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Ask TROR: Fantasy Football Week 15

I know, I know, I've been more absent and missed than Troy Polamalu.

In my absence, I've been covering some of the top 100 prep basketball players in the country, getting a new laptop that I'm coming to you now on, and orchestrating my own fantasy success.


Now, If you're reading this article, chances are you've made it to your fantasy football playoffs. Congrats! If you followed some of my advice this season, there's a good possibility it benefited your teams the way it did mine. I made the playoffs in all leagues, and finished in first place in three out of four. Even better, I'm seeing dollar signs after I rode Ray Rice and Brandon Marshall, and won my division and scored the most points in my big bucks league. There's still money to be won and crap to be given to your buddies, family and co-workers in hopes you win your league, though.

Even with the best teams after 14 weeks, injuries can bog you down, and decisions and pickups become absolutely crucial. Do you stick with the big guns that got you there, or go with the hot hand?

With a Thursday and Saturday night game this week, injury situations and early decisions are crucial. I'll take those, flex decisions and anything else you might need help with. Bring on the questions, and good luck.

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RB's

Hey Bryan, I’ve started Mendenhall and Rice all season, but seem to have a dillema in week 15. League starts 3 WR’s, Two RB’s, and a Flex. I have Driver, A. Johnson, Meachem, and Josh Cribbs (*2 pts per 20 yards KR) for WR’s. For RB’s I have Rice, Mendenhall, Beanie Wells, and Quinton Ganther. What would you do here? My only sure things are Rice and A. Johnson, not sure on what to do other than that.

by Professor Sox on Dec 15, 2009 4:08 PM EST reply actions  

Alright, here’s the sure-fire picks:
RB: Rice and Wells
WR: A. Johnson and Cribbs.

Those KR points that Cribbs gets are just too valuable considering what he averages per game, and Wells should find plenty of success this week. He’s playing the Lions, and I would check a box score of last week’s game if that doesn’t say enough.

The last one is a little tougher. Mendenhall faces the No. 1 rushing defense in the NFL, which makes me skeptical. I feel like either Driver or Meachem are both pretty safe bets either way you go. I’d rank them both around the 15-20 range, I suppose, if I were doing WRs for this week.

by Bryan Everson (The Royalty of Roto) on Dec 16, 2009 5:03 AM EST up reply actions  

Thanks

Thanks Bryan, was leaning Cribbs but I agree, those 5 or 6 extra pts he gets (potential to get more) are too valuable.

by Professor Sox on Dec 16, 2009 9:07 AM EST up reply actions  

Peyton Manning or Big Ben

I sorta planned for this rest the stars contingency by drafting Big Ben. Should I start Manning over Big Ben?

Bonds stands alone.

Neal before Zod!
Official Sponsor of the 1997 San Francisco Giants

by nostocksjustbonds on Dec 15, 2009 5:00 PM EST reply actions  

Peyton

His Q rating is up there with pre-public affairs Tiger Woods, but he is focused on getting his stats. I wouldn’t sit him unless I had an option that is likely to top 200 yards and 2 TDs.

by faketeams on Dec 15, 2009 5:07 PM EST up reply actions  

More

Right now, Peyton leads the NFl is passing yards and is 2nd in TD passes. Expect those to remain near the top. And it isn’t as if the Colts have a real back-up anyhow.

by faketeams on Dec 15, 2009 5:08 PM EST up reply actions  

This is tough, and I can’t really say that there’s empirical evidence behind my answer; it’s solely a guy feeling.

I would still go with Peyton. I think that next week is the week that he nearly completely sits, but to give him a majority of the game off assumes he basically doesn’t play next week. That means he doesn’t play for, what, four weeks? That’s a lot of rest, almost too much I think. I think Peyton goes for about 175-200 yards and 2 TD’s, which would be good for 14 or 15 points. I know maybe that’s not what you’ve come to expect, but I don’t expect much against Green Bay. The Packers have the third-ranked pass defense, also. I’d rather take a conservative game from Peyton than a stinker from Ben.

by Bryan Everson (The Royalty of Roto) on Dec 16, 2009 4:50 AM EST up reply actions  

My lineup

QB- Drew Brees @ Dal
WR- Wes Welker @ Buf
WR- Andre Johnson @ StL
RB- Ray Rice @ Chi
RB- Beanie Wells @ Det
TE- Fred Davis @ NYG
W/R- Dwayne Bowe @ Cle
K- Ryan Longwell @ Car
Def- Arizona @ Det

BN- Michael Turner @ NYJ
BN- Jerome Harrison @ KC
BN- Robert Meachem @ Dal
BN- Jermichael Finley @ Pit
BN- Hines Ward @ GB
BN- Matt Schaub @ StL

Waiver wire: Arian Foster @ StL, Chris Jennings @ KC, Tim Hightower @ Det, Jerricho Cotchery @ ATL

I’m pretty confident in my big four and Arizona as must-starts for week 15 and 16 so that won’t change. Any suggestions for the rest?

by Johpin on Dec 15, 2009 5:32 PM EST reply actions  

I’m betting you had a pretty nice week last week, huh? 175 points I’m sure.

