Fantasy Baseball: Fantasy Pitching Stats-HR/FB Ratio or K/BB Ratio??
by Ray Guilfoyle on Aug 31, 2009 3:00 PM EDT
in Baseball
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PrintYesterday, I posted an article saying that pitchers who keep the ball in the yard, judged by their HR/9 ratio, was just as important as K/9 or K/BB when it comes to evaluating pitchers. This post lead to several interesting comments where a few posters stated they prefer to look at K/BB ratio and HR/FB ratio.
So today, I present to you the top NL starting pitchers based on K/BB ratio and HR/FB ratio.
Strikeout/Walk Ratio (K/BB):
| Player | INN | W | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | BB/9 | HR/FB | HR/9 | K/BB |
| Haren, Dan SP ARI | 181 | 12 | 2.73 | 0.93 | 8.6 | 1.34 | 11.70 | 1.09 | 6.42 |
| Vazquez, Javier SP ATL | 176 | 11 | 3.02 | 1.05 | 9.82 | 1.79 | 10.18 | 0.87 | 5.49 |
| Pineiro, Joel SP STL | 170.7 | 13 | 3.11 | 1.1 | 4.43 | 0.95 | 4.02 | 0.32 | 4.66 |
| Carpenter, Chris SP STL | 151.7 | 14 | 2.2 | 0.97 | 6.82 | 1.48 | 5.07 | 0.42 | 4.61 |
| Lincecum, Tim SP SF | 193.3 | 13 | 2.33 | 1.03 | 10.33 | 2.51 | 4.63 | 0.37 | 4.12 |
| Lilly, Ted SP CHC | 142.3 | 9 | 3.35 | 1.11 | 7.46 | 1.83 | 10.61 | 1.33 | 4.08 |
| Nolasco, Ricky SP FLA | 146 | 9 | 5.3 | 1.32 | 9.06 | 2.28 | 12.18 | 1.17 | 3.97 |
| Lee, Cliff SP PHI | 197 | 12 | 2.83 | 1.21 | 6.9 | 1.78 | 5.51 | 0.59 | 3.88 |
| Hamels, Cole SP PHI | 147.3 | 7 | 4.52 | 1.34 | 7.7 | 2.02 | 13.76 | 1.34 | 3.81 |
| Johnson, Josh SP FLA | 171.7 | 13 | 3.04 | 1.11 | 7.81 | 2.15 | 7.40 | 0.63 | 3.63 |
| Harang, Aaron SP CIN | 162.3 | 6 | 4.21 | 1.41 | 7.87 | 2.38 | 11.43 | 1.33 | 3.31 |
| Blanton, Joe SP PHI | 153 | 8 | 3.88 | 1.29 | 7.29 | 2.24 | 12.97 | 1.41 | 3.25 |
| Santana, Johan SP NYM | 166.7 | 13 | 3.13 | 1.21 | 7.88 | 2.48 | 9.70 | 1.08 | 3.18 |
| Oswalt, Roy SP HOU | 161 | 7 | 3.86 | 1.21 | 6.65 | 2.12 | 9.66 | 0.95 | 3.14 |
| Scherzer, Max SP ARI | 139.3 | 8 | 4.26 | 1.39 | 9.69 | 3.29 | 10.70 | 0.90 | 2.95 |
| Wainwright, Adam SP STL | 187 | 15 | 2.5 | 1.21 | 7.56 | 2.6 | 8.57 | 0.72 | 2.91 |
| Wolf, Randy SP LA | 177 | 9 | 3.25 | 1.11 | 6.76 | 2.39 | 8.89 | 1.02 | 2.83 |
| Hammel, Jason SP COL | 132 | 8 | 4.43 | 1.5 | 6.2 | 2.25 | 8.51 | 0.82 | 2.76 |
| Harden, Rich SP CHC | 124 | 8 | 3.99 | 1.25 | 10.38 | 3.77 | 15.91 | 1.52 | 2.75 |
| Rodriguez, Wandy SP HOU | 162.7 | 12 | 2.82 | 1.22 | 8.19 | 2.99 | 10.34 | 1.00 | 2.74 |
And here is the list based on HR/FB ratio:
Home Runs/Fly Ball Ratio (HR/FB):
Player
INN
W
ERA
WHIP
K/9
BB/9
HR/FB
HR/9
K/BB
Kershaw, Clayton SP LA
146
8
2.96
1.27
9.43
4.99
3.64
0.37
1.89
Pineiro, Joel SP STL
170.7
13
3.11
1.1
4.43
0.95
4.02
0.32
4.66
Lincecum, Tim SP SF
193.3
13
2.33
1.03
10.33
2.51
4.63
0.37
4.12
Carpenter, Chris SP STL
151.7
14
2.2
0.97
6.82
1.48
5.07
0.42
4.61
Lee, Cliff SP PHI
197
12
2.83
1.21
6.9
1.78
5.51
0.59
3.88
Lowe, Derek SP ATL
164.3
13
4.38
1.46
4.76
2.74
6.09
0.49
1.74
Jurrjens, Jair SP ATL
164
10
2.91
1.26
6.59
3.24
6.12
0.66
2.03
Zambrano, Carlos SP CHC
128
7
3.8
1.38
7.38
4.22
6.29
0.63
1.75
Jimenez, Ubaldo SP COL
181.3
12
3.33
1.22
7.84
3.42
6.37
0.50
2.29
Billingsley, Chad SP LA
166.7
12
3.83
1.29
8.1
3.83
6.52
0.65
2.11
Pelfrey, Mike SP NYM
146.3
9
4.8
1.52
5.17
3.38
6.58
0.62
1.53
Marquis, Jason SP COL
177.3
14
3.6
1.28
4.36
2.79
7.15
0.61
1.56
Wells, Randy RP CHC
126.7
9
3.06
1.22
5.54
2.34
7.38
0.78
2.37
Johnson, Josh SP FLA
171.7
13
3.04
1.11
7.81
2.15
7.40
0.63
3.63
Cain, Matt SP SF
177.3
12
2.39
1.15
6.75
3.1
7.46
0.86
2.18
Maholm, Paul SP PIT
162.7
7
4.59
1.43
5.64
2.66
7.60
0.72
2.12
Happ, J.A. SP PHI
143.7
10
2.63
1.17
6.08
3.19
7.81
0.94
1.91
Correia, Kevin SP SD
156
9
4.5
1.38
6.29
3.29
7.91
0.81
1.91
Zito, Barry SP SF
162.3
9
3.94
1.31
6.93
3.49
8.14
0.94
1.99
Hammel, Jason SP COL
132
8
4.43
1.5
6.2
2.25
8.51
0.82
2.76
The HR/FB ratio list yields a very similar list to the HR/9 list I posted yesterday. The K/BB list also provides some valuable insight into what stats fantasy/roto players should focus on prior to and during their 2010 drafts. I will continue to utilize these ratios going forward as they all-HR/9, K/BB and HR/FB-gives the fantasy/roto owner plenty to ponder come 2010.
But, all 3 lists yield several pitchers that roto/fantasy owners may not draft until very late in their drafts, or possibly not be drafted, in 2010.
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Comments
HR/FB...
is luck based. HR/9 is skill based. Keeping the ball out of the air is a skill. Keeping the flyballs you do give up inside the ballpark is luck. YOU DO NOT WANT TO EVALUATE A PITCHER BASED ON HR/FB. The three true outcomes for a pitcher are strikeouts, walks allowed, and groundballs.
Furthermore
I think in order of importance I would go like this:
1. K/BB
2. K/9
3. G/F
4. BB/9
5. HR/9
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