Fantasy Baseball: Matt Wieters, Carlos Santana Or Buster Posey??
by Ray Guilfoyle on Jul 22, 2010 12:00 PM EDT
in Baseball
6 comments
The 2010 season has brought us one of the best group of prospects MLB has seen in quite some time. Two of the best prospects coming into the 2010 season were catchers Carlos Santana and Buster Posey. And now fantasy owners know why they were ranked so high. Last year, they hype machine went crazy on Matt Wieters, yet he has not reached the hype bestowed upon him in 2010.
Here are their stats as of Wednesday:
Posey-162 AB, 8 HRs, 30 RBIs, .352-.386-.568 with a 13% K rate and 5% BB rate
Santana-113 ABs, 6 HRs, 19 RBIs, 2 SBs, .292-.443-.566 with a 18% K rate and 22% BB rate
Wieters-269 ABs, 6 HRs, 29 RBIs, .245-.315-.357 with a 22% K rate and 9% BB rate.
In a recent Ask BA question, Jim Callis was asked about the following:
Over the past few seasons, Matt Wieters has been largely regarded as the best young catching prospect in baseball, and Jesus Montero, Buster Posey and Carlos Santana were all ranked right behind him in various orders. How would you rank the four now, given that Wieters has struggled the most out of that group this year?
Eli Johnson
Berkeley, Calif.Though Wieters hasn't made the immediate major league impact expected of him
, I'd still take him over Montero, Posey and Santana. Wieters still should be the best all-around catcher of the group.
Wieters has as strong and accurate an arm as any of the other catchers, and he's a better receiver than the others. While he's batting just .245/.315/.357 this season, he has made significant strides with his plate discipline and he's still a switch-hitter with as much power as the rest of the group.
Montero may be the best all-around hitter in the long run, but he's not going to stick at catcher and he's having a so-so year in Triple-A while Posey and Santana are scalding the ball in the majors, so I'd rank Montero fourth in this crowd. Posey and Santana are very close, and I go back and forth on them all the time. Posey is more athletic and has a chance to be a little better defender, but I believe Santana will be the more dynamic offensive player.
Based on the stats above, who would you rather have in 2011? I have to think Posey and Santana will be ranked in the top 5 catchers going into the 2011 season, and I would prefer Santana as he appears to have more power and can get on base more.
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Fantasy vs Actual Club
In terms of offense and fantasy, I’d rank them Santana, Wieters, Posey. I don’t buy Posey’s current power production, and Wieters is a safe bet to eclipse him. Santana is just too powerful to not buy into.
As far as actually helping their team, I’d take Wieters, Santana, Posey. Posey is the best defender, but Wieters isn’t too far behind and ahead in his development.
by QuinnTheEzkamo on Jul 22, 2010 12:21 PM EDT reply actions
Life was hard earlier when I owned both Santana and Posey before the season :) But I moved Posey for Ryan Westmoreland and Michael Pineda.
I think the orders above are right for both purposes, but they are all going to be very close.
Can anyone remember the last time we had this many quality catchers come into the league in this short a time span?
for next year
if i am in a re-draft league i think wieters may wind up with the most value based on draft position. both posey and santana will likely be high picks while wieters will be somewhat forgotten.
that said, wieters is starting to remind me a bit of alex gordon. super hyped college player, awesome first year in the minors and then a so-so rookie year, followed up by a so-so sophmore season. if you look at wieter’s numbers in AAA last year before the call up, they really weren’t all that good. i think santana winds up the best player.
somewhere
Ned Colletti is having a drink just thinking about how much better the Dodgers would be right now with Santana catching and Martin his backup at C and 3B.
raygu
www.faketeams.com
www.sbnation.com
I don't know why
But i fear that Santana’s 2011 resembles Geovany Soto’s 2009
Nothing really to back that up, just a gut feeling.
by TheHuntforRedOctober on Jul 22, 2010 3:01 PM EDT reply actions
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