BABIP Stragglers
by faketeams
on Jun 17, 2008 4:30 PM EDT
in Baseball
The following is a list of pitchers who have started 1-4 games this season along with the K/9, BB/9 and BABIPs. Because they haven't accumulated a ton of innings, there could still be a rapid regression to the mean BABIP of .300 in their immediate future. Despite the potential for this violent regression, fantasy players want to know whether they should be starting them or dropping players from their rosters to add them.
Unfortunately, choosing an arbitrary cut-off of four GS left off the top two BABIP Leaders. Justin Masterson of the Boston Red Sox has a league-leading BABIP of .173 in five starts with a BB/9 of 4.35, and Tigers rookie pitching savior Armando Galaragga has a .188 BABIP with 3.72 BB/9. The remaining top % are Gavin Floyd (.195), Ryan Dempster (.216) and Shaun Marcum (.227).
The BABIP Laggards are lead by Ian Snell of Pittsburgh with a .373 BABIP and perrenial laggard Andrew Miller of Florida with a .366. Both pitchers strikeout more than 7 per nine innings of work and have walks rates around four per nine. But seeing them on this list every week begins to make me think they might have something going on that makes them easier to hit.
BABIP Stragglers:
| NAME | TEAM | K/9 | BB/9 | BABIP | M/T? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claudio Vargas | NYN | 5.11 | 2.56 | 0.211 | N |
| Eric Hurley | TEX | 4.5 | 0 | 0.211 | N |
| Radhames Liz | BAL | 6.47 | 2.69 | 0.213 | N |
| Homer Bailey | CIN | 2.2 | 7.32 | 0.238 | N |
| Matt Albers | BAL | 4.78 | 3.53 | 0.260 | N |
| Charlie Morton | ATL | 6 | 1.5 | 0.263 | N |
| Mitchell Boggs | SLN | 2.39 | 3.98 | 0.275 | N |
| Josh Banks | SDN | 5.46 | 1.61 | 0.278 | N |
| Jeff Bennett | ATL | 7.06 | 4.47 | 0.291 | N |
| Joba Chamberlain | NYA | 9.92 | 4.96 | 0.292 | N |
| Cha Seung Baek | SDN | 4.92 | 2.95 | 0.295 | N |
| Hong-Chih Kuo | LAN | 10.5 | 2.23 | 0.296 | N |
| Jack Cassel | HOU | 3.78 | 1.89 | 0.306 | N |
| R.A. Dickey | SEA | 5.33 | 2.82 | 0.309 | N |
| Kyle Davies | KCA | 4.07 | 4.58 | 0.310 | T |
| Jon Lieber | CHN | 4.81 | 1.07 | 0.313 | N |
| Ryan Tucker | FLO | 7.2 | 7.2 | 0.321 | N |
| Tyler Clippard | WAS | 6.99 | 6.12 | 0.323 | N |
| Pedro Martinez | NYN | 5.32 | 2.22 | 0.342 | N |
| Jeremy Sowers | CLE | 3.85 | 2.41 | 0.348 | N |
| Eddie Bonine | DET | 3.4 | 0 | 0.364 | N |
| Douglas Mathis | TEX | 3.63 | 5.65 | 0.400 | N |
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Charlie Morton
Morton hasn’t gotten as much press as I expected. What can we expect from him in Atlanta’s rotation this year?
by Xavier. on Jun 17, 2008 5:10 PM EDT 0 recs
Morton
He didn’t make Baseball America’s Top 30 or John Sickels’ prospect book. From his MiLB.com page, he looks like a groundball pitcher with decent striekout ability (1.57 GB/Ao and 72 K in 79 IP). He turned some heads in the Arizona Fall League.
Morton might be a late bloomer. Also in his favor is the fact he hasn’t allowed a HR in 85 innings this season and just 5 in 100 last season. Some Ks, more groundballs than flyballs and not allowign HRs. That sounds like a better version of Chuck James.
Here is some more data courtesy of First Inning.
by faketeams on Jun 17, 2008 9:09 PM EDT 0 recs
From John Perotto at BP
According to a scout:
Braves rookie right-hander Charlie Morton: “It’s hard to believe this kid spent four years in Class-A ball. He’s got dominant stuff. His fastball hits 96 mph, he’s got a nasty curveball and his sinker and changeup aren’t bad pitches. This kid has a chance to be the Braves’ next great pitcher.”
by faketeams on Jun 18, 2008 3:13 PM EDT 0 recs
Jim Callis
Why Morton didn’t make BA’s Top 30 Braves:
Carlos, Atlanta: What’s the reason for Charlie Morton not making the Braves’ top 30 list? He was killing it in AAA. Thank you.
Jim Callis: (2:16 PM ET ) Morton had a 4.90 ERA through six minor league seasons, and while he flashed good stuff, he just wasn't consistent with it.by faketeams on Jun 18, 2008 3:22 PM EDT 0 recs
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