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Who to keep in my league for next year? Ackley or Verlander?

It seems it is that time of year that I need to seriously start looking at who my keepers are for next season. In my league we can keep a player for 3 years after the year he was acquired. If a player is kept, he is drafted next year 2 slots above where he was drafted this year. The true bargains are in the waiver wire, where guys only cost a last round pick for the following year. 

Here is my breakdown of players I am looking to keep (next year's draft position in parenthesis)

Ellsbury (6)

Strasburg (13)

Harper (25) 

Posey (25) (picked up on the wire after a guy dropped him due to the injury)

With these guys being kept I have one slot left for a keeper player for next year. here is who i am debating between:

Verlander (4) - could be a solid 2nd round pick, but i am not HUGE on pitchers in the first few rounds. That being said, he has been a stud and I am a Tigers fan.

JJ Hardy (25) - quietly has climbed the ranks as a quality ss. not sure if a barely top 10 ss is worth the keep.

Dustin Ackley (25) - could be a top 5 2B for the next few years. 

Goldschmidt (25) - i am high on him, but 1B is a deep position and easily replaced. 

With all that I am leaning the most towards Ackley, given the quality of play in his position and the fact that he is a late pick for me, allowing me to focus on other positions of need early in next year's draft.

Thoughts?

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