Fantasy Baseball: Baseball HQ's Bust Candidates For 2010

by Ray Guilfoyle on Feb 11, 2010 3:00 PM EST in Baseball

Is it me or is it easier to predict guys who will improve on their previous season's stats than to predict the guys who will be a fantasy bust? Well, Baseball HQ takes a stab at who they think will be a fantasy bust in 2010. Here are the hitters:

Shin -Soo Choo

Well, quite a list I must say. You know I agree with his thoughts on Wright and Hanley as I have written about them previously. But Justin Upton, Joey Votto, Matt Wieters and Joe Mauer?? Say it isn't so Ron. I think all four can repeat or improve upon their stats in 2009, especially Upton and Votto. I disagree with Aramis Ramirez as well.

But, I could see Nyjer Morgan and Michael Bourn not running as wild as they did in 2009 and disappointing fantasy owners everywhere. The same goes for Zobrist. Was his 2009 season a fuke, or is he the real deal? I know ESPN's Eric Karabell thinks he can repeat in 2010.

Here is what Shandler had to say about David Wright in his 2010 Baseball Forecaster:

HR/SLG splits say that power outage wasn't just due to new stadium. CT% also down, year salvaged only by inflated H%, SBO and SB%. A normal HR/FB% reversion (dropped from 17% in 2008 to 7% in 2009) points to rebound but Stud status is in jeopardy.

Poll

Will David Wright continue to under-perform in 2010?

No, he will bounce back for sure

87 votes

Yes, and he will be barking for the fences to be moved in by June

94 votes

181 votes | Poll has closed

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Comments

For sure Morgan won't do nearly

as good as he did with the National’s when he was traded there. Also ben Zobrist. he ahd a monster season and I don’t think a repeat will be possible.

by sal007 on Feb 11, 2010 8:45 PM EST reply actions

Where are you finding all these guys labeled as busts? I don’t see any section in the Forecaster talking about this.

Are you talking about the Random Variation stat? The fact that they are projected to not earn as much as they did last year in R$?

by kellemonster on Feb 11, 2010 10:57 PM EST reply actions

the Random Variation stat

I don’t recall seeing it in last year’s book. The list is provided in the back of the book with all the other auction, snake draft lists.

raygu
www.faketeams.com
www.sbnation.com

by Ray Guilfoyle on Feb 11, 2010 11:03 PM EST up reply actions

I know that they added the random variation stat, what I’m asking is how did you determine that the Forecaster said these guys are possible busts? There’s no article in the book about that. Which is why I asked if you were combined pieces of data actually found in the book like Random Variation, 2009 vs. 2010 R$, or the blurbs.

by kellemonster on Feb 12, 2010 2:14 AM EST up reply actions