Bust Watch: Troy Tulowitzki

Troy Tulowitzki set the world ablaze in September last year and is now one of the top choices in fantasy drafts everywhere. Owners are jumping on him early in drafts and he's often gone before the half way point of the first round in most leagues.  Being able to hit 30+ HR at the thin SS position makes you a valuable commodity but is Tulo worth banking a top 6 pick on?

Ray posted an injury report on Tulowitzki earlier and it's hard to not think he is injury prone. The Rockies slugging shortstop is having a hard time proving he can hold up over an entire 162 game schedule.

He hit 27 HR last year with 14 coming in a 15 game span and the other 13 coming in 107 games. Which performance is the real one to trust? The two thirds of a season worth of moderate power or the super human 15 game sample? If his september was a reflection of his true talent then he could hit 35+ HR this year. Maybe his September breakout is similar to that of Jose Bautista circa 2009 and we could see a run at 60 in 2011. Probably not but it would be fun until all the thin air skeptics and humidor tampering accusations came flooding in.

On the other hand you could believe 13 HR in 107 games is the real Tulo. That would mean looking at a 20-25 HR year in 2011. The nice thing is you don't have to worry about a full out bust unless he's injured all year because he is almost a lock to be a top 3 SS. Without great SB or AVG numbers, though, he would be a far drop from Hanley Ramirez and first round production. Tulo is capable of putting up MVP numbers but at the same time you're more likely to get 25 HR with a .290 AVG. Excellent numbers for a shortstop but not what you want to be getting with your first pick..

Trending Discussions

X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Please choose a new SB Nation username and password

As part of the new SB Nation launch, prior users will need to choose a permanent username, along with a new password.

Your username will be used to login to SB Nation going forward.

I already have a Vox Media account!

Verify Vox Media account

Please login to your Vox Media account. This account will be linked to your previously existing Eater account.

Please choose a new SB Nation username and password

As part of the new SB Nation launch, prior MT authors will need to choose a new username and password.

Your username will be used to login to SB Nation going forward.

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

By becoming a registered user, you are also agreeing to our Terms and confirming that you have read our Privacy Policy.

Join Fake Teams

You must be a member of Fake Teams to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Fake Teams. You should read them.

Join Fake Teams

You must be a member of Fake Teams to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Fake Teams. You should read them.

Spinner.vc97ec6e

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.

tracking_pixel_9351_tracker