Houston Astros Move to AL West - Fantasy Implications
The Houston Astros' rumored move to the AL West as a condition of the sale to Jim Crane has been made official. Starting in 2013, the Astros will be a bona fide American League team, with a designated hitter and everything. Of course, that means there are now 15 teams in each league, and that means interleague play will be ongoing. These changes won't take effect until over a year from now, but it's never too early to think about how this might affect the game of fantasy baseball going forward.
The most obvious changes will be to league-specific formats. AL only leagues will be the beneficiaries of a slightly deeper player pool. You'll want to pay attention to Houston in 2012 so that you'll be well-versed in their system when the 2013 draft comes around. So who on that team is worth owning? When the rumors of this move first came bubbling to the surface, Ray posted a primer on the Houston Astros that you'll want to check out.
NL only people: your player pool is about to get a little shallower, which means that player values will go up in general. Those of you in NL only keeper leagues who are looking to win now rather than rebuild may want to look to the Astros for help in 2012, as the price of every Houston player should steadily drop as the season goes on. If you're willing to take up a roster spot with a player that will be losing eligibility soon, you'll likely be able to find cheap production.
One of the by-products of this move mentioned above is constant interleague play. The commissioner's office hasn't given any hints about how they will reconstruct the schedule moving forward, but it's a safe assumption that they will want to avoid giving teams a ton of off days in the name of having dedicated interleague weekends. SBNation's Al Yellon has a proposal:
18 games against each team in your own division = 72 games
6 games against each other team in your league = 60 games
6 games against each team in one division of the other league = 30 games
It's not the only solution, to be sure - there are several other viable proposals in the comments of the same article - but I would say that an increase in the number of interleague games played is probably more likely than a decrease. If all of this is true, here are 2 major developments in fantasy for players in all formats:
1. True AL designated hitters that don't have a chance of playing in the field, even in an NL park, will see their value decreased.
2. NL players that regularly DH in American League parks will see an increase in value, not because of an increase in games or PAs (those should remain relatively static), but because they might find themselves gaining DH eligibility in mixed leagues that use the position.
Finally, fantasy players will need to be more diligent about watching which players get into the lineup every day. This is perhaps the most important development. NL players filling the designated hitter role and AL DHs hitting the bench will be a constant, not something that happens on a handful of weekends each season. There will be no reminders on every fantasy blog in existence shouting at you to bench Vladimir Guerrero because his team is in an NL park this week. Checking for interleague play will eventually be as regular as checking the weather or opposing starting pitchers.
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nice job
I read in the KLaw chat today that part of the new CBA agreement might result the DH being added to the NL. That would change everything in the NL.
Ray Guilfoyle
www.faketeams.com
www.minorleagueball.com
www.mlbdailydish.com
I know it’s because I am an AL fan, but I’m for them doing this. With the few exceptions who can, most of the pitchers make up a practically free out in the lineup 3+ times a game. And realistically, if you have a pitcher who really can hit (Zambrano, Gallardo, Cain, etc) – there’s no rule really saying that you couldn’t use them as a hitter in that game, especially if your other options aren’t as good.
Writer at FakeTeams
Writer at MLB Daily Dish
If they don't
I would probably be inclined to downgrade players who only DH slightly, especially if they cannot put the player somewhere in the field when playing interleague. You’d basically be looking at the possibility of having someone like David Ortiz not play in say 10 of the 15 games in NL parks, which could diminish his counting stats.
Writer at FakeTeams
Writer at MLB Daily Dish
Finally the AL has 15 teams
I have been preaching for MLB to spread inter-league year round (two series each week) allowing the NL and AL to both be at 15 teams. Mathematically, it is beautiful. I have advocated the Brewers, Rockies, or Astros moving to the AL. Houston immediately takes up a rival with Texas and adds another Central Time team to that Pacific Coast biased division. I would personally love to see the DH removed from the AL and less games to be played, but one can only dream! Feel free to join our discussion at ProFSL regarding this move: http://www.profsl.com/smf/index.php?topic=38576.0
by colby.schaeffer on Nov 18, 2011 11:14 AM EST reply actions

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