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Jose Reyes, Hope for SS in your Draft

If you cannot pick up Tulo and Hanley due to your draft position,  Reyes is who I believe will do well this upcoming year.

Jose Reyes

Extremely close to having a 30 stolen bases - 30 doubles season (ending up 30-29) Reyes will pick up your steals and be your main source for that category. Having 563 At Bats and 109 singles with a .321 OBP and a .428 SLG percentage (2010 season). He also swung hard having  11 home runs and 10 triples. Yes, 10 triples.... quick guy. Reyes is 3rd for stolen bases in the SS category. He is also 6th in runs scored in the SS category. Don't forget that he plays for the Mets who went 79-83 in 2010. 

From what Bill James is saying many of his numbers are going up in 2011 

ex. A 5.1% BB rate jumping to a 7.3% BB. Even though hes getting older he had a 7.6 Spd last year and his projection is up to a 7.8 Spd. 

Bottomline:

Reyes still will be running hard for the Mets in 2011, thats why he should land a spot on your team considering the fact of a dry Shortstop pool.

 

If your not so sure on what Spd is read below:

 

Speed Score (SPD) is one of five primary production metrics used by PECOTA in identifying a hitter's comparables. It is based in principle on the Bill James speed score and includes five components: Stolen base percentage, stolen base attempts as a percentage of opportunities, triples, double plays grounded into as a percentage of opportunities, and runs scored as a percentage of times on base.

 

Beginning in 2006, BP has developed a proprietary version of Speed Score that takes better advantage of play-by-play data and ensures that equal weight is given to the five components. In the BP formulation of Speed Score, an average rating is exactly 5.0. The highest and lowest possible scores are 10.0 and 0.0, respectively, but in practice most players fall within the boundary between 7.0 (very fast) and 3.0 (very slow)

From Baseball Prospectus 

http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?mode=viewstat&stat=165

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Agree with most of this

and I would still be reluctant to take Reyes in a snake draft. There are too many productive guys available in rd 2 or early rd 3 which is where Reyes seems to go. In rds 1 – 4 I seek best player available while ignoring position scarcity. Only reason I might take Reyes that early would be if triples were a category. I would punt SS until middle rds (includes avoiding Jeter and Rollins).

by Bama Len on Mar 16, 2011 2:43 PM EDT reply actions  

Eh.

If I haven’t been able to snag Tulo or Hanley in a draft, I’ve been content to let someone else take a risk by picking Reyes and sticking with Alexei Ramirez. Why he’s been getting drafted behind Jeter, I don’t know, but I know who I’d rather have.

Don't stop believin'. And never forget where you came from.

Also, Red Wave Central: A brand new blog for Fresno State fans!

by OnDeck_Matt on Mar 17, 2011 9:57 AM EDT reply actions  

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