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Fantasy Baseball: BaseballHQ's Breakout Candidates For 2010

Every year Santa brings me Ron Shandler's Baseball Forecaster book which is chock full of insightful fantasy articles and projections. Last year Brandon Kruse wrote an article called "Speculating on Breakouts". His definition of a breakout player is one who earns a Rotisserie value of $20 or more after previously never posting a value over $10 at the major league level.
The criteria used included the following:

-age 27 or younger

-an increase in at least two of the following categories-PX, SX or H%

-Minimum league average PX or SX (100)

-Minimum contact rate-75%

-minimum xBA-.270

Last year, his speculation predicted two solid breakout players-Ben Zobrist and Erick Aybar, along with Martin Prado and Seth Smith, both of whom performed very well in 2009.

His choices for 2010:

Michael Aubrey (1B, BAL)

Ronald Belisario (RP, LAD)

Neftali Feliz (SP, TEX)

Yovani Gallardo (SP, MIL)

Matt Laporta (OF, CLE)

Joe Smith (RP, CLE)

Luis Valbuena (2B, CLE)

I wonder if Kruse is an Indians fan? He selected three of their players to breakout in 2010?

Poll
Who will have the best breakout year in 2010?
Neftali Feliz
78 votes
Matt Laporta
58 votes
Yovani Gallardo
133 votes
Michael Aubrey
13 votes
Ronald Belisario
8 votes
Joe Smith
2 votes
Luis Valbuena
10 votes

302 votes | Poll has closed

Comment 9 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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Aubrey

is a former Indian as well.

by Horatio on Feb 3, 2010 11:19 AM EST reply actions  

Beakout Candidates?

How about “Which One of These is Not Like The other?” Yovanni Gallardo!

by faketeams on Feb 3, 2010 1:31 PM EST reply actions  

Agree here

I voted LaPorta since I though YoGa there was being unfair. I have a hard time believing he’s never provided $10 worth of value in the past, though (my Forecaster’s coming next week, so can’t confirm. He did have $26 of worth splits between minors and MIL in ’07)

Belisario and Feliz also showed their potential last year, though I still have worries about Belisario because of Torre. Overuse could really, really hurt him this year.

by QuinnTheEzkamo on Feb 3, 2010 5:53 PM EST up reply actions  

+1

Gallardo earned $18 in 2009…not sure how he would be a breakout candidate

raygu
www.faketeams.com
www.sbnation.com

by Ray Guilfoyle on Feb 3, 2010 11:02 PM EST up reply actions  

$9

according to the hq site in a 4X4 NL only league Gallardo earned $9 bucks last year. In a 5X5 he earned $14

by DB11 on Feb 4, 2010 9:01 AM EST up reply actions  

BBs

Gallardo’s WHIP was unattractive. He shouldn’t have been on the list though.

by faketeams on Feb 4, 2010 9:58 AM EST up reply actions  

his book says $18

for 2009

raygu
www.faketeams.com
www.sbnation.com

by Ray Guilfoyle on Feb 4, 2010 10:09 AM EST up reply actions  

Some of these

are break out canidates that are just coming into the league. I think that the rookies will ahve a harder time breaking out than the ones that have some expieriance.

by sal007 on Feb 3, 2010 2:48 PM EST reply actions  

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