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Michael Pineda: Manchild

Michael Pineda.  Starting Pitcher.  Seattle Mariners.  You can read about him here.

Jump with me for more than the above basic info

Star-divide

First off let me say that there is something undeniably sexy about finding a good prospect.  Of course the stats that they put up are great to have on your team, but the "I told you so" element far surpasses any actual gain in your league.  This is why I have made a habit of drafting young players in my fantasy baseball career.  Many people don't like the high-risk high-reward strategy of relying on young players, but hey I figure, I'm playing for first place, anything else doesn't matter, so why hedge my bets?  You gotta risk it to get the biscuit, right?  Further there can be some HUGE gains by drafting prospects well.  Finding a Mike Leake here, a Mike Stanton there can catapult you over the edge to a crown.

In addition to sharing a first name with some of the big prospects from last year (Leake, Stanton, Minor...Jeez there are a lot of Mikes in baseball.  Must be a conspiracy) Michael Pineda also takes the best of both worlds from last years prospects.  Last year none of the major prospects (Stasburg, Stanton, Chapman, etc.) got a shot at the big leagues right off the bat.  No pun intended (OK, pun a little intended).  On the other hand, a Mike Leake type guy had a shot at starting the season in the bigs, but was getting by on moxie and gusto more than overpowering stuff.  Pineda was recently named the 5th starter for the Mariners, so he will be getting an opportunity from the start.  As far as stuff goes, Pineda has a filthy heavy sinking fastball that settles around 97, arguably the best fastball in the minors.  He compliments his fastball with a strong slider and a solid changeup.  An admirable arsenal for any pitcher.  But how has it translated to his play?  Well, other than his first season in professional baseball he has had a K/9 higher than 9 at every stop of the way (in that season he had an 8.33 ratio with a 1.95 ERA.  Not too shabby).  Prior to making the jump to AAA he never had an ERA over 3 and for the most part was in the low twos.  And while his ERA at AAA was a ghastly 4.76, his FIP was a much more palatable 3.60

Basically in short, take a flier on Michael Pineda.  You have nothing to lose but a late draft pick a whole lot to gain

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Beast

Pineda is going to be a beast this year for anyone who grabs him for $1. Few pitchers have his K/BB numbers in the minors and even if his Ks drop and BBs rise in the majors they would have to change pretty dramatically to make him unworthy of $1. Safeco is going to save a lot of mistakes for him as well. I’d put him up there or even above Hellickson for prospects this year.

Jeremy Miedzinski
www.faketeams.com
@jrmiedzinski

by Jeremy Miedzinski on Mar 28, 2011 5:04 PM EDT reply actions  

wow

above Hellickson, even after what Hellickson did last year?

Ray Guilfoyle
www.faketeams.com
www.sbnation.com
www.minorleagueball.com

by Ray Guilfoyle on Mar 28, 2011 8:44 PM EDT up reply actions  

It's close

Pineda has better raw stuff and is in the easier division and home ballpark. He has very good command for a guy with his stuff and he’s an intimidating presence on the mound. Hellickson is more polished though so he’ll probably have less bumps in the road along the way.

Jeremy Miedzinski
www.faketeams.com
@jrmiedzinski

by Jeremy Miedzinski on Mar 28, 2011 10:47 PM EDT up reply actions  

I wouldn't use divisions

as a reasoning for Pineda being better than Hellickson. I do believe Hellickson will fall off a bit, as Rays pitchers usually do in their sophomore seasons. The AL West, outside of Seattle, has strong offensive lineups to deal with. The Angels are always tough, the Rangers could end with the top offense in the league, and the A’s this year with the addition of Dejesus, Willingham, and Matsui won’t be an easy assignment. I think Pineda (mind you I drafted him) is being overhyped right now. Upside, he’s right behind Felix. Currently, his polish and stamina leave something to be desired. He won’t be going deep into games, he’s going to have starts skipped later in the season, and a rookie starting out the year is much different than a mid season call up. Teams will have more time to scout him and prepare for his starts now that he’s on the opening day roster. Don’t be fooled by Pineda.

by BFFL on Apr 1, 2011 2:54 AM EDT up reply actions  

I don't know if I would go that far

But long term I would take Pineda and certainly I think Pineda is more bang for your buck he is usually not even getting drafted

by revans on Mar 28, 2011 10:48 PM EDT up reply actions  

good stuff

Ray Guilfoyle
www.faketeams.com
www.sbnation.com
www.minorleagueball.com

by Ray Guilfoyle on Mar 28, 2011 11:29 PM EDT up reply actions  

Thanks

I’m gonna try doing a few player analyses like this. It’s a solid distraction from classes.

by revans on Mar 28, 2011 11:41 PM EDT up reply actions  

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