the Braves are always in close contests and have the perfect combination of a good but not great pitching staff and good but not great offense. And, as you mentioned, Gonzalez has no qualms about going to Venters non-stop throughout the season.

But, if we’re talking about the potential to earn saves, then I might lean toward Adams as the Nathan situation could get ugly fast.

by Kevin Boger on Feb 1, 2012 12:38 PM EST reply actions  

Venters

I agree with you a lot on Venters. I think the dearth of quality arms in ATL bullpen (Vizcaino and Medlen) will add to his numbers being a little down from last year. I mean Adams finished ahead of him value wise last year, but just barely.
I just have a love for Mike Adams as the games premier set up guy. Adams may sneak in saves here and there but barring injury to Nathan is going to be an everyday,granted they have the lead, kind of reliever.

by smokeymcpots on Feb 1, 2012 1:49 PM EST up reply actions  

Why is Jansen so low?

Is it because he’s expected to close very soon, because the Dodgers aren’t likely to get a lot of wins, or what? I don’t see how he’s not top 5 with those Ks.

by cgouds77 on Feb 1, 2012 12:49 PM EST reply actions  

Yea

I see him leaking into the closer’s role, but not initially. Figure he gets 15 holds to start the year and than maybe 10-15 saves.

by smokeymcpots on Feb 1, 2012 1:43 PM EST up reply actions  

Thanks

We use the holds stat in my league and this is very helpful.

by Robinson Checo on Feb 1, 2012 6:48 PM EST reply actions  

Agreed.

The league I’m in does as well. Do you think Sean Marshall’s move to Cincinnati will have a drastic affect on his numbers/performance?

Harry Doyle: The post-game show is brought to you by...
[searches through his papers]
Harry Doyle: Christ, I can't find it. To hell with it.

by FletchIsMyHero on Feb 18, 2012 6:21 PM EST up reply actions  

Very helpful list. These are hard to find

by TomReagan on Feb 11, 2012 3:40 PM EST via mobile reply actions  

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