New Fantasy Statistic
It is tough to compare two completely different players like Michael Bourne and Albert Pujols. There is no easy way to have all of the categories weigh in and you can just add up there stats and compare them. Homeruns are more difficult to come by than a RBI, so therefore should have more value to each one that a player hits. So what I have created is a method that weighs each individual stat for the players. The stat is called PAR.
I am basing this stat off the average stats ,of my main fantasy league's 8 team standard format, over the past couple years and I found the following averages, 1040 Runs, 1038 RBIs, 272 HRs, 164 SBs, and a batting average of .272. These come from your standard league roster of C, 1B, 2B, 3B, SS, CI (corner infielder), MI (middle infielder), and 5 outfielders. So for the statistic I am going to say that Runs and RBIs have the same weight of 1. I am going to give HRs, a weight of 3.8 (average number of runs/ average number of hrs (1040/272)). So this means if player x hits 26 homers he will have a PAR of 100, you must forget about his other stats for the example. I then used the same method for figuring out the weight of stolen bases which is 6.3 (1040/164).
So as you can see homers and stolen bases contribute more to a player’s PAR than that of RBIs and Runs. So for example a player that posts the line of 10 HRs, 100 Runs, 65 RBIs, and 35 stolen bases will have a PAR of roughly 424. A player who hits 30 Hrs, 100 Runs, 110 RBIs, and 5 SBs will have a PAR of roughly 365. I know there are some of you who are saying that the stat puts too much emphasize on stolen bases, and yes if you draft a team solely based on PAR you may have team that has a good number of base stealers. But you have to think, a player who gives you 50 stolen bases is a huge asset, but his PAR contribution from HRs and RBIs will likely be lacking.
So overall the stat gives you a good idea on how the player performs in the four offensive categories, and how he will contribute to your team.
Preliminary Top 20 2012 Projected PAR
527.1 Jacoby Ellsbury 526.4 Matt Kemp 471.3 Jose Reyes 465.3 Justin Upton 455.3 Hanley Ramirez 422.7 Jose Bautista 416.1 Carlos Gonzalez 413.9 Albert Pujols 403 Dustin Pedroia 395.3 Joey Votto 390.9 David Wright 380.1Miguel Cabrera 374.7 Troy Tulowitzki 372.1 Evan Longoria 366.2 Mark Teixeira 356.9 Prince Fielder 354.4 Josh Hamilton 347.3 Adrian Gonzalez 346.6 Robinson Cano 297.7 Ryan Zimmerman
http://baseballfantasy101.weebly.com/
I am looking to change the name or come up with an acronym for PAR, comments are greatly appreciated.
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It's ok
Steals are weighted too much
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by The Chair of Knowledge on Jan 19, 2012 6:55 PM EST reply actions
Basically a less accurate version of Z-scores
You need to factor in how many standard deviations the player is from the mean to give a more accurate representation.
If you want to say dumb things, you can't get mad when I call you dumb.
is there an easy way to find the means?
by atlbravesfn12 on Jan 19, 2012 7:34 PM EST up reply actions
Yep
If you want to say dumb things, you can't get mad when I call you dumb.
by dudedudedude on Jan 19, 2012 9:19 PM EST via mobile up reply actions
Check out the FanGraphs leaderboards. Sort by league stats.
If you want to say dumb things, you can't get mad when I call you dumb.
by dudedudedude on Jan 19, 2012 9:20 PM EST via mobile up reply actions
Triple Comment
FanGraphs already provides z scores so I wouldn’t waste too much time on it.
If you want to say dumb things, you can't get mad when I call you dumb.
by dudedudedude on Jan 19, 2012 10:02 PM EST via mobile up reply actions
ESPN
Isn’t this pretty similar to player rater on ESPN? I know its technically done differently, but I believe its the same concept, only more complicated and accurate on ESPN. I really don’t know exactly how ESPN does it, so if someone could enlighten me that would be great.
by HeLeftYouBagEnd on Jan 21, 2012 4:00 PM EST reply actions
I believe that's true
I don’t think they release publicly how they get there player raters but I bet it is of some similar method.
by atlbravesfn12 on Jan 21, 2012 10:57 PM EST up reply actions

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