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Fantasy Prospect Outfielder Rankings for 2012

Here at Fake Teams, our aim is to provide fantasy baseball advice, and it would not be complete without providing our 2012 Fantasy Baseball Prospect Rankings. Ray and I have been giving you our take on the Prospect rankings by position for 2012. Outfield is clearly deeper than most of the positions, with a clear top 2 prospects and then a substantial drop off to the next tier. Here are the links to the other positions we have completed:

Catcher

First Base

Third Base

Shortstop

Here are my top fantasy outfielder prospects for 2012. These rankings are for fantasy purposes, and JUST for 2012.

I will also provide a ranking for those of you in keeper leagues at the end.

Top Fantasy OF Prospects for 2012 Only:

1. Bryce Harper (WAS)

2. Mike Trout (LAA)

3. Brett Jackson (CHC)

4. Yonder Alonso (SD)

5. Tim Wheeler (COL)

6. Leonys Martin (TEX)

7. Michael Taylor (OAK)

8. Charlie Blackmon (COL)

9. Collin Cowgill (OAK)

10. Caleb Gindl (MIL)

11. Anthony Gose (TOR)

12. Starling Marte (PIT)

13. Wil Myers (KC)

14. Grant Green (OAK)

15. A.J. Pollock (ARI)

My Thoughts about the top outfield prospects after the jump...

Star-divide

  • There have been hints that uber-prospect Bryce Harper could possibly make the team out of Spring Training, shifting Jayson Werth to center field. While I don't think that is a very likely outcome, Harper seems to me like a lock to be up at some point in 2012. His ranking here at the top of the 2012 list has more to do with the fact that if you want him on your team, you're going to have to draft him like he will be up all season.
  • I ranked Trout behind Harper because I am not convinced that the Angels start the season with him in their outfield. Trout is one of the few players who is movable to the minor leagues, and while he has shown he can provide 5-category value, I think he will start the season in AAA Salt Lake City and get called up during the season. (I think he SHOULD be in the Majors, but I think he won't be based on management).
  • I ranked Alonso as an outfield prospect, as he played a majority of his games in the outfield last year. I think he ends up winning the first base job in San Diego, and Rizzo gets sent back to AAA for some more seasoning.
  • I saw Michael Taylor play quite a bit here in Sacramento, and the thing I kept seeing was the flashes of potential. He'd hit a mammoth home run, and then strikeout badly later in the same game. He has the potential to be a 20-20 outfielder still, but I want to see him do it and stay healthy.
  • I think Wheeler does more if he gets full-time playing time in Colorado than Charlie Blackmon, but I think that both are more likely to be bench outfielders for the team. A trade of Seth Smith could help with some playing time for them as well, but the Michael Cuddyer signing kind of locks them out of a starting job.
  • Myers seems to me like he could very well force his way to the Majors this year if he gets off to a hot start. He seems likely to start the year at AA again, but could move fast if he keeps hitting.

As for the long-term prospects, here's my rankings, and a few thoughts afterward.

Top Fantasy OF Prospects for Keeper Leagues:

1. Bryce Harper (WAS)

2. Mike Trout (LAA)

3. Wil Myers (KC)

4. Brett Jackson (CHC)

5. Gary Brown (SF)

6. Jake Marisnick (TOR)

7. Anthony Gose (TOR)

8. Yonder Alonso (SD)

9. Bubba Starling (KC)

10. Oscar Taveras (STL)

11. Rymer Liriano (SD)

12. Michael Choice (OAK)

13. Christian Yelich (MIA)

14. Josh Bell (PIT)

15. Tim Wheeler (COL)

16. Leonys Martin (TEX)

17. Michael Taylor (OAK)

18. George Springer (HOU)

19. Oswaldo Arcia (MIN)

20. Adam Eaton (ARI)

21. Starling Marte (PIT)

22. Robbie Grossman (PIT)

23. Brandon Jacobs (BOS)

24. Brandon Nimmo (NYM)

25. Grant Green (OAK)

HM: A.J. Pollock (ARI), Mason Williams (NYY), Bryce Brentz (BOS), Brian Goodwin (WAS), Alfredo Silverio (LAD), Caleb Gindl (MIL)

  • I really like both Gose, and Liriano going forward. However, I want to see them both perform similiarly in 2012 to the way they did in 2011.
  • Bell's ranking is purely speculative, as he has not made his debut yet. He's also likely to be a bit behind the 8-ball as he will be age 19 for most of the 2012 season, and turn 20 in August. He'll need to move fast, and I would be concerned that the Pirates might push him too much.
  • Taylor's ranking here has more to do with his potential as a 20-20 outfielder than what seems more likely, which could be 15-15.

