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Fantasy Baseball: Javier Vazquez: Fantasy Stud.



When you head into your draft in 2010, I ask that you keep Javier Vazquez in the back of your mind. In 2009, Vazquez put up numbers worthy of being the NL's number two pitcher according to Keith Law.

Vazquez has been bounced all over the MLB, going from the NL to AL five times in his twelve year career. In all but four seasons in his career, Vazquez has had an FIP under 4 as well.

Much of Vazquez's success lies in his ability to maintain a high K/9 and keep his walks low. While I don't expect Vazquez to keep his K/9 at his career high of 9.77, or keep his BB/9 at it's second lowest total in his career, I do think Vazquez can put up good numbers in the national league. There really are no largely apparent signals that Vazquez will regress. His GB% was roughly 2% lower than his career average and his FB% was down about 5% while his HR/FB remained relatively neutral.

If Vazquez were again moved back to the AL, you could expect the normal increase in ERA, but if you're drafting Vazquez hoping for 200 innings, 200 Ks, an ERA around 3-3.50 and a WHIP hovering in the 1.10-1.30 range, you will not be disappointed.

If I were drafting today, I would happily take Vazquez over Chris Carpenter, Jon Lester, Matt Cain and I'd strongly consider taking him over Adam Wainwright (who's FIP had him pegged as an inferior pitcher to Vazquez.)

Poll
Would you draft Javier Vazquez over Adam Wainwright if you drafted today?
Yes. Wainwright will likely regress.
34 votes
No. Wainwright may regress, but will still be better.
30 votes

64 votes | Poll has closed

Comment 5 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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Love the Vaz

"There are no next times when you're competing for big things." - Tom Izzo
Go Spartans

by msufan23 on Dec 16, 2009 11:09 PM EST reply actions  

Vazquez

will be highly sought after come the July 31st trade deadline should Atlanta not be in the running for the playoffs. He was the 12th pitcher taken in the recent MDC mock draft I participated in, but he could easily get drafted before Wainwright, Lester, Lee, Santana and Haren due to his K’s in 5×5 leagues.

raygu

by Ray Guilfoyle on Dec 16, 2009 11:24 PM EST reply actions  

I just

scheduled an article for posting tomorrow at 9am that lists the 2009 xFIP leaders and Vazquez was numero uno. Have a look at the full list tomorrow morning.

raygu

by Ray Guilfoyle on Dec 16, 2009 11:26 PM EST reply actions  

red sox fan?

take a look at the article scheduled to post at 9am…..they are very close, but Vazquez had the better xFIP. Lester walked more than a batter/9 more than Vazquez in 2009.

raygu

by Ray Guilfoyle on Dec 17, 2009 8:21 AM EST up reply actions  

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