At this point, Gardner is more valuable than other two-cat contributors like the aforementioned Bourn, Denard Span, Carlos Gomez and Juan Pierre. Owners in 12-team and deeper mixed leagues looking for a steals spark should scour the wire immediately. Remember, the Yankees ranked seventh in steals last year.
If anything, the publicity generated playing in baseball's largest market should swell his trade value -- hopefully not his ego.
Fearless Forecast: 498 at-bats, .272 BA, 2 HR, 34 RBI, 71 R, 40 SB
almost 3 years ago
faketeams
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Wow.
I am pretty darn high on Bret Gardner this year, but this projection seems to miss the Melky factor, which dictates the Yankees playing him more than some would imagine so as to not depress his trade value completely. But if the 40 SBs were pared down to a mere pedestrian 20-30, this projection becomes more sound, at least to me.
And that
would eb sheer folly, for a guy who is so dependent on slapping the ball around….Jacoby projects to be a 15-20 HR guy in his prime, while Bret’s ceiling would seem to be a 8-10 HR guy, at best. One guy that springs to mind is Brett Butler as a ceiling,a guide if you will, for Bret Garder to aspire to. However, that may be too much….
8-10
Unless Gardner brings the noise into the regular season, he may not hit 8-10 HRs over the next three years. He hit nine in 1,456 minor league ABs.
I don’t know if Ellsbury will project for a lot more power. He will be 26 in September – 18 days after Gardner turns 26.
As for comps, there are very few white guys with speed who play CF. The fact there are two who play in the greatest rivalry in baseball makes it impossible for them not to be compared.
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