Fantasy Baseball: 20 Pitchers You Should Buy

by Ray Guilfoyle on Jul 7, 2010 10:00 AM EDT in Baseball

Yesterday, I wrote about 20 pitchers fantasy owners should sell. Today, I have 20 pitchers owners should buy, based on a positive difference between their ERA and their FIP. Let's take a look:

Name	Team	K/9	BB/9	K/BB	HR/9	AVG	WHIP	BABIP	LOB%	ERA	FIP	E-F	xFIP
Change page: < 1 2 3 4 > \| Displaying page 1 of 4, items 1 to 35 of 109.
Randy Wells	Cubs	6.96	2.47	2.81	0.64	.290	1.42	.345	67.8 %	4.67	3.37	1.29	3.78
Brandon Morrow	Blue Jays	10.03	4.22	2.38	0.66	.252	1.42	.339	68.1 %	4.69	3.45	1.23	3.87
Francisco Liriano	Twins	9.88	2.38	4.14	0.17	.253	1.22	.352	72.2 %	3.32	2.10	1.22	2.89
Felipe Paulino	Astros	7.95	4.50	1.77	0.21	.264	1.51	.338	61.4 %	4.40	3.28	1.12	4.63
Scott Feldman	Rangers	5.42	2.93	1.85	0.98	.316	1.63	.350	63.8 %	5.51	4.44	1.06	4.72
Gavin Floyd	White Sox	7.47	2.78	2.69	0.61	.264	1.32	.322	66.1 %	4.43	3.37	1.06	3.76
Kyle Davies	Royals	5.54	4.13	1.34	0.91	.276	1.53	.306	63.8 %	5.64	4.63	1.01	5.24
Justin Masterson	Indians	7.32	3.99	1.83	0.57	.284	1.56	.345	66.6 %	4.85	3.86	0.99	3.91
Chris Narveson	Brewers	7.34	3.56	2.06	1.08	.281	1.50	.329	68.1 %	5.29	4.33	0.96	4.39
Wandy Rodriguez	Astros	6.22	3.67	1.69	0.82	.299	1.61	.343	63.1 %	5.30	4.40	0.90	4.47
Scott Baker	Twins	7.95	1.66	4.79	1.31	.287	1.32	.338	71.8 %	4.72	3.88	0.84	3.75
Tommy Hanson	Braves	9.12	3.07	2.97	0.65	.266	1.37	.345	71.1 %	4.19	3.39	0.80	4.10
James Shields	Rays	8.18	2.05	4.00	1.39	.290	1.38	.344	67.6 %	4.83	4.07	0.76	3.62
Kevin Millwood	Orioles	7.02	2.93	2.40	1.67	.308	1.58	.344	67.6 %	5.77	5.05	0.71	4.35
Edwin Jackson	Diamondbacks	7.15	3.86	1.85	0.80	.258	1.41	.306	68.9 %	4.74	4.10	0.64	4.22
Justin Verlander	Tigers	8.43	3.03	2.78	0.57	.225	1.15	.286	68.5 %	3.85	3.21	0.63	3.97
Jake Peavy	White Sox	7.78	2.82	2.76	1.11	.246	1.23	.290	68.5 %	4.70	4.10	0.60	4.14
Jeremy Bonderman	Tigers	6.48	2.55	2.54	1.08	.275	1.35	.311	66.6 %	4.81	4.24	0.57	4.45
Chad Billingsley	Dodgers	8.12	3.05	2.67	0.71	.269	1.38	.333	70.6 %	4.06	3.51	0.55	3.89
Nick Blackburn	Twins	3.19	2.52	1.27	1.45	.326	1.65	.328	66.7 %	6.00	5.46	0.54	5.16

A few guys who stand out for me in this list are Francisco Liriano with a 2.10 FIP. I know he has the talent, but can he really pitch better than he has. His .352 BABIP is surprising. I think Tommy Hanson will pitch much better than he has so far, especially with the solid bullpen behind him.

Jake Peavy is a pitcher who could thrive down the stretch if the White Sox could get into a pennant race, or if he is dealt to a team in the playoff race. Wandy Rodriguez has pitched better of late, striking out 10 on Tuesday night. His LOB% of 63% should rise, lowering his ERA at the same time.

A pitcher just missing this list is Dan Haren, who should pitch better than he has to date. His BABIP of .340 should regress to league average around .300, as should his career high HR/9 of 1.39. Haren, Wandy and Peavy are buy low pitchers should you find an owner willing to deal them.

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Comments

I don't think you want to buy on Peavy

He hurt his arm again last night.

by vanman on Jul 7, 2010 11:26 AM EDT reply actions

yeah

I wrote this last night and didn’t know he got hurt till this morning.
But I think he hurt his side, and not his arm….which is a positive

raygu
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by Ray Guilfoyle on Jul 7, 2010 12:02 PM EDT up reply actions

he's on the DL :-(

by rmarx on Jul 7, 2010 5:28 PM EDT up reply actions

Kershaw Should Be A Buy Now

Isn’t Kershaw a buy now kind of guy? I know how well he’s doing but a lot of people seem to think he will relapse and pitch like he did at the beginning of the year.

I own Kershaw in both leagues I’m in and while I got a lot of people asking for him, no one was offering to pay near his value. No one even offered a package of top prospects for him and I’m not talking about a guy like Strasburg. Best offers I’ve gotten were Greinke for Kershaw in which I’d have to pay an extra $10 for and Desmond Jennings for Kershaw.

Hell I couldn’t of gotten Hanson for Kershaw before. Now I prolly could but that would only be because of Hanson having some bad games of late.

Just last month i read an article that Kershaw didn’t deserve to be an ace due to lack of control. That same person I doubt would just change his mind, and would just call Kershaw’s performance of late, a fluke.

CBS Sports still keeps going back and forth on how many innings they project Kershaw to throw per game. Until last week they were still projecting him to throw less than 6 innings a game even though he was averaging close to 7 innings. And even now just barely project him to go over 6 innings a game.

Most expects like to say he is a must start while he’s hot but their not sure if it will last. And people do listen to this crap. They ignore patterns completely. This is why I think Kershaw is a buy now kind of guy. Buy him now before people realize what he is doing isn’t a fluke.

by Matt Perkins on Jul 9, 2010 9:26 AM EDT reply actions