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Would You Trade Jay Bruce?

Yesterday morning, a colleague of mine mentioned Jay Bruce to me and asked what I thought given his 3-3 debut on Tuesday evening.  I said he should sell high and see if he can get Corey Hart for him.  He said I was crazy. 

He expected a 30/20 from Bruce.  I reminded him that two months of the season are in the books and that would be quite an accomplishment over the final four months of the season.

My worry at that point was Bruce would go 0-4 with 3 Ks on Wednesday evening against the Pirates and this little vignette would be wasted.  Jay Bruce did no such thing!  He went 1-3 with two more walks, a double and a stolen base.  And he still has a 100% contact rate (read:  He hasn't struck out yet.)

A couple of days ago, I had a poll asking which player Bruce will more closely approximate in terms of production.  39% voted for Corey Hart of Milwaukee.  Another 29% chose Jeff Francouer of Atlanta.

Yesterday, I asked whether Matthew Berry's prediction of 15 HRs and 15 SBs was unreasonable.  Overwhelmingly, people voted that it was not.

These results combined with my colleague's assessment got me thinking.  Would anyone actually trade Jay Bruce right now for either Corey hart, Jeff Francouer or another similarly skilled more established hitter?  I'm not sure anyone would.

Poll
Which of these players would you accept for Jay Bruce?
Corey Hart
17 votes
Jeff Francouer
6 votes
Vladimir Guerrero
21 votes
David Ortiz
36 votes
None of them
18 votes

98 votes | Poll has closed

0 recs | Comment 2 comments

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Taking Walks?
Alex (Gloversville, NY): With the Jay Bruce hype at an all time high, would you look to deal him? If so, what would be an outfielder that would be reasonable to ask for in return? Eric Karabell: I think Jay Bruce is for real, for a few reasons. He can take walks, he has speed, he hits lefties. This guy doesn’t have the raw power Ryan Braun has, but he could make that kind of impact in 4 months this year. I’m seeing people trade really good players to get him, and I kind of agree. Top 50 players.

I’m not sure I would go from four walks in six ABs to the implications of Karabell’s “can take walks” after he took just 11 in 180+ AAA ABs, and he took just 47 and 44 in 2007 and 2006 respectively.

by faketeams on May 29, 2008 1:22 PM EDT   0 recs

Poll

I would take any of the players in your poll for Bruce in a single-year league. Is he really going to be better than they will be? I doubt it. He may come close, but I’d take the proven commodity and minimize the risk of a rookie. People forget that most rookies struggle for a while their first year. Do you really want to bank on Bruce producing the first-year numbers of a Braun or Pujols?

by Xavier. on May 29, 2008 1:55 PM EDT   0 recs

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