Yesterday morning, a colleague of mine mentioned Jay Bruce to me and asked what I thought given his 3-3 debut on Tuesday evening. I said he should sell high and see if he can get Corey Hart for him. He said I was crazy.
He expected a 30/20 from Bruce. I reminded him that two months of the season are in the books and that would be quite an accomplishment over the final four months of the season.
My worry at that point was Bruce would go 0-4 with 3 Ks on Wednesday evening against the Pirates and this little vignette would be wasted. Jay Bruce did no such thing! He went 1-3 with two more walks, a double and a stolen base. And he still has a 100% contact rate (read: He hasn't struck out yet.)
A couple of days ago, I had a poll asking which player Bruce will more closely approximate in terms of production. 39% voted for Corey Hart of Milwaukee. Another 29% chose Jeff Francouer of Atlanta.
Yesterday, I asked whether Matthew Berry's prediction of 15 HRs and 15 SBs was unreasonable. Overwhelmingly, people voted that it was not.
These results combined with my colleague's assessment got me thinking. Would anyone actually trade Jay Bruce right now for either Corey hart, Jeff Francouer or another similarly skilled more established hitter? I'm not sure anyone would.