Fantasy Baseball: BaseballHQ's Breakout Candidates For 2010
Every year Santa brings me Ron Shandler's Baseball Forecaster book which is chock full of insightful fantasy articles and projections. Last year Brandon Kruse wrote an article called "Speculating on Breakouts". His definition of a breakout player is one who earns a Rotisserie value of $20 or more after previously never posting a value over $10 at the major league level.
The criteria used included the following:
-age 27 or younger
-an increase in at least two of the following categories-PX, SX or H%
-Minimum league average PX or SX (100)
-Minimum contact rate-75%
-minimum xBA-.270
Last year, his speculation predicted two solid breakout players-Ben Zobrist and Erick Aybar, along with Martin Prado and Seth Smith, both of whom performed very well in 2009.
His choices for 2010:
Michael Aubrey (1B, BAL)
Ronald Belisario (RP, LAD)
Neftali Feliz (SP, TEX)
Yovani Gallardo (SP, MIL)
Matt Laporta (OF, CLE)
Joe Smith (RP, CLE)
Luis Valbuena (2B, CLE)
I wonder if Kruse is an Indians fan? He selected three of their players to breakout in 2010?
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Comments
Agree here
I voted LaPorta since I though YoGa there was being unfair. I have a hard time believing he’s never provided $10 worth of value in the past, though (my Forecaster’s coming next week, so can’t confirm. He did have $26 of worth splits between minors and MIL in ’07)
Belisario and Feliz also showed their potential last year, though I still have worries about Belisario because of Torre. Overuse could really, really hurt him this year.
by QuinnTheEzkamo on Feb 3, 2010 5:53 PM EST up reply actions
+1
Gallardo earned $18 in 2009…not sure how he would be a breakout candidate
raygu
www.faketeams.com
www.sbnation.com
by Ray Guilfoyle on Feb 3, 2010 11:02 PM EST up reply actions
$9
according to the hq site in a 4X4 NL only league Gallardo earned $9 bucks last year. In a 5X5 he earned $14
his book says $18
for 2009
raygu
www.faketeams.com
www.sbnation.com
by Ray Guilfoyle on Feb 4, 2010 10:09 AM EST up reply actions
Some of these
are break out canidates that are just coming into the league. I think that the rookies will ahve a harder time breaking out than the ones that have some expieriance.
how can you consider Gallardo a breakout candidate
when he’s already shattered his way out?

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