FakeTeams: An SB Nation Community

Navigation: Jump to content areas:



Around SBN: Check out our NFL Scoreboard: scores, schedule and blogs Bar-right-arrows



Closer BABIPs

BABIP is a stat becoming more and more accepted as a signal for pitchers whose WHIP and ERA are due for a fall or rise depending on an unusually low or high BABIP.  This appears most applicable to starting pitchers due to the large number of innings pitched and opportunities for their BABIPs to correct to the .300 level.

What about relievers, and specifically closers?  These pitchers throw an inning at a time and only in high pressure situations.  Does this make a difference in BABIPs?  I am not sure so I ran the BABIPs over the past five seasons for the current closers of each team.  Granted, most closers do not remain so for five seasons, but I wanted as much data as possible to see if there is any trend - to the extent five seasons for a particular pitcher can be statistically significant.

If the BABIP stat is useful as a signal for potential trouble for a closer, does it necessarily mean that closer would lose his job?  Mariano Rivera currently has a BABIP of .190.  Will he lose his job if he gets hit around a bit?  No.  Texas Rangers' closer C.J. Wilson has a BABIP of .224.  If he gets hit around a couple times, will he lose his job?  Maybe.

How about the higher end?  Is San Francisco Giants closer Brian Wilson as buy low candidate with a .356 BABIP or is he a candidate to lose his job because he isn't a good pitcher and has a higher BABIP because he gets hit harder than most?

The historical BABIPs are on the jump page.

Star-divide

Closer20082007200620052004
Jonathan Papelbon 0.311 0.216 0.228 0.326 N/A
Mariano Rivera 0.19 0.327 0.269 0.239 0.282
B.J. Ryan 0.256 0.353 0.245 0.321 0.309
Troy Percival 0.137 0.208 N/A 0.185 0.245
George Sherrill 0.213 0.25 0.303 0.25 0.284
Joe Nathan 0.298 0.282 0.246 0.27 0.273
Bobby Jenks 0.254 0.254 0.347 0.316 N/A
Joakim Soria 0.136 0.256 N/A N/A N/A
Joe Borowski 0.318 0.342 0.284 0.217 0.348
Todd Jones 0.234 0.299 0.297 0.294 0.28
Francisco Rodriguez 0.267 0.309 0.288 0.259 0.285
J.J. Putz 0.357 0.201 0.311 0.286 0.304
C.J. Wilson 0.224 0.266 0.274 0.36 N/A
Huston Street 0.255 0.259 0.303 0.253 N/A
Rafael Soriano 0.182 0.198 0.262 0.333 0.529
Billy Wagner 0.232 0.29 0.308 0.218 0.243
Jon Rauch 0.269 0.274 0.272 0.25 0.213
Kevin Gregg 0.246 0.264 0.335 0.316 0.324
Brad Lidge 0.216 0.3 0.335 0.349 0.301
Kerry Wood 0.261 0.286 0.246 0.252 0.307
Jose Valverde 0.338 0.26 0.367 0.284 0.254
Ryan Franklin 0.247 0.251 0.278 0.289 0.294
Matt Capps 0.289 0.266 0.292 0.417 N/A
Salomon Torres 0.287 0.325 0.329 0.246 0.298
Francisco Cordero 0.2 0.322 0.341 0.316 0.319
Brian Wilson 0.356 0.227 0.344 N/A N/A
Takashi Saito 0.288 0.207 0.28 N/A N/A
Brian Fuentes 0.3 0.248 0.266 0.305 0.347
Brandon Lyon 0.277 0.287 0.289 0.358 N/A
Trevor Hoffman 0.304 0.278 0.236 0.299 0.262

Poll
IS BABIP a useful tool for closers?
Yes, but not as good as it is for starting pitchers.
8 votes
No. A closer's role is too limited for it to be predictive
12 votes
Can't tell from info provided
5 votes

25 votes | Poll has closed

0 recs | Comment 0 comments

Read Related

Story-email Email Printer Print

Comments

Display:

Comments For This Post Are Closed


User Tools

Welcome to the SB Nation blog about Fantasy Sports.

FanPosts

Community blog posts and discussion.

Recommended FanPosts

Small
MLB Free Agent Landing Predictions? Beat the Monkey!

Recent FanPosts

G_small
I need a Running Back This Week - Who Should I Pick Up
Uconn_logo_small
AL-Only & NL-Only Owners Wanted
Uconn_logo_small
OT: Presidential Election
Uconn_logo_small
2008 Awards ballots
Uconn_logo_small
Question and Answer
Small
for all the Manny being Manny haters....I bring you Joe Sheehan
Small
BA's Jim Callis on World Series possibilities
Small
Jonathon Broxton
Small
Trade Help

Post_icon New FanPost All FanPosts Carrot-mini


Managers

Uconn_logo_small faketeams

ad

Site Meter