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Fantasy Baseball: 2009 Breakout Hitters-NL West

Continuing in the series of NL breakout hitters, we have the NL West today.

Dodgers-Matt Kemp-I've written about him enough here. No need to elaborate more. He should be a top 5 pick in NL leagues in 2010.

Rockies-Carlos Gonzalez-Cargo was dealt to the Rockies in the Matt Holliday trade with the A's last offseason. He more than likely was not drafted in too many leagues in 2009, but he has rewarded owners who were patient with him. In 270 ABs this season, he has gone 13-29-16-.285-.353-.533-.886. Compare that to his 2008 season in Oakland where he went 4-26-4-.242-.273-.361-.634 and one can tell he really likes to hit in the thin air in Colorado. Cargo should be the Rockies starting LFer in 2010, and has the talent to go 20-20 in 2010.

Diamondbacks-Mark Reynolds-Reynolds improved upon his breakout 2008 season with 44-101-24-.263-.353-.552-.906 season where he again broke the record for strikeouts in a season. His power increase can be attributed to an increase in his HR/FB% from 14.8% in 2008 to 21.5% in 2009. His BABIP increased slightly as well, from .323 in 2008 to .339 in 2009. Per www.baseball-reference.com, Reynolds leads the league in Power/Speed with a 31.1 rating. Power/Speed is measured as follows-(2 x (HRs x SBs)/(HRs + SBs)) and was created by Bill James.

Diamondbacks-Miguel Montero-Montero was a backup catcher for the Diamondbacks the last two years, but he won the job once Chris Snyder got hurt in 2009, and has not looked back. He has rewarded owners who took a late flyer on him in 2009 drafts with a 16-59-.297-.357-.483-.840 season with 30 doubles. Montero displayed similar power as far back as 2005 in High A and AA, where he hit 26 HRs and drove in 95 with a .943 OPS. Montero could be a top 3-4 catcher in NL leagues in 2010.

Padres-Everth Cabrera-Cabrera was a speed demon in 3+ season in the minors stealing 123 bases, and he has continued to steal bases with the big club. He has strolen 25 bases in 32 attempts in his 367 ABs. His glove will keep him on the field, so he could steal 40+ bases in 2010.

Giants-Pablo Sandoval-The Round Mound of Pound met the experts expectations with a 23-88-.330-.385-.549-.935 season in a bad Giants lineup. As I have written previously, he could turn some of his 44 doubles into HRs in 2010. Should he approach the 30 HR level in 2010, he would be a top 2-3 third baseman in NL l;eagues.

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I missed were Andre Ethier and Troy Tulowitzki. Both had breakout seasons in 2009 as well. Both will be selected in the first 2-3 rounds in NL drafts in 2010.

raygu

by Ray Guilfoyle on Oct 2, 2009 9:33 AM EDT reply actions  

It Ain't Over Yet

Just a heads up… while “traditional” fantasy baseball leagues are already looking ahead to 2010, I’m still playing EVERY day at my favorite daily fantasy sports site, 365fantasysports.com. Contests are posted every night for the following day;s action. If you can spot good match-ups, you can make good money on this site. Last season they ran contests almost all the way through the playoffs. (as long as there are at least two real games on a single day, they can run a fantasy contest.)

by Michibuck on Oct 2, 2009 11:06 AM EDT reply actions  

ESPN's Jason Grey

Rob (Alaska)
Deep league…lifetime keepers….which two catchers: Doumit, Iannetta, Montero?

Jason Grey (3:54 PM)
Montero, Iannetta

bob (chi)
better keeper…Montero or Soto?

Jason Grey (3:41 PM)
Montero…even with Snyder returning and Soto’s hot finish.

Maybe Montero is a top 2-3 catcher in NL leagues?

raygu

by Ray Guilfoyle on Oct 2, 2009 6:52 PM EDT reply actions  

KLaw on Monteros

Chris (Fort Wayne, IN)

Love the scouting info. Seems like there’s a changing of the guard at catcher. Can you compare some of these up and comers? Buster Posey, Carlos Santana, Miguel Montero, Jesus Montero, Tyler Flowers. thanks!

Klaw (1:14 PM)

Posey and Santana are the superstars who contribute on offense and defense. Jesus Montero is all bat, probably ends up at 1b. Flowers can probably stay behind the plate, but he’ll never be good or even average there. Miguel Montero’s 2009 is a pretty good indication of his skill level.

raygu

by Ray Guilfoyle on Oct 2, 2009 6:58 PM EDT reply actions  

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