Fantasy Baseball: NL Closers Peripheral Stats
After posting the volatility of NL closers article, I decided to take a look at the peripheral stats for all NL closer with at least 5 saves. Lets take a look:
| Player | S | BS | S% | Kd9 | BBd9 | K/BB | HRA | HR/9 | INN | ERA | WHIP | BAA |
| Qualls, Chad RP ARI | 24 | 5 | 0.828 | 7.8 | 1.21 | 6.44 | 5 | 0.9 | 52 | 3.63 | 1.15 | 0.256 |
| Street, Huston RP COL | 33 | 1 | 0.971 | 10 | 1.81 | 5.64 | 6 | 1 | 55 | 2.96 | 0.91 | 0.196 |
| Soriano, Rafael RP ATL | 24 | 4 | 0.857 | 12 | 2.94 | 4 | 5 | 0.7 | 67 | 2.67 | 1.01 | 0.191 |
| Broxton, Jonathan RP LA | 35 | 5 | 0.875 | 14 | 3.44 | 3.96 | 4 | 0.5 | 71 | 2.42 | 0.95 | 0.162 |
| Hoffman, Trevor RP MIL | 34 | 3 | 0.919 | 8.1 | 2.06 | 3.91 | 2 | 0.4 | 48 | 1.88 | 0.92 | 0.193 |
| Madson, Ryan RP PHI | 8 | 6 | 0.571 | 8.8 | 2.66 | 3.29 | 7 | 0.9 | 71 | 3.3 | 1.24 | 0.25 |
| Bell, Heath RP SD | 37 | 5 | 0.881 | 9.9 | 3.14 | 3.14 | 3 | 0.4 | 63 | 2.86 | 1.11 | 0.21 |
| Valverde, Jose RP HOU | 23 | 4 | 0.852 | 9.9 | 3.19 | 3.12 | 5 | 0.9 | 48 | 1.88 | 1.02 | 0.189 |
| Wilson, Brian RP SF | 34 | 6 | 0.85 | 9.7 | 3.31 | 2.92 | 2 | 0.3 | 68 | 2.65 | 1.21 | 0.226 |
| Gonzalez, Mike RP ATL | 10 | 7 | 0.588 | 11 | 4.15 | 2.63 | 7 | 0.9 | 69 | 2.6 | 1.23 | 0.212 |
| Hawkins, LaTroy RP HOU | 11 | 4 | 0.733 | 6.5 | 2.47 | 2.62 | 7 | 1.1 | 58 | 2.31 | 1.2 | 0.25 |
| Capps, Matt RP PIT | 25 | 5 | 0.833 | 7.3 | 2.86 | 2.56 | 10 | 1.8 | 50 | 5.9 | 1.67 | 0.327 |
| Nunez, Leo RP FLA | 23 | 6 | 0.793 | 8.2 | 3.23 | 2.53 | 13 | 1.8 | 64 | 4.08 | 1.19 | 0.224 |
| Sherrill, George RP LA | 21 | 4 | 0.84 | 7.9 | 3.16 | 2.5 | 4 | 0.6 | 63 | 1.72 | 1.13 | 0.211 |
| Gregg, Kevin RP CHC | 23 | 6 | 0.793 | 9.1 | 3.74 | 2.43 | 13 | 1.7 | 67 | 4.68 | 1.29 | 0.23 |
| Gutierrez, Juan SP ARI | 6 | 1 | 0.857 | 8.5 | 4.09 | 2.07 | 2 | 0.3 | 66 | 3.95 | 1.39 | 0.249 |
| Franklin, Ryan RP STL | 37 | 4 | 0.902 | 6.3 | 3.16 | 2 | 2 | 0.3 | 57 | 1.89 | 1.11 | 0.206 |
| Morales, Franklin SP COL | 6 | 1 | 0.857 | 9 | 4.5 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 36 | 3 | 1.28 | 0.214 |
| Cordero, Francisco RP CIN | 38 | 4 | 0.905 | 7.8 | 4.04 | 1.93 | 2 | 0.3 | 65 | 2.37 | 1.31 | 0.241 |
| Rodriguez, Francisco J. RP NYM | 31 | 6 | 0.838 | 9.5 | 4.97 | 1.92 | 6 | 0.9 | 63 | 3.13 | 1.26 | 0.194 |
| Lidge, Brad RP PHI | 30 | 10 | 0.75 | 9.4 | 5.37 | 1.75 | 11 | 1.8 | 54 | 7.21 | 1.81 | 0.3 |
| Troncoso, Ramon RP LA | 5 | 1 | 0.833 | 6 | 3.43 | 1.73 | 3 | 0.3 | 79 | 2.75 | 1.39 | 0.269 |
| Lindstrom, Matt RP FLA | 14 | 2 | 0.875 | 7.2 | 4.66 | 1.54 | 5 | 1 | 46 | 5.83 | 1.64 | 0.28 |
| Marmol, Carlos RP CHC | 13 | 4 | 0.765 | 11 | 8.13 | 1.37 | 1 | 0.1 | 69 | 3.41 | 1.46 | 0.163 |
| MacDougal, Mike RP WAS | 16 | 1 | 0.941 | 5.4 | 6.47 | 0.83 | 3 | 0.6 | 49 | 3.88 | 1.62 | 0.251 |
I sorted this list by K/BB and included Save percentage (S%), HR/9, ERA, WHIP and Batting Average Against (BAA). I am not surprised to see Francisco Rodriguez in the tier with Brad Lidge, Kevin Gregg, Matt Lidstrom and Carlos Marmol. I would be very wary of K-Rod going into 2010 drafts.
I would also be short Leo Nunez, Matt Capps and Carlos Marmol going into 2010. I would be looking to acquire the setup men for the Marlins, Pirates and Cubs going into 2010 drafts.
Mike McDougal will have to do a 180 to hold off 2009 draft pick Drew Storen in my opinion. If Storen doesn't make the Nationals roster on Opening Day, I would bid on him late in auction drafts, and draft him late in snake drafts.
0 recs |
1 comment
|
Comments
I think you could increase the value of this list by adding a few things.
1. Switch from HR/9 to HR/FB, show the FB% as well. HR/FB normalizes at 9-11%
2. Show both FIP and xFIP based on a normalized HR/FB rate.
3. Show BABIP as well as career BABIP rather than BAA. While BABIP is mostly luck for pitchers, elite pitchers, like many closers, can sustain a depressed BABIP, so we want to see how lucky they’ve been this year vs. their career.
4. More important than S% would be LOB% (Strand rate) which tells you how lucky they’ve been with keeping any runners from scoring.
Then, after adding all those stats, it’s time to head over to fangraphs and see if the K/9 and BB/9 stats are in line with career numbers. If they are not, we need to look at both the Swing Discipline stats and the pitch f/x data to see if there is any evidence that such a change is sustainable long term.
by kellemonster on Sep 20, 2009 12:21 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

by 












