Fantasy Baseball 2012: ADP - Catchers

by smokeymcpots on Jan 31, 2012 11:16 AM EST

So I was bored and was checking the ADP for Catchers on Mock Draft Central today and just wanted to share my ideas about trends. Personally the last one or two picks in the draft is where i'm taking my catcher anyways but not everyone shares my genius. Especially after reading yesterdays post, H2H Point scoring Differences it is more obvious that it is better to wait for a Catcher than to jump early and sacrifice the position where you could have drafted a position of greater team value. So here are the trends of where some of the top catchers are going. Enjoy

	Player	Pos	Team	ADP	Earliest	Latest	Draft %

1 (35)	Carlos Santana	C,1B	CLE	36.92	18	65	100.0%
2 (45)	Mike Napoli	C,1B	TEX	46.57	22	70	100.0%
3 (48)	Brian McCann	C	ATL	50.58	31	148	100.0%
4 (57)	Buster Posey	C	SF	59.78	35	94	100.0%
5 (80)	Joe Mauer	C	MIN	82.06	49	417	100.0%
6 (99)	Matt Wieters	C	BAL	99.68	46	149	100.0%
7 (104)	Miguel Montero	C	ARI	104.18	61	158	100.0%
8 (110)	Alex Avila	C	DET	109.89	58	180	100.0%
9 (180)	J.P. Arencibia	C	TOR	180.30	106	253	100.0%
10 (182)	Yadier Molina	C	STL	181.34	101	-ND-	99.8%
11 (208)	Wilson Ramos	C	WAS	208.55	107	-ND-	96.9%
12 (275)	Geovany Soto	C	CHC	227.85	149	-ND-	88.0%
13 (298)	Nick Hundley	C	SD	230.61	210	-ND-	21.3%
14 (318)	Jarrod Saltalamacchia	C	BOS	233.44	211	-ND-	27.3%
15 (325)	Russell Martin	C	NYY	234.59	140	-ND-	61.0%
16 (336)	Ryan Doumit	C	MIN	237.23	201	-ND-	38.1%
17 (338)	Chris Iannetta	C	ANA	237.56	178	-ND-	36.1%
18 (341)	Salvador Perez	C	KC	238.52	163	-ND-	69.1%
19 (343)	Devin Mesoraco	C	CIN	239.70	173	-ND-	84.2%
20 (344)	Jonathan Lucroy	C	MIL	239.97	182	-ND-	54.6%
21 (345)	A.J. Pierzynski	C	CHW	240.30	198	-ND-	41.1%
22 (346)	Miguel Olivo	C	SEA	240.42	184	-ND-	57.6%
23 (348)	Carlos Ruiz	C	PHI	240.81	215	-ND-	39.2%
24 (351)	Ramon Hernandez	C	COL	241.30	198	-ND-	57.0%
25 (352)	Kurt Suzuki	C	OAK	241.90	181	-ND-	72.9%
26 (354)	John Buck	C	MIA	241.99	211	-ND-	61.3%
27 (391)	Rod Barajas	C	PIT	279.18	270	-ND-	19.6%
28 (424)	Chris Snyder	C	HOU	323.64	313	-ND-	15.8%
29 (431)	John Jaso	C	SEA	327.78	317	-ND-	7.7%
30 (432)	Wilin Rosario	C	COL	328.81	318	-ND-	0.9%

Mike Napoli is going in the Rd 3-4 range, to me that seems like a gamble. Does anyone think that Napoli is going to be able to maintain a .344 BABIP, or a .312 ISO? He is being drafted in the same neighborhood as Hunter Pence, Elvis Andrus and Nelson Cruz.

The value of the draft seems to start with Weiters and end with Alex Avila, all are nestled into that Rd 8-10 area. This would be a great time to pounce on a cusp top 5 starting catcher if your draft allows you to. They are being drafted around guys like Cameron Maybin, Jason Heyward and Howie Kendrick.

Further down is where I would draft my catcher somewhere in the rd 18-20 range, but if your only in a 12 team league and 10 or so teams have a catcher already let someone else waste another bench spot on a 2nd catcher while you can add depth to either your SP or your RP. The difference between the 12th ranked catcher and the 18th ranked catcher isn't as much as any other position. As long as you have a starting catcher getting 5 starts a week that's all that really interests me.

Hope everyone finds this useful i'll try to do a position a day if everyone likes.

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Comments

You are right

That is a huge gamble on Napoli. I see Weiters as the pick where you can get the most value. He is growing into the talent he was said to have when he entered the league. Also I think Arencibia is going to be the biggest disappointment. He’ll have power, but I would sacrific 10 home runs not to get KILLED in average. Way I see it, you either draft a top 6 catcher or wait to take Lucroy in the last round.

Also Avila, man are people going to regret drafting him. His average is going to skydive.

by HeLeftYouBagEnd on Jan 31, 2012 12:37 PM EST reply actions