Kemp over Braun as well. I took Kemp 2nd overall in my last mixed mock. Runs, homers, RBI, and avg between the two are nearly inseparable but as long as Rhianna doesn’t wear out Kemp’s legs, Matt is going to run more and that is the difference maker for me.

Here’s my picks for the players mentioned:
Hanley over A-Rod

Lincecum over Greinke

Halladay over Carpenter

Kemp over Braun (Kemp is the #1 fantasy OF in my opinion right now, maybe Sizemore if he gets healthy)

Johnson over Gallardo (until Gallardo gets better control)

Fielder over Howard

Lind over Hamilton (I don’t even know what to think about Hamilton anymore)

Hill over Zobrist (this is really close, hill won’t have as much power this year, and Zobrist will finally be at just one position instead of moving around so this could change)

Teixeira over Longoria (until Longoria picks up his average it’s not a question)

Broxton over Mariano (even though Mariano hasn’t slowed down from age yet he has to eventually, and Broxton’s K/9 is ridiculous)

I still think I’d take Braun over Kemp at this point. He does have the ability to go 30/30, but I’m not drafting my first rounder based on what his upside is when there is a player who has been consistently worth a first round pick.

That doesn’t mean I don’t think Kemp will go 30/30, I’m just not willing to spend a top 5 pick to find out.

so I can try to make a better guess at who to take.

Braun:
.315 / 35 HRs / 110 RBIs / 15 SBs

Kemp:
.298 / 28 HRs / 100 RBIs / 35 SBs

They seem really evenly matched, and I like Matt Kemp more as a player and before really analyzing both of them I though that I would rather have Kemp. But now, I realize that fantasy-wise Braun is still superior. Braun will get more runs, more hits, more doubles, a comparable amount of triples, more walks, and less strikeouts.

Braun, as of now, is still the superior fantasy option. Of course this is all just speculation of what they will do next year but I’m taking Braun before Kemp.