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Fantasy Baseball: Top 20 NL Starting Pitchers

To continue the analysis of the Top 20 starting pitchers in the NL for 2009, based on their 2008 Command ratio (K-BB)/9, I give you the Bill James projections for 2009.

1. Rich Harden-11 Wins-3.02 ERA-10.8 WHIP-151 K's-should he stay healthy, he could be one of the best in the NL.

2. Tim Lincecum-17-3.02-10.9-272-wow-can he get to 300 K's? Back to back CY's?

3. Dan Haren-14-3.59-11.1-174-solid starting pitcher.

4. Randy Johnson-12-3.40-10.7-178-will his back hold up in 2009?

5. Ricky Nolasco-12-3.98-11.8-176-was 2008 a fluke?

6. Wandy Rodriguez-7-4.45-13.1-110-James not too high on Wandy, eh? The guys over at FantasyPros911.com beg to differ.

7. Cole Hamels-16-3.24-10.2-214-possible Cy Young candidate in 2009

8. Jake Peavy-14-3.26-10.9-202- his number may come down a bit if he is traded away from the best pitchers park in the majors.

9. Johan Santana-18-3.01-9.8-234-will he reach 20 wins in 2009 with the improved bullpen?

10. Chad Billingsley-12-3.69-12.3-189-can he recover from the broken leg? MLB.com reports he is on schedule. Waiting on a Buster Olney rumor.

11. Ted Lilly-12-3.95-11.9-176-not bad for a 3rd starter in the Cubs rotation.

12. Edison Volquez-11-4.08-13.2-191-will all the pitches he threw in 2008 take a toll in 2009?

13. Josh Johnson-8-3.92-12.9-119-these seem low, he should be healthy in 2009.

14. Roy Oswalt-16-3.50-11.3-170-the best pitcher without the hype.

15. Ben Sheets-13-3.39-10.7-159-can he stay healthy for a full season?

16. Aaron Harang-10-4.11-12.1-155-he's a bounceback candidate in 2009.

17. Ryan Dempster-12-3.89-12.9-166-he was smart to sign early, huh? can he repeat his 2008 performance?

18. Brandon Webb-15-3.37-11.5-176-another CY candidate year in and year out. Does he get dealt in 2009?

19. Jonathon Sanchez-7-3.90-13.2-140-is 2009 his breakout year?

20. Johnny Cueto-8-4.56-12.9-151-Dusty has a way with young starters, doesn't he?

Now here are a few  starting pitchers that probably will be ranked in the top 20 in 2009:

Matt Cain-13-3.57-12.0-192-another breakout candidate in 2009.

Yovani Gallardo-13-3.61-11.8-201-should be healthy in 2009, and the Brewers need him badly.

Derek Lowe-14-3.60-11.6-132-steady-Eddie-should solidify the Braves rotation along with Javier Vasquez.

Javier Vasquez-13-3.80-11.5-195-James thinks he can improve upon his 2008 season.

Poll
Which of these pitchers can perform like a Top 20 pitcher in 2009?
Wandy Rodriguez
13 votes
Johnny Cueto
13 votes
Josh Johnson
27 votes
Jonathan Sanchez
19 votes
Clayton Kershaw
32 votes

104 votes | Poll has closed

Comment 4 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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For BIG Z?

What to do, with Larry Hughe?

by Rudey on Jan 28, 2009 5:01 PM EST reply actions  

James

has him going 12 wins, 3.56 ERA, 12.1 WHIP and 163 Ks, with 87 BBs which hurts his CMD value. All of the guys listed have a CMD of 4.5 or higher….that is (K-BB)/9….slightly different that Shandlers CMD ratio.

raygu

by Ray Guilfoyle on Jan 28, 2009 5:48 PM EST reply actions  

Thanks

Although i dont see him doing that bad, i dont see some top 10 play from him either.

What to do, with Larry Hughe?

by Rudey on Jan 28, 2009 11:14 PM EST up reply actions  

KKKKershaw

I have to say I am a little surprised that he got so many votes. I threw him in at the last second.
But there is no clear cut leader.

raygu

by Ray Guilfoyle on Jan 29, 2009 9:22 AM EST reply actions  

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