Yeah, I think you’ve got things right. I’m also starting Marshall, Rice and Davis (over Finley, too) in my big cash league, so good luck.

If you wanted to do anything for insurance, perhaps pick up Jennings or Foster. I think one of the two play the Raiders in Week 16, so once those two situations get a little more clarity, I would have more confidence starting one the next week in a favorable matchup. I picked up both Jennings and Foster, if only to prevent my opponent from starting them.

by Bryan Everson (The Royalty of Roto) on Dec 16, 2009 5:09 AM EST up reply actions  

Thanks Bryan

Yeah I like stashing players just so others can’t use them too.

I don’t know who to drop for Jennings so I think I’m going to wait till Sunday to see who has the better game, Harrison or Jennings. For week 16, I also like Meachem at Tampa Bay and depending on how he plays this week (if at all), Michael Turner at Buffalo. Thanks again and good luck in your league!

by Johpin on Dec 16, 2009 4:29 PM EST up reply actions  

You know what

I went ahead and dumped Harrison for Jennings.

by Johpin on Dec 16, 2009 5:32 PM EST up reply actions  

Looking for Playoff strength

My team is below, with the second list, my bench. I have a bye this week, then play in week 16. I’m sweating the SD-Tenn match up, then SD-Was afterward. I got beat to the niners def for week 16 so I picked up the Browns as they go up against Oakland. Do I have any serious concerns with the rest of my team?

Philip Rivers
Chris Johnson
Jamaal Charles
Randy Moss
Miles Austin
Vernon Davis
Rob Bironas
Cleveland Browns

Brady Quinn
Kevin Smith
Laurence Maroney
LaDainian Tomlinson
Marques Colston
Hakeem Nicks
Fred Davis
San Diego Chargers
Denver Broncos

by appstate95 on Dec 15, 2009 7:47 PM EST reply actions  

I know that the Niners play the Lions in Week 16, so yeah, that obviously would have been a plus for you. Thinking one step ahead is always a great move. I picked up the Texans last week in anticipation of their matchup this week against the Rams.

As far as the defense, the Broncos have the Chiefs in Week 17, so you’re OK there. I suppose I would go with the Broncos in 16.

The only input I have would be to keep an eye on the Saints, obviously, and see what they do with resting their players. I would assume you might consider playing Colston in the case that they would not, but I admit I don’t know the comparison of exact point outage between him and the other two in your starting lineup over the past few weeks or otherwise.

I think it looks pretty good. Go ahead and pick up a guy for some depth for Kevin Smith, if you want.

by Bryan Everson (The Royalty of Roto) on Dec 16, 2009 5:16 AM EST up reply actions  

Randy...

Any advice for a Randy Moss owner? In my opinion, either he is hurt or he quit (coming from a pats fan). Is he worth a start this week in the playoffs?

by bb-33 on Dec 16, 2009 12:00 AM EST reply actions  

What are your other options? Are they significantly better?

Otherwise I keep rolling Moss out there. I’m a Brady owner who’s admittedly worried, but going with him. The Patriots need to win this week (only one game ahead in AFC East), and this is just a feeling, but after Brady stuck his neck out and defended Moss, maybe they make a concerted effort (by they I mean Brady, also) to get him the ball.

by Bryan Everson (The Royalty of Roto) on Dec 16, 2009 5:18 AM EST up reply actions  

I have Colston (vs Dal), Breaston (vs Detroit), Driver (vs Pit), and Antonio Bryant (vs Seattle), and I need 3. Driver is out because he seems to have dropped out, but I was thinking about rolling with Colston (obviously) and Breaston and Bryant based on matchups, but Breaston scares me because he hasn’t done much at all lately. I feel like Moss is either going to have a huge game out of spite or will be a non factor.

by bb-33 on Dec 18, 2009 11:42 AM EST up reply actions  

Going with the theme of the guns that got you there, I’m going Colston, Moss and Driver.

I think that both Driver and Jennings can actually have productive games against the Pittsburgh secondary. The Steelers’ defensive backs have been mediocre this year, and Polamalu remains out.

by Bryan Everson (The Royalty of Roto) on Dec 18, 2009 11:26 PM EST up reply actions  

the advice is much appreciated.

by bb-33 on Dec 19, 2009 12:32 AM EST up reply actions  

HELLLPPPPP!

Ive made it through the regular season and finished 1st. Now that my bye week is gone and i have to play this week, 3 of my normal starters look like they wont play or will play very little ( Stewart,Maclin,Clark). My bench is Chris Jennings, Shiancoe, Maclin, Mcgahee, Britt and the giants d. Kinda in scramble mode for rb right now, mcgahee put up decent numbers last week, do you think he will do the same this week? Who should i start?

QB Tom Brady
RB Jonathan Stewart
RB Rashard Mendenhall,
RB/WR DeSean Jackson
WR Antonio Bryant,
WR Roy E. Williams
TE Dallas Clark,
D/ST Texans
K Ryan Longwell,

by brojo on Dec 16, 2009 4:42 AM EST reply actions  

McGahee is a no. He only got those numbers because The Ravens were @$&*#)#ing the Lions. Rice will continue to get almost all the work. Britt isn’t nearly as favorable if Vince Young doesn’t play, either.

Mendenhall faces a real tough matchup as I already touched on, and Stewart lost another starting OT to run behind.

If you’re going to play any of those others you mentioned, the only one I would consider is Chris Jennings.

by Bryan Everson (The Royalty of Roto) on Dec 16, 2009 3:21 PM EST up reply actions  

Reality Check

Through the draft, pickups and a couple trades I think I have assembled a pretty solid team in this12-team redraft league.
Ended up in 1st with a Bye in Week 14 with only Weeks 15 and 16 left in our playoffs.
We award 6 FP/pass TD and 1 FP/10 return yds. for W/R so some oddball players are owned and obvious names and/or backups may not be.
I think I know who I ought to start in Week 15 but I could use a reality check.
Also, who should I look to grab Friday once I free up a spot?
Thank you.

Current Starters
QB Matt Schaub
WR Vincent Jackson
WR Marques Colston
RB Maurice Jones-Drew
TE Brent Celek
W/T Miles Austin
W/R Cedric Benson
K Garrett Hartley
DEF Arizona

Bench
WR Calvin Johnson
WR Chad Ochocinco
RB Arian Foster
RB Chris Jennings
RB Reggie Bush
BN DEF Seattle (a “blocking” move, dropping Friday)

Watched Players
RB Bernard Scott (I dropped him after the turf toe kept him off returns and LJ came on)
RB Marion Barber (recently dropped several times)
RB Maurice Morris (Aaron Brown now off returns too)
RB Chester Taylor
RB Leonard Weaver
RB Donald Brown
WR Greg Camarillo/Davone Bess
WR Devin Aromashodu
DEF Houston?
Various lesser return guys since the prime ones got sucked up (though this role is volatile and fairly matchup dependent)

by Horatio on Dec 16, 2009 1:53 PM EST reply actions  

I think you’re on target.

You’ve got the right guys in. You know the story with OchoCinco though; he does put up monster games and if he’s talking trash the week before, he usually delivers.That being said, the aforementioned guys in your starting lineup already are solid options.

The only ones on the list I’d of considered are perhaps Barber or the Texans defense, but probably just to use against the Rams this week, and you’ve got the Cardinals at DET this week already. If the Cardinals have a bad matchup next week, perhaps look ahead for that.

by Bryan Everson (The Royalty of Roto) on Dec 16, 2009 3:28 PM EST up reply actions  

Week 16

Cards get STL next, so I had stashed them for these 2 weeks assuming I’d get the bye. My opponent this week has Brown/Moats so I grabbed Foster to block. Maybe I’ll look for other ways to do that and see how Week 15 pans out before I decide who to snag for next week. If Aromashodu doesn’t play like Aroma-shoe-doo, he could be worth something. Thanks.

by Horatio on Dec 16, 2009 3:42 PM EST up reply actions  

Having trouble @ RB, Need help!

I have had some injuries the last few weeks at RB in my standard league. I currently have Matt Forte, Cadillac Williams, Leonard Weaver, Chris Jennings, Jonathon Stewart and Quinton Ganther….Which 2 should I start???

by Cowick22 on Dec 18, 2009 9:32 AM EST reply actions  

Either way I’m starting Ganther.

For your second spot, I think Forte is the safe bet. If you want to go boom or bust, go with Jennings. He may get 5-10 carries for 40 yards, he could get 15-20 for 70 yards and a score. As I pointed out in my article I posted up earlier today, no one knows the situation, so it’s ultimately your gamble.

by Bryan Everson (The Royalty of Roto) on Dec 18, 2009 11:22 PM EST up reply actions  

Thanks man I appreciate the input!

by Cowick22 on Dec 19, 2009 3:02 PM EST reply actions  

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