So I was bored and was checking the ADP for Catchers on Mock Draft Central today and just wanted to share my ideas about trends. Personally the last one or two picks in the draft is where i'm taking my catcher anyways but not everyone shares my genius. Especially after reading yesterdays post, H2H Point scoring Differences it is more obvious that it is better to wait for a Catcher than to jump early and sacrifice the position where you could have drafted a position of greater team value. So here are the trends of where some of the top catchers are going. Enjoy
| Player | Pos | Team | ADP | Earliest | Latest | Draft % |
|---|
| 1 (35) | Carlos Santana | C,1B | CLE | 36.92 | 18 | 65 | 100.0% |
| 2 (45) | Mike Napoli | C,1B | TEX | 46.57 | 22 | 70 | 100.0% |
| 3 (48) | Brian McCann | C | ATL | 50.58 | 31 | 148 | 100.0% |
| 4 (57) | Buster Posey | C | SF | 59.78 | 35 | 94 | 100.0% |
| 5 (80) | Joe Mauer | C | MIN | 82.06 | 49 | 417 | 100.0% |
| 6 (99) | Matt Wieters | C | BAL | 99.68 | 46 | 149 | 100.0% |
| 7 (104) | Miguel Montero | C | ARI | 104.18 | 61 | 158 | 100.0% |
| 8 (110) | Alex Avila | C | DET | 109.89 | 58 | 180 | 100.0% |
| 9 (180) | J.P. Arencibia | C | TOR | 180.30 | 106 | 253 | 100.0% |
| 10 (182) | Yadier Molina | C | STL | 181.34 | 101 | -ND- | 99.8% |
| 11 (208) | Wilson Ramos | C | WAS | 208.55 | 107 | -ND- | 96.9% |
| 12 (275) | Geovany Soto | C | CHC | 227.85 | 149 | -ND- | 88.0% |
| 13 (298) | Nick Hundley | C | SD | 230.61 | 210 | -ND- | 21.3% |
| 14 (318) | Jarrod Saltalamacchia | C | BOS | 233.44 | 211 | -ND- | 27.3% |
| 15 (325) | Russell Martin | C | NYY | 234.59 | 140 | -ND- | 61.0% |
| 16 (336) | Ryan Doumit | C | MIN | 237.23 | 201 | -ND- | 38.1% |
| 17 (338) | Chris Iannetta | C | ANA | 237.56 | 178 | -ND- | 36.1% |
| 18 (341) | Salvador Perez | C | KC | 238.52 | 163 | -ND- | 69.1% |
| 19 (343) | Devin Mesoraco | C | CIN | 239.70 | 173 | -ND- | 84.2% |
| 20 (344) | Jonathan Lucroy | C | MIL | 239.97 | 182 | -ND- | 54.6% |
| 21 (345) | A.J. Pierzynski | C | CHW | 240.30 | 198 | -ND- | 41.1% |
| 22 (346) | Miguel Olivo | C | SEA | 240.42 | 184 | -ND- | 57.6% |
| 23 (348) | Carlos Ruiz | C | PHI | 240.81 | 215 | -ND- | 39.2% |
| 24 (351) | Ramon Hernandez | C | COL | 241.30 | 198 | -ND- | 57.0% |
| 25 (352) | Kurt Suzuki | C | OAK | 241.90 | 181 | -ND- | 72.9% |
| 26 (354) | John Buck | C | MIA | 241.99 | 211 | -ND- | 61.3% |
| 27 (391) | Rod Barajas | C | PIT | 279.18 | 270 | -ND- | 19.6% |
| 28 (424) | Chris Snyder | C | HOU | 323.64 | 313 | -ND- | 15.8% |
| 29 (431) | John Jaso | C | SEA | 327.78 | 317 | -ND- | 7.7% |
| 30 (432) | Wilin Rosario | C | COL | 328.81 | 318 | -ND- | 0.9% |
Mike Napoli is going in the Rd 3-4 range, to me that seems like a gamble. Does anyone think that Napoli is going to be able to maintain a .344 BABIP, or a .312 ISO? He is being drafted in the same neighborhood as Hunter Pence, Elvis Andrus and Nelson Cruz.
The value of the draft seems to start with Weiters and end with Alex Avila, all are nestled into that Rd 8-10 area. This would be a great time to pounce on a cusp top 5 starting catcher if your draft allows you to. They are being drafted around guys like Cameron Maybin, Jason Heyward and Howie Kendrick.
Further down is where I would draft my catcher somewhere in the rd 18-20 range, but if your only in a 12 team league and 10 or so teams have a catcher already let someone else waste another bench spot on a 2nd catcher while you can add depth to either your SP or your RP. The difference between the 12th ranked catcher and the 18th ranked catcher isn't as much as any other position. As long as you have a starting catcher getting 5 starts a week that's all that really interests me.
Hope everyone finds this useful i'll try to do a position a day if everyone likes.
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