MLB Free Agent Landing Predictions? Beat the Monkey!

by acr on Nov 16, 2008 2:34 PM EST

OK, where will all these players end up? I used to try and make predictions- but they never ended up accurate at all. I also have a pet monkey named Spike. So now I just let him draw a player name and team. He has been fairly accurate matching up his combo of selections. But then again, some of his selections seem almost absurd. Anyway, he just lives with the results and goes about his business waiting for Spring Training like the rest of us. See if you can beat the monkey.

How we do it- I put the names of 12 MLB free agents into an otherwise empty 40 oz McDonalds plastic cup . The player names are fairly randum names of FA's, although we try to concentrate on players who will have a choice of a few different clubs. Then I put the names of all the MLB teams in another 40 oz McDonalds cup. Spike pulls a player name out and then pulls out a team name. Those are his matches. The player name and team name is then discarded. So there is only a chance that a team can sign only one of these players. Then the picks continue until we have 12 players and teams.

Spike's Picks-

1. Bobby Abreu- Tampa Bay

2. Garret Anderson- Colorado

3. MIlton Bradley- Boston

4. Joe Crede- Los Angeles Angels

5. Ryan Dempster- New York Yankees

6. Rafael Furcal- Cincinnati

7. Ken Griffey Jr.- New York Mets

8. Trevor Hoffman- Washington

9. Randy Johnson- Texas

10. Derek Lowe- Cleveland

11. CC Sabathia- Florida

12. Mark Prior- St. Louis

There you have it. Some picks are long shots but that's the way it goes in these sorts of things.

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Best Monkey Picks

#4, #5 and #9

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by faketeams on Nov 16, 2008 2:32 PM EST reply actions

oh my

if 3 and 5 ever happened i think they both would be run out of town by june,and if the mets fans get griffey only this winter they will be pissed,those 3 seem like the worst matchups

by superherodj on Nov 16, 2008 4:58 PM EST reply actions

???

The Yankees have been rumored to be pursuing AJ Burnett, Derek Lowe, CC Sabathia (confirmed), and Jake Peavy; nothing about Dempster, plus the Cubbies should be willing to pay for a pitcher that plays so well at Wrigley – doesn’t look like the monkey will be right on this. Second, CC in Florida, especially after the Yankees offered him $140. Third, Lowe seems suited to go to St. Louis, rather than Prior; the Cards have pursued dignified free agents as opposed to risky ones and Cleveland announced that they are rebuilding with the handing-over of CC Sabathia.
I suggest fixing the drawing by placing more Yankee, Red Sox, and Met cards than teams reluctant to engage in free agency. However, your monkey idea is well-equipped for college basketball – highly suggest doing this for the tourney; the monkey will probably win your pool.

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by jtsports on Nov 17, 2008 7:29 PM EST reply actions