Fantasy Baseball: Early Mock Draft- Round 1, Pick 7.

by Ian, yo on Nov 17, 2009 9:22 PM EST in Baseball

In 2009, David Wright was likely a top 5 pick and top 3 in most leagues. Wright experienced a tremendous power outage in 2009, hitting a total of ten home runs (5/5 home/away.) Wright still managed to be valuable to those who drafted him by putting up solid numbers across the board in all of the other categories that mattered in standard 5x5 leagues. On the surface, one would think Citi Field has become an extreme pitchers park, but in actuality, it ranks 12th in the MLB in HR park factors, ahead of notable hitter's parks such as Citizen's Bank park and Chase Field.

According to an ESPN article from the beginning of July, Wright had been robbed of six home runs in the new park. To top it all off, Wright saw a large increase in K% (20.1% career, 26.2% 2009) and a drop to his career low OPS of .837. The non-sabermetric part of me thinks the high K% could be due to the pressure of being the main run producer and an overall drop in team performance.

I do think Wright will slightly rebound in 2010 and hit around 20 home runs, while putting up similar stats across the board. It's hard to argue drafting a player who will put up great stats in four categories with the upside to hit for power (in a rather scarce position.)

Poll

Will David Wright hit 20 or more HR in 2010?

Yes

41 votes

No

23 votes

64 votes | Poll has closed

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Comments

Wright

I am not a Wright believer at all. I would draft Zimmerman, Longoria and Reynolds before Wright. He will most likely prove me wrong, but I wouldn’t draft him in the first round in 2010. My reason is we don;t know how healthy Jose Reyes and Carlos Beltran will be in 2010. Sure, they could be healthy in April, but can they play 140-150 games at their 2008 performance levels in that ballpark?
In auction leagues, he could be undervalued though.

raygu

by Ray Guilfoyle on Nov 17, 2009 10:14 PM EST reply actions

+1

Because one of those three will be available in the 2nd round, I’d have taken someone else. Mauer or Upton would have been my pick.

by faketeams on Nov 18, 2009 8:41 AM EST up reply actions

But you’re still getting four categories of production out of him, right?

I think four categories will get him a first round nod.

by Ian, yo on Nov 17, 2009 10:32 PM EST reply actions

yes

but the power dropoff has me skeptical

raygu

by Ray Guilfoyle on Nov 17, 2009 11:02 PM EST up reply actions

That still makes him valuable, more than some people think.

You got slurved!

by Slurvey on Nov 18, 2009 12:20 AM EST up reply actions

Yep. His power dropoff is surely something to be concerned about but I still have a hard time believing he drops that far based on talent and upside alone.

by Ian, yo on Nov 18, 2009 7:57 AM EST via mobile reply actions