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interesting you have Brown that high

I been seeing Bell/Starling/Marisnick over him in most MILB drafts this year and even though i don’t agree with that, i do like Brown a lot.

by High Heater on Dec 28, 2011 10:29 AM EST reply actions  

I tend to overvalue players who have already shown performance compared to new draftees who have not made their debuts yet (Bell, Starling). That said, I think Brown gets a lot of flack for posting his numbers in the California League, a known hitters’ paradise. I wouldn’t have an issue ranking Brown, Marisnick, and Gose in any order really, as all of them need to show that the numbers they had in 2011 are not a fluke. Realistically, if all 3 of them are able to repeat their production, they could all be top 20 prospects overall next year at worst.

by Jason Hunt on Dec 28, 2011 10:47 AM EST up reply actions  

I see Leonys Martin in the top 10 a lot.

I’m just curious what you see as his strengths in fantasy baseball? I don’t know anything about the guy, but with The Rangers OF being so injury prone, he’s bound to get some playing time in, right?

I don't know, but the guy quotes himself in his own signature - CaptnAmerca

by CaptnAmerca on Dec 28, 2011 10:35 AM EST reply actions  

Martin

Martin is a tough one for me to rank objectively. I saw him at least once, and I think twice (I’ve been trying to remember for sure, but can’t seem to) last year when Round Rock was here in Sacramento. Completely small sample size issue either way, but he looked really bad at the plate when he was here. Lots of flailing at what looked like offspeed stuff from a pitcher who probably was unlikely to get out of AAA. I think he’ll get there eventually, but I’m not sure what it looks like when he does.

The hard part for me is this: If he turns into what he’s expected to be at the majors, what does that look like? A center fielder that hits .280-.290 with 5-10 homers and 15-20 stolen bases? To me, he screams better real-life outfielder than fantasy outfielder. The lack of power he has shown thus far in AAA leads me to believe he stays down there to start in 2012. I think that they keep him in AAA to start the year, and unless they need him to play every day or he forces his way up, he will be there a majority of the year.

by Jason Hunt on Dec 28, 2011 10:43 AM EST up reply actions  

Harper

National’s GM Mike Rizzo stated today that he sees the centerfield market in 2013 being stronger than 2012. Here are his quotes on MLB Radio via MLB Trade Rumors:

We see the 2013 free agent class at center field is much stronger than it is for the 2012 season. With that in mind we know Jayson [Werth] can handle the center field position. It’s not a perfect world for us. He’s a good defender out there and is ready, willing, and able to take on the responsibility to play center field. We recognize that we need a true gliding, defensive, rangy center fielder out there in a perfect world. As far as the 2012 season we’re not going to make a kneejerk reaction and lock ourselves into anything long-term if it doesn’t make sense for us.

What does this mean for Harper? Sounds like he will get a chance to compete for the RF job in spring training. It appears the Nats will go hard after one of the 2013 free agent CFers-Upton, Bourn, Victorino, and eventually move Morse to first base in 2013, with Werth or Harper moving to LF.

Ray Guilfoyle
www.faketeams.com
www.minorleagueball.com
www.mlbdailydish.com

by Ray Guilfoyle on Dec 28, 2011 12:52 PM EST reply actions  

I would imagine that Harper will get a shot, and if he doesn’t make it for some reason, they’ll go with either Mike Cameron in CF and Werth in RF, or Werth in CF with Mark DeRosa and some combo in RF.

Long-term, Morse at 1B in 2013 makes the most sense, and then signing a high-end CF and moving Werth to LF.

by Jason Hunt on Dec 28, 2011 1:20 PM EST up reply actions  

the Nats

are putting together a team that should compete in 2012. I think they have the 2nd best bullpen in the NL East, and 2nd best rotation 1-3 after Philly.

Ray Guilfoyle
www.faketeams.com
www.minorleagueball.com
www.mlbdailydish.com

by Ray Guilfoyle on Dec 28, 2011 1:36 PM EST up reply actions  

Braves bullpen

I’ll take that Braves bullpen over the Nats, assuming they don’t get overused.

by jjmalden on Dec 28, 2011 8:50 PM EST reply actions  

+1

Best bullpen in baseball.

If you want to say dumb things, you can't get mad when I call you dumb.

by dudedudedude on Dec 28, 2011 9:24 PM EST up reply actions  

i think 2011

will take its toll on the braves this season, but they are an outstanding unit and could be great agin in 2012.

Ride the tiger...You can see his stripes but you know he's clean.

by James Westfall on Dec 29, 2011 2:31 PM EST up reply actions  

Brown is old

He was 23 and only in High A. Compared that with Gose who was 20 in AA and there is a huge gap there, both in tools and numbers.

If you want to say dumb things, you can't get mad when I call you dumb.

by dudedudedude on Dec 28, 2011 9:26 PM EST reply actions  

not sure

there is a gap in tools….age yes.

Ray Guilfoyle
www.faketeams.com
www.minorleagueball.com
www.mlbdailydish.com

by Ray Guilfoyle on Jan 2, 2012 11:47 AM EST up reply actions  

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