Fantasy Baseball: Corrected xFIP Tables

by Ray Guilfoyle on Dec 17, 2009 1:09 PM EST in Baseball

The site had problems with my original post this morning, and in my haste to get it posted correctly, I did not realize some columns were not displayed. Here is what should have posted:

Name	K/9	BB/9	K/BB	BABIP	LOB%	ERA	E-F	xFIP	E-X
Javier Vazquez	9.77	1.81	5.41	0.297	76.60%	2.87	0.1	2.82	0.05
Tim Lincecum	10.4	2.72	3.84	0.297	75.90%	2.48	0.13	2.87	-0.4
Roy Halladay	7.83	1.32	5.94	0.313	79.00%	2.79	-0.3	3.05	-0.3
Dan Haren	8.75	1.49	5.87	0.28	77.00%	3.14	-0.1	3.08	0.06
Jon Lester	9.96	2.83	3.52	0.323	76.90%	3.41	0.26	3.13	0.28
Zack Greinke	9.5	2	4.75	0.313	79.30%	2.16	-0.2	3.15	-1
Justin Verlander	10.1	2.36	4.27	0.328	72.70%	3.45	0.65	3.26	0.19
Ricky Nolasco	9.49	2.14	4.43	0.336	61.00%	5.06	1.71	3.28	1.78
Josh Beckett	8.43	2.33	3.62	0.302	71.60%	3.86	0.23	3.35	0.51
Adam Wainwright	8.19	2.55	3.21	0.309	80.40%	2.63	-0.5	3.36	-0.7

And the sleeper table after the jump

Name	K/9	BB/9	K/BB	BABIP	LOB%	ERA	xFIP	E-X
Ricky Nolasco	9.49	2.14	4.43	0.336	61.00%	5.06	3.28	1.78
Carl Pavano	6.64	1.76	3.77	0.335	66.10%	5.1	3.96	1.14
Livan Hernandez	5	3.28	1.52	0.326	67.30%	5.44	4.78	0.66
Cole Hamels	7.81	2	3.91	0.325	72.10%	4.32	3.69	0.63
Jorge de la Rosa	9.39	4.04	2.33	0.316	71.60%	4.38	3.76	0.62
Jason Hammel	6.78	2.14	3.17	0.337	69.50%	4.33	3.81	0.52
Mike Pelfrey	5.22	3.22	1.62	0.321	66.70%	5.03	4.52	0.51
Josh Beckett	8.43	2.33	3.62	0.302	71.60%	3.86	3.35	0.51
Derek Lowe	5.13	2.91	1.76	0.33	68.70%	4.67	4.19	0.48
Brett Anderson	7.7	2.31	3.33	0.317	67.00%	4.06	3.61	0.45

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Comments

Good post

I love this stuff. I’m new to SB Nation blogs, but love FanGraphs (easily the best baseball stats website around) Good stuff!

by slowbutspeeding on Dec 17, 2009 2:55 PM EST reply actions

thanks

Glad to see you found us. Check the archives via Search and you will find similar posts back in September/October, I think. Just search by pitcher name.

raygu

by Ray Guilfoyle on Dec 17, 2009 3:09 PM EST reply actions

I understand you’re basing the sleepers on the difference b/w ERA and xFIP, but maybe there should also be a max. xFIP, b/c Livan Hernandez (and probably even Pelfrey) shouldn’t be anywhere near a fantasy roster in 2010!

I love Brett Anderson as a sleeper. Also, Hiroki Kuroda (3.66 xFIP) seems to get no love at all.

by slowbutspeeding on Dec 17, 2009 3:59 PM EST reply actions

sleepers

I guess you could call them bounce-back candidates. I agree on Livan, but Pelfrey at the right price might be worth the gamble.

raygu

by Ray Guilfoyle on Dec 17, 2009 4:35 PM EST up reply actions

More unlucky

This is measuring difference between the pitcher’s actaul ERA less what it should have been independent of fielding/luck. It is useful in separating Nolascos from Livan, even though their ERA’s are similar. Livan and Pelfrey might not be as bad their numbers indicate, but they still were not close to good.

by Rad on Dec 18, 2009 1:36 AM EST up reply actions