2012 Fantasy Baseball Head-to-Head Points League Rankings: Relief Pitchers 1-25
This post is the 12th in a series of rankings catered specifically to fantasy baseball head-to-head points leagues and the first of two focused on relief pitchers.
All pitchers in this post and future points league rankings are based on these scoring values:
(W x 7) + (SV x 7) + (IP x 3) + (K x 0.5) - (ER x 2) - (H x 1) - (BB x 1) = Total
Notes on Relief Pitchers:
Sneaky Ace - While RP and closers in standard roto scoring are typically only valued for their potential for saves, there are some closers such as Kimbrel, Rivera, Bell and Wilson that can offer similar point totals to an ace pitcher most weeks at a potentially much cheaper price.
SP/RP - There are quite a few relief pitchers possibly transitioning to the rotation in 2012 (Sale, Feliz, Bard, Chapman) including some who made the jump midway last year (Luebke). If your league separates SP and RP than these pitchers are an excellent source of points from your RP slot on two-start weeks as they're likely to double the point total of a potential closer or setup man in that spot.
K/BB - Because relief pitchers don't offer the same potential as starting pitchers to earn points via innings pitched, it's imperative that they be able to strike out a significant number of hitters per appearance while limiting BB.
Rankings after the jump:
2012 Fantasy Baseball H2H Points League Relief Pitcher Rankings: 1-25
1) Craig Kimbrel, ATL
2011 Points Scored: 514
Last season only Justin Verlander, Clayton Kershaw, Roy Halladay, Cliff Lee and Jered Weaver scored more points than Craig Kimbrel amongst pitchers, starting or relief. There may not be a clearer #1 for any other position in baseball.
2) Mariano Rivera, NYY
2011 Points Scored: 438
Could Mariano Rivera still be getting better? Last season he increased his K/9 and lowered his BB% while posting an ERA under 2.00 and adding another 44 saves to his historic total. There hasn’t been a closer controversy in New York in nearly two decades, making Rivera as safe a bet as there is for saves.
3) John Axford, MIL
2011 Points Scored: 472
On one hand, the Brewers are now without Prince Fielder and could be without Ryan Braun for the first 50 games, meaning runs and leads could be scarce before June for Milwaukee and John Axford. On the other hand, the leads the team does have should be secure with Jose Veras and K-Rod as setup men for Axford as opposed to Kameron Loe, Zach Braddock and (insert no-name relief pitcher here) that were pitching the 7th and 8th to start the season while LaTroy Hawkins and Takashi Soto were on the DL.
4) Jonathan Papelbon, PHI
2011 Points Scored: 374
In 2011 Jonathan Papelbon improved his K/9 and BB% before packing his bags for the City of Brotherly Love. The transition from the AL to the NL is almost always a positive for a pitcher, especially when leaving the AL East, and there should be plenty of leads from the Phillies’ three aces to protect, even if Cliff Lee or Roy Halladay toss the occasional complete game.
5) Drew Storen, WAS
2011 Points Scored: 468
In his first full season with the Nationals Drew Storen took the reins of the closer job and doesn’t figure to let go anytime soon after an impressive 2011. However, while the talent is legit, his 6 W were tied for the most amongst closers, so, unless that luck continues, Storen’s point total figures to regress a bit in 2012.
6) Joel Hanrahan, PIT
2011 Points Scored: 403
There’s some concern that his K/9 rate dropped, but overall it didn’t hurt Joel Hanrahan as he limited his BB% and HR while increasing his GB/FB rate.
7) Brian Wilson, SF
2011 Points Scored: 347
There are now injury concerns surrounding Brian Wilson that you have to consider before drafting him. He started the season on the DL and elbow injuries cost him a month later in the year. Meanwhile, his velocity dropped as did his K/9, which isn’t a good trend for a closer. With that being said, if the Giants are going to win games in 2012, they’re going to be close and save opportunities shouldn’t be scarce for The Bearded One.
8) JJ Putz, ARZ
2011 Points Scored: 443
Amazingly JJ Putz was able to score the fifth most points amongst relief pitchers despite pitching in less than 60 innings in 2011. When healthy, he is among the elite RP in baseball, but his injuries continue to prove that drafting him does not come without risk. It would be wise to handcuff him with David Hernandez if possible as Arizona figures to win a lot of games in 2012.
9) Heath Bell, MIA
2011 Points Scored: 409
Similar to Hanrahan and Wilson, Heath Bell saw his K/9 drop in 2011 and while it marked the third straight season in which he reached 40 saves or more, it would seem as though he may be at the start of his decline.
10) Jose Valverde, DET
2011 Points Scored: 467
Not only will it be extremely hard for Jose Valverde to repeat perfection in 2012, but he’s also unlikely to repeat his .247 BABIP and 82.9% LOB. Jim Leyland could do Valverde and his fantasy owners a favor by keeping him out of non-save situations as he earned 4 losses in such appearances.
11) Ryan Madson, CIN
2011 Points Scored: 353
No longer second fiddle to Brad Lidge in Philadelphia, Ryan Madson will close games right out of the gate for the second best offense in the NL and a team that Francisco Cordero earned 153 saves for in the last four seasons.
12) Jason Motte, STL
2011 Points Scored: 225
After pitching in the 9th throughout the playoffs in 2011 and with Tony LaRussa’s mind games out of the picture, Jason Motte should be penciled into the closer role for the defending World Champions and what was the best offense in the NL last season. He offers a solid 8.34 K/9 and miniscule 0.26 HR/9, although his ERA was 1.14 better than his xFIP.
13) Joakim Soria, KC
2011 Points Scored: 286
Last season was nowhere close to Joakim Soria’s best effort and he even lost the closer role for a brief time, but when he returned to the 9th inning in June he converted 21 of 23 save opportunities and offered a 2.58 ERA.
14) Brandon League, SEA
2011 Points Scored: 344
Although he doesn’t offer the K/9 of elite closers, Brandon League provides exceptional control and keeps the ball on the ground. If and when the Mariners win ball games in 2012, it’s a good bet it won’t be by more than three runs very often.
15) Jordan Walden, ANA
2011 Points Scored: 334
There were ups and downs for Jordan Walden in his first season as the Angels closer. On one hand, he had a 9.9 K/9 rate and earned 32 saves, whereas on the other hand he blew 10 save opportunities (tied for most with Carlos Marmol) and had a 3.88 BB/9.
16) Carlos Marmol, CHC
2011 Points Scored: 325
There seems to be little competition for the closer role at Wrigley Field, otherwise there’s a good chance Carlos Marmol would rank worse than this as both his velocity and K/9 plummeted in 2011 while his BB/9 sat at a terrible 5.84. Last season Marmol blew 10 saves and if that performance continues, Theo Epstein and Dale Sveum could look elsewhere ASAP.
17) Sergio Santos, TOR
2011 Points Scored: 329
Sergio Santos gave his owners an amazing 13.07 K/9 in 2011, but it came at the cost of a 4.12 BB/9 and 0.86 HR/9. The latter ratios could be a serious issue at the Rodgres Center and in the high-powered AL East and with Francisco Cordero now looming in the bullpen, Santos might be on a short leash with the Blue Jays.
18) Andrew Bailey, BOS
2011 Points Scored: 217
There should be a lot more leads for Andrew Bailey to protect in Boston than there ever were in Oakland, but that increase in opportunity could be costly as his GB/FB rate might not play well at Fenway Park and he’ll still need to prove he can stay healthy. Handcuff him with Mark Melancon if you can.
19) Huston Street, SD
2011 Points Scored: 271
Injuries have derailed Huston Street’s career the past couple of seasons, but Heath Bell had quite a bit of success in San Diego the last three seasons and Street’s 6.11 K/BB should play well at Petco while his fly ball concerns could diminish.
20) Rafael Betancourt, COL
2011 Points Scored: 200
It was Rafael Betancourt’s excellent finish to the season that allowed Colorado to move on from Street and Betancourt should be the closer to start the season for the Rockies. He’ll need to continue his dominance though as the team’s bullpen is ripe with arms ready and able – Lindstrom, Brothers and Belisle.
21) Kenley Jansen, LAD
2011 Points Scored: 163
If the Dodgers announce Kenley Jansen as their closer prior to the start of the season, he rockets up the rankings thanks to his 16.9 K/9 rate. The question will be whether he is more Kimbrel or Marmol as his 4.36 BB/9 is fairly discouraging.
22) Joe Nathan, TEX
2011 Points Scored: 162
If 2009 Joe Nathan returns then you’ve got yourself an excellent source of points via saves in 2012, but that doesn’t seem extremely likely. He’ll have the closer job in Arlington out of the gates but if injuries arise or his performance suffers in his new hitter-friendly home park, it won’t be too long before Mike Adams steps in.
23) Kyle Farnsworth, TB
2011 Points Scored: 318
Kyle Farnsworth earned the closer role in Tampa Bay for 2012 and should get the nod in the 9th most nights but it’s worth noting that he had a .250 BABIP and FIP 0.98 better than his ERA.
24) Jonny Venters, ATL
2011 Points Scored: 247
There’s no question on almost any other team Jonny Venters would be the closer, but even though he won’t accumulate a ton of saves over the season (barring injury to Kimbrel), Venters proved in 2011 that he is still an excellent source of points in your RP slot.
25) Javy Guerra, LAD
2011 Points Scored: 232
Considering his performance to end 2011, Javy Guerra has likely earned the Dodgers closer role out of the gate, but with Jansen looming, I don’t think it will be too long before Mattingly goes in that direction for the 9th inning.
Honorable mention:
Daniel Bard, BOS
Aroldis Chapman, CIN
Neftali Feliz, TEX
It’s still somewhat up in the air as to whether Bard, Feliz and Chapman will be in the rotation or bullpen for their respective teams which will greatly impact their rankings. If they find themselves in the rotation, they will be a sneaky source of points in two-start weeks thanks to their potential SP/RP eligibility.
Is there a relief pitcher that didn't make the Top 25 that you think is worthy? Feel free to comment on these rankings or ask any points league, H2H or fantasy baseball questions below.
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The Rangers seem pretty committed to using Feliz in the rotation
They sent him a message that he’d better be ready for Spring Training this year by grabbing Joe Nathan.
by Robert L. Bishop on Jan 26, 2012 12:11 PM EST reply actions
They are ...
I found out this morning that Ogando is officially returning to the bullpen and not Feliz. Until then it was still somewhat up in the air, from what I had been hearing. Didn’t have time to remove Feliz from that list prior to publish.
by Kevin Boger on Jan 26, 2012 12:24 PM EST up reply actions
Thornton
With Ozzie out of town and Ventura saying Thornton’s his man, where do you see the White Sox closer ranking?
Top 30
Like you said, it sounds like closer is Thornton’s job to lose going into spring training/opening day, but considering his shaky start last season and that Reed is looming, I don’t think I can rank him much higher than that.
Really once you get past Jose Valverde in the rankings, most if not all of the remaining relief pitchers come with some element of risk regarding either their health, performance or the threat of losing their job.
by Kevin Boger on Jan 26, 2012 12:29 PM EST up reply actions
Francisco
What about the Mets situation. Not many wins there but the games they are in should be close.
forget this one
just realized this is the first of two posts!
Top 30-35
Probably neck-in-neck with Rauch as I don’t think it’s been determined which of the two will be the closer and it could change 20 times throughout the season as it did last year with those two in Toronto.
… and Bobby Parnell is still somewhat in the picture, although I don’t assume he’ll factor into the decision anytime soon.
by Kevin Boger on Jan 26, 2012 12:36 PM EST up reply actions
Francisco is the closer
mets have already said as much, plus you can just look at the contracts FF = 2/12 mil and Raich 1/3.5.
never bought into the bad team closer is not going to have many oppt. if you are the closer for 162 games you will manage 35-40 saves. Sometimes its better for your closer to be on a bad teams as thier wins will often be close, MAriano can go a wk w/ no saves b/c he yanks win all 7 games by 5+ runs….
Totally agree
Heath Bell, Brandon League, Drew Storen and Joel Hanrahan were all Top 10 in scoring last season and on sub .500 teams. But, I’m not penciling in Francisco for 35-40 saves just because he is making $1 million more than Rauch.
I don't know if I'd call it a theory ...
I’d just say that just because a team isn’t above .500 doesn’t mean a closer can’t reach 35-40 saves, or just because a team is doesn’t mean he will (Papelbon, Feliz, Walden, Farnsworth, etc.).
Of course
I was referring to this:
Sometimes its better for your closer to be on a bad teams as thier wins will often be close, MAriano can go a wk w/ no saves b/c he yanks win all 7 games by 5+ runs
Yes, teams that win a lot can often win games without creating a save opportunity, but teams that lose a lot won’t get them either. Think about it in the extreme: A 162-0 team will have more save opportunities than a 0-162 team.
It’s not to say that only closers on good teams are good and vice versa, but it’s a decent tiebreaker. I certainly wouldn’t argue for somebody like Francisco by saying it’s a good thing he’s on a bad team.
by Robert L. Bishop on Jan 26, 2012 7:33 PM EST up reply actions
Absolutely
It’s definitely not better to be on a bad team. Of the Top 15 scoring RP in 2011, 11 of them were on .500 or better teams. I suppose I shouldn’t have said “totally agree” but more so meant that a closer’s team shouldn’t deter you from drafting them if there ratios/skill point to success in the opportunities they do/will have. I would definitely draft Hanrahan prior to Bailey, Nathan or Farnsworth.
x
a closer’s team shouldn’t deter you from drafting them if there ratios/skill point to success in the opportunities they do/will have
Agree.
by Robert L. Bishop on Jan 27, 2012 1:02 AM EST reply actions
obviously I didnt mean that as an absolute
draft bad team closers bc they play closer games, I think the 4+ save oppt for +.500 is negligble and the other stat of BS is probably misleading since bad teams will often have bad middle relievers blowing more saves, Anyway was just trying to say while the mets will undoubtably struggle for wins I think Francisco if healthy could still get 35, again basing my belief that Rauch will not be a problem

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