Kouzmanoff/Ray or Gordon?
I am in a Fantasy Dynasty Keeper league where most offensive stats and most pitching stats matter. I have been offered Alex Gordon for Kevin Kouzmanoff and Chris Ray. Is this a good deal? Right now I have too many players on my roster, so I'm going to need to drop a few players anyway. This will make it so that I need to drop 1 less, and (I think) give me an upgrade at 3B. Is Ray going to be Baltimore's Closer again this year? I think the answer to that question can tip the scales here either way.
So...Kouzmanoff and Ray -OR- Alex Gordon? Please explain reasons why.
I posted this same question on another site, and it was overwhelmingly in favor of one of the choices (46 votes to 6 at the time of this writing). I really don’t see a HUGE difference between Gordon and Kouz. I know this is hard to read, so the websites are located below the numbers), but here are 2008 and projected 2009 stats for Gordon:
Season Team G AB PA H 1B 2B 3B HR R RBI BB IBB SO HBP SF SH GDP SB CS AVG
2008 Royals 134 493 571 128 76 35 1 16 72 59 66 5 120 6 5 1 8 9 2 .260
2009 Bill James 148 535 146 84 40 2 20 81 73 64 120 7 12 4 .273
2009 CHONE 132 486 129 78 33 2 16 72 65 55 117 7 12 3 .265
2009 Marcel 482 546 126 76 33 2 15 64 58 52 4 113 8 3 1 9 10 3 .261
2009 Oliver 501 565 131 77 33 2 19 51 125 9 3 1 9 .261
Here are 2008 and projected 2009 stats for Kouzmanoff:
Season Team G AB PA H 1B 2B 3B HR R RBI BB IBB SO HBP SF SH GDP SB CS AVG
2008 Padres 154 624 668 162 104 31 4 23 71 84 23 3 139 15 6 0 14 0 0 .260
2009 Bill James 152 601 170 105 37 3 25 76 94 33 114 11 1 0 .283
2009 CHONE 130 487 133 85 26 2 20 62 76 29 100 8 2 1 .273
2009 Marcel 538 587 142 90 29 3 20 63 76 32 3 113 11 5 1 12 2 1 .264
2009 Oliver 612 665 172 106 38 3 25 34 119 12 6 1 14 .282
Kouz: http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=5995&position=3B
Gordon: http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=5209&position=3B
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Me thinking
The crux is who is likely to be playing in the same situation. Not this year but the next.
Gordon is younger with speed. Kouzmanoff doesn’t take walks and has had the rep of being a poor defender.
Ray is the wild card. He has not pitched competively since TJS so we don’t know how effective he will be. Entering this Spring, he is being given the chance to get the closer role.
I’d take Gordon because he is the best player of the three, and I am most confident he will still be in the same spot two years hence.

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