How would you draft a defense with this scoring format?

by ILLZ on Aug 29, 2008 9:50 AM EDT

My 3rd league has an odd (read: ridiculous) scoring format for Team defense. You LOSE 1 point for every point your defense gives up. So, you could have the TB defense, record 8 sacks, 4 INT's, 6 fumble recoveries and give up 20 points and STILL lose points. It's insane and dumb that Team Defense can affect your weekly performance in such a large way, but that's how it is! I've been trying to figure out how to draft a defense here though... obviously points allowed is the key stat... to hell with turnovers and sacks. How would you try to predict this? The fantasy defense rankings that are readily available across the internet are more or less useless because they rely largely on a different scoring system. I was thinking of basically going through the divisions and determining which teams are likely to be anemic on offense this year, and then try to take defenses on good teams that are in those weak offensive team's divisions. Confusing? Does it make sense? Anyobdy have a different idea?

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That scoring systems absolutely sucks. The points for sacks, INTs, fumble recoveries, etc need to be adjust upwards to avoid the situation you used. And/or the threshhold that negative points begins has to be higher i.e. 21. That way excellent defense won’t be devalued.

I’d look for ways to avoid starting a Defense. Normally, I’d doubt that feasibility, but your scoring system is so whakced that it becomes a possibility.

Other than that, you need to take a defense that is expected to be good/great in a low scoring division. Minnesota looks good as does Green Bay. San Diego maybe.

An expected strength-of-schedule may help assuming the teams played remain as crappy this season as they were last.

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by faketeams on Aug 29, 2008 1:06 PM EDT reply actions

Strength of Schedule

Team Opp Win Pct Opp. Total Wins Opp. Total Losses
Steelers 0.598 153 103
Colts 0.594 152 104
Jaguars 0.559 143 113
Vikings 0.551 141 115
Ravens 0.551 141 115
Titans 0.551 141 115
Bengals 0.547 140 116
Texans 0.547 140 116
Browns 0.547 140 116
Lions 0.543 139 117
Bears 0.531 136 120
Packers 0.531 136 120
Redskins 0.523 134 122
Cowboys 0.523 134 122
Eagles 0.52 133 123
Giants 0.52 133 123
Rams 0.488 125 131
49ers 0.484 124 132
Seahawks 0.477 122 134
Buccaneers 0.469 120 136
Falcons 0.469 120 136
Cardinals 0.465 119 137
Dolphins 0.465 119 137
Panthers 0.465 119 137
Jets 0.457 117 139
Chiefs 0.453 116 140
Bills 0.449 115 141
Saints 0.449 115 141
Broncos 0.445 114 142
Raiders 0.438 112 144
Chargers 0.422 108 148
Patriots 0.387 99 157