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Around SBN: The Amateur Mathematics Of Linsanity

Brett Favre Will Destroy Your Season

So here we are.  Brett Favre, back in the NFL with the Vikings.   How about that?

It's terrible, that's how it is. 

Fantasy-wise, Favre is not a good quarterback option.  He throws too many interceptions (nine in the final five games last year) and he's too likely to get hurt.   I had Sage Rosenfels slotted in as my #25 QB and that's where I'd put Favre too, right behind Matt Stafford.  That's right, the Vikings have the worst QB in the division.

For the Vikings' wide receivers, this move won't really affect their fantasy value. Berrian is still a decent option and Harvin has some potential. TE Visanthe Shiancoe might be worth a bit more. But none of them are going to be big fantasy stars.  The addition of Favre shouldn't move these guys up your draft list.  Although, if you have some Vikings fans in your league you can probably talk them into taking these guys early.

I think the biggest fantasy impact the Favre signing will have is with the running game.  Adrian Peterson is the undisputed #1 overall pick in most drafts (some leagues with QB-heavy scoring could have a Brady or Brees go first) because the Vikings offense goes through him.  You have to wonder how long that will last with Brett Favre taking the snaps.  Brett Favre doesn't retire, Brett Favre doesn't let other people tell him what to do, Brett Favre is indestructible, Brett Favre doesn't hand the ball off 34 times a game.  Brett Favre throws!!!

Listen to me and listen good: stay away from Favre and consider lowering all the Vikings on your draft list.  Don't buy this garbage about "now his arm is healed" and "he's going to be good" and "He's a Top 15 fantasy QB".  It doesn't matter, he won't and he isn't.  

When there are so many good mid-level QBs out there (Schaub, Delhomme, Pennington) why would you risk your season on Brett Favre?

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My opinion

I think this elevates the Vikings fantasy relevant players slightly, but not by much. I have more confidence in Favre’s ability get Harvin and Berrian the ball than I did Jackson or Rosenfels. If Favre can actually buy into the gameplan and be more of a game manager than a hero, then I’m putting Minnesota in the NFC title game. The division is weak, the conference is weak, and with the defense and running game, they should win 11 games. He’s way past his prime for sure, but he’s surely an upgrade over Rosenfels/Jackson, both in fantasy and real life.

by ILLZ on Aug 20, 2009 8:49 AM EDT reply actions  

True

But that’s not saying much.

And I don’t agree that the division is weak. Favre is clearly behind Rodgers and Cutler as a QB (this year, not career) and I think by Week 10 you’ll be able to make the argument that he’s behind Stafford.

Yes, Peterson is great, but Ryan Grant, Matt Forte and Kevin Smith are all 1000 yard rushers. And when you talk about the great WRs in the NFC North, you talk about Calvin Johnson and Greg Jennings and Donald Driver. Berrian? Rice? Come on.

by Skeller on Aug 21, 2009 1:02 AM EDT reply actions  

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