Shandler's NL LABR Team

by DB11 on Mar 12, 2009 2:26 PM EDT Comment 13 comments

Without knowing all of the other rosters this team looks pretty solid to me. A nice, balanced offense. Excellent closer in Valverde and some saves potential in Gregg. Some question marks with the starting pitchers as Wandy is solid enough but he needs Harang and Snell to bounce back.

CA-D.Ross 1

CA-B.Schneider 2

1B-C.Jackson 20

3B-R.Belliard 8

CO-C.Tracy 9

2B-F.Lopez 18

SS-R.Furcal 28

MI-R.Theriot 17

OF-C.Lee 34

OF-A.Ethier 25

OF-J.Pierre 12

OF-J.Hermida 8

OF-S.Podsednik 1

UT-K.Greene 9

P-A.Harang 16

P-W.Rodriguez 13

P-I.Snell 7

P-Y.Petit 1

P-J.Niese 1

P-D.Davis 1

P-J.Ceda 1

P-B.Bray 2

P-K.Gregg 5

P-J.Valverde 21

R-M.Murton

R-D.Thompson

R-J.Koshansky

R-J.Karstens

R-T.Hudson

R-C.Sampson

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Interesting

The faith in an Aaron Harang bounceback is key. I also think Felipe Lopez is a reach there as the Diamondbacks are not a running team and Felipe didn’t run last season.

Buying a ton of speed and hoping to turn that into quality hitters is really risky as any of those types of players could tqeak a hammy and turn into a pumpkin leaving your team with no production.

I am quite surprised I don’t like this team as I usually like the BBHQ rosters.

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by faketeams on Mar 12, 2009 2:31 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

18 for Flip

That’s a huge reach. Same for 8 for Hermida. His team is pretty awful, though I like the Niece pick up.

I just sit back and root for the taser

by Hyatt on Mar 13, 2009 9:26 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

Lopez

Agree that Lopez was a reach but otherwise the offense has mostly solid, everyday players and that is tough to do in a deep league.

by DB11 on Mar 12, 2009 2:45 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

Steals

Arizona’s Sbs look scarily like the Cleveland Indians – if the player isn’t a sure thing with steals, he doesn’t get to run. Felipe Lopez’ 8 SBs last season worries me that he doesn’t fit the Grady Sizemore, 2007 Eric Byrnes mode.

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by faketeams on Mar 12, 2009 3:51 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

horrendous!

say it like it is guys, i know your scared to criticize one of your idols but besides speed,that team is horrendous!! he has no power,he’s hoping for LUCK on the side of his SP’s and if gregg closes his might have a chance at 5th. HIS TEAM SUCKS just have the guts to say it!

by superherodj on Mar 12, 2009 8:20 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

Oh yeah

Hoboken, NJ: Ron- I know the full LABR results are kept secret until next week, but how do you think you did in your NL only? Did you use your LIMA plan and did it work out the way you wanted it to? Thanks, Steve H.

Ron Shandler: Actually, the results won’t be out until March 25 (sorry, you have to wait a bit longer). I used the 2009 edition of LIMA, now called Portfolio3. It separates the player pool into tiers based on skill and risk. From an execution standpoint, it went very well. Now all I need is for the players to stay healthy and perform as we expect them to.

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by faketeams on Mar 12, 2009 8:54 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

schandler is a joke

how come they always have an excuse? they use this and that plan? how about saying these are the guys i liked no matter what and i bid on them using my own baseball knowledge,not fictious #‘s divided by this and that type #’s!!…………personally i bought schandlers book last year and will never buy it again,he pretty much puts down every player in it saying they are going to have a bad year but if this happens they might have a breakthrough,sort of like the weatherman saying it’s going to be sunny but with a chance of clouds and a passing shower just to cover his butt!

by superherodj on Mar 12, 2009 9:13 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

shandler

I like his stuff better than BP’s PECOTA.

raygu

by Ray Guilfoyle on Mar 12, 2009 9:35 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

Chone seems to be the best of them all

I just sit back and root for the taser

by Hyatt on Mar 13, 2009 9:24 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

I would tend to agree

I think Pecota (at least the Player Forecaster for fantasy) overvalues SBs. Shandler overvalues BA.

by DB11 on Mar 13, 2009 10:52 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

Portfolio3

LIMA was paradigm-shifting. Portfolio3 seems to be trying too hard especially since Shandler is one of the most honest fantasy projectionists with his admittance that projections aren’t much better than 70. Now he thinks he can just be 70 correct and then add in some sort of projection on reliability?

Nevermind, I think his well-executed strategy landed him a very risky team.

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by faketeams on Mar 13, 2009 9:46 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs

Portfolio3

I think Eric is right that Port3 is trying too hard. For example due to their “reliability” grades Pujols and A-Rod are not first tier players. I think that is kind of silly. I can see the argument for not spending top dollar on someone with limited experience like Josh Hamilton when the same money can get Texiera but I don’t see why you would eliminate A-Rod (this is prior to his injury) who has either been really great or just merely great for 10 plus years.

by DB11 on Mar 13, 2009 10:50 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs

Shandler

I really like their podcasts and the book, and find them to be very useful sources of data. But I don’t follow the strategy advise (don’t take Pujols in the first round in 2008 because of injury risk, LIMA, Portolio 3, etc). I can see the reasoning behind them, but it doesn’t mesh with my own style.
FWIW, last year in preparing for my NL only auction I used Shandler’s projections, CBS’s projections, and a composite set of industry projections. With the players I got Shandler’s projection said I would dominate, while they others said I should be competitive (top 4 finish). Shandler’s proved to be right-on based on the final standings (granted there’s a lot more to playing than just the auction…).

by Recon on Mar 16, 2009 9:07 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs