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Fantasy Baseball: Early June Hot Streaks

About two weeks into the season, there are some players with crazy-hot starts. Around that time, a lot of articles come up letting us know which of those players are "for real" and which are just having their hottest two weeks in the first two weeks.

Later on in the season, hot streaks sometimes are camouflaged by early season struggles. So using ESPN’s player rater for the last 15 days, let’s take a look at some players who are red-hot right now and decipher which ones will stay that way.

Alex Rios, OF—Rios has had a great season so far after a disappointing 2009. While I wouldn’t expect him to entirely keep up the pace he is setting right now, Rios’ skills are nothing new—he has demonstrated them before. My advice would be to hang on to Rios (as opposed to selling high)—he’ll continue to be productive.

Brett Cecil, SP—I like Cecil. Actually sat behind his fiancé and her family at a game when he got rocked at Fenway once (true story). But that was last year and this is now. Cecil is going to still have growing pains, but he’s worth spot-starting in games against weaker offenses. I wouldn’t put him out there every day though.

Drew Stubbs, OF—I think Stubbs will end up being a fine player, just not yet. He may have 12 steals, but if you need speed, there are probably better options out there that won’t kill your batting average so much. It seems like there are a few young players that get called up and steal a ton of bases (a la Rajai Davis last year) each season, so if that is your area of weakness I’d sit tight.

Ervin Santana, SP—Mentioned him in yesterday’s post as part of the group of pitchers I would rather have than John Lackey. If he’s not owned in your league yet (89% in ESPN standard) go get him.

Adrian Beltre, 3B—Beltre his 25 home runs just two years ago, and people forget he’s only 31. He’s away from Safeco and around a better offense. I actually expect his power to increase the rest of the way.

Star-divide

Derek Lowe, SP—He’s had back-to-back nice starts but I still don’t trust him. His walks are up this year and he has too much of a track record of being just mediocre. Next start is at Arizona, and I wouldn’t start him.

Troy Glaus, 3B—Five home runs in the last seven games? Glaus is just like Beltre—he hit 27 two years ago. Though he is 33 instead of 31, his power is still real. He’s still available in a few leagues grab him if you can.  

Clay Buchholz, SP—Buchholz has been around for a while, but is still very young. Everyone knows he can be dominant at times, it’s just the consistency that has been a problem for him, and I expect that to continue. He still is very useful but is overrated playing for Boston. People often compare him to Phil Hughes, but I would rather have Hughes by quite a margin.

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Agreed on Rios

The hard part is that I can’t imagine a whole lot of people believe(I know that even with looking at the advanced numbers, the numbers are fairly close to reality) and that the trade value isn’t going to equal the production at this point.

by Jason Hunt on Jun 6, 2010 1:44 PM EDT reply actions  

Hmm.

I’m actually a little more optimistic than you are on Cecil. As the year has gone on the 23 year old has gotten sharper. In his last 29 2/3 IP he has allowed 4 BB, including just one in his start against the yankees where he pitched 8 innings of shutout ball. In that same game he had a 2:1 GB/FB ratio and had 70 of 105 pitches called for strikes. Granted before the yankee game he had success against teams like Baltimore, Seattle and Cleveland, but ultimately this last game shows you what this guy can possibly give you. He might be a spot start right now but if he can have success against the Tampa Bay Rays, then I think he is a play in almost all formats.

by TheHuntforRedOctober on Jun 6, 2010 5:07 PM EDT reply actions  

Definitely worth watching

Him (and a majority of the Toronto pitchers at this point) are worth owning. I think I’m inclined to agree with Seth at this point that he’s a spot start in 10-team leagues, but pretty much anything deeper than that he’s a must-start. He’s one of those pitchers to me, at the moment, that you just have to keep an eye on, and realize that from time to time you’re going to get a real stinker. But there’s going to be great days too.

by Jason Hunt on Jun 6, 2010 5:38 PM EDT up reply actions  

Buchholz

vs Hughes….to me is a tossup. Both are breaking out this season, and have pitched great of late. It is a tougher decision for me, especially with the 2 straight shutouts by Buchholz.
Yes, Stubbs is going to hurt your BA….but has some pop along with the speed.
Love Beltre in Boston.
Have Glaus in my big money NL only league and am keeping my fingers crossed that he can stay healthy and continue to hit for power.

raygu
www.faketeams.com
www.sbnation.com

by Ray Guilfoyle on Jun 6, 2010 9:09 PM EDT reply actions  

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