Draft Results-Mixed 5X5 (A New Strategy - Punt HR & RBI)

by DB11 on Mar 26, 2009 9:03 PM EDT

Yesterday I posted the team I drafted in a 12 team 5X5 mixed league standard except 1 C, 6 starting pitchers and 4 relievers. As I mentioned in that post, pitchers tend to go a bit earlier due to the roster requirements. The team that was drafting from the #2 slot chose an interesting "strategy". As best I can figure he decided to punt HR and RBI, try to win all 5 pitching catgories and focus on SB's, Runs and AVG from his offense.

Last year the top team scored 91, second 84, third 82. The year before the top team had 102 (that was me :), second 83, third 81. So to finish in the money you need around 82 points. This is a decent sized money league, top prize is around 2K (it is $3 a transaction, which adds up) and although this guy is one of the newer members, this is his 3rd draft, so this isn't someone just goofing off on purpose.

For the sake of argument let's say he is able to win all 5 pitching categories and SB (and I won't grant that since I did not always agree that he was taking the best pitcher available either). That is 72 points. He is going to finish last in HR and RBI so that gets him to 74 points. All he needs is a "5" in both AVG and Runs to get 2nd place.

Is that doable with this roster?

C Pudge (26)

1B Sandoval (17)

2B Polanco (15)

3B Figgins (8)

SS Theriot (14)

CI Mora (24)

MI Guzman (22)

OF Damon (10)

OF Crisp (12)

OF Tavares (13)

OF Josh Anderson (21)

U Gardner (23)

SP Johan (1)

SP CC (2)

SP Liriano (3)

SP AJ (4)

SP Lackey (5)

SP Lilly (11)

RP Nathan (6)

RP Rivera (7)

RP Broxton (9)

RP Hanrahan (18)

RS Lyon (19)

RS Smoltz (20)

RS Fontenot

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Comments

Sure

A 5 is easily doable with that roster, but I’m more worried about winning wins and saves, two categories that are largely unpredictable. Assume a 9 in each, and assume an 8 in runs and AVG… thats the same outcome. I think that’s more attainable and more realistic, no?

by ILLZ on Mar 26, 2009 9:25 PM EDT reply actions

Interesting

I think his hitting is too SB-extreme. He should finish first in SB by a ton. He should be looking to move a couple once the season starts for some 20/80 types. By over-drafting the speed, he has likely forced some scarcity in the category even in a 12-team mixed league.

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by faketeams on Mar 26, 2009 10:45 PM EDT reply actions

Interesting strategy.

But No HR, RBI leads to Middle of the pack. Of course, you can easily trade for them and win….

MLG_true_MVP-88'

by Hinz57er on Mar 27, 2009 5:44 AM EDT reply actions

yep

winning SBs by 1 gets you as many points as winning by 30

I just sit back and root for the taser

by Hyatt on Mar 27, 2009 11:26 AM EDT up reply actions

However

There is no way he can ever get more than 1 point in HR. Last year the 11th place team had 228 HR. I can’t see this roster getting to 100. Even if he trades for Ryan Howard and Ryan Braun in May he still finishes last in HR and would have to give up a Santana or CC to get them thus putting the pitching points at risk.

In mixed 5X5 someone like Tavares just doesn’t have the same value as he does in a NL only 4X4 league.

by DB11 on Mar 27, 2009 12:26 PM EDT up reply actions

He went too early on Lackey and AJ

I think he could’ve waited on those two and taken an Ellsbury or Crawford at those points to sure up the strategy. I’m not sure if his starters have the stuff to dominate all 5 categories. There are pretty big questions around AJ and Liriano, and if those two are average or hurt, he’s going to take a big hit. Thats the thing with dominant pitching strategies, there’s so much risk involved that I don’t think it’s worth it. He’s got Saves locked up though, and a safe assumption on Ks too, but I’m not sure it’s going to work as planned. Interesting strategy though, with commodities he’ll be able to move to improve throughout the year.

I just sit back and root for the taser

by Hyatt on Mar 27, 2009 11:41 AM EDT reply